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The Real Impact of the War Between Hamas and Israel
Also published in National Interest
The latest round of fighting may have come to an end, but the broader regional struggle over issues such as Sunni political Islam, normalization, and Iranian encroachment will continue for the long term.
As the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas takes effect—whether it will hold remains to be seen—attention will turn to the gains and losses of either side, the demands of each in reaching a new modus vivendi, and prospects for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict more generally. But beyond the war’s impact on dynamics within and between Israel and the Palestinian territories, the broader regional dimensions merit close consideration. Local conditions, grievances, and movements have always partly reflected an ongoing struggle for influence between rival actors at the regional level. Four developments within that broader struggle in recent years provided the fuel and ignition for the current explosion...