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Articles & Testimony
Attack on Iranian Tanker Could Be Tensions Flowing to Red Sea
The Persian Gulf is more crucial in oil terms, but if hostilities expand to the Red Sea, Iran could gain extra leverage against its adversaries on energy and trade matters.
Oct 15, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Iraq Is Not Yet Lost, But If We Continue to Ignore It, It Soon Will Be
Muddled governance, harsh crackdowns, and outside interference threaten to overturn the fragile freedom that Iraqis have won at great cost.
Oct 15, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Will the SDF React to Turkey’s Invasion?
On Wednesday, Turkey launched its ‘Fountain of Peace operation’ in northeastern Syria after receiving a de-facto green light from the White House to launch a unilateral operation in the area between Tal Abyad and Serê Kaniyê (Ras al-'Ain in Arabic). This operation began immediately after the United States quickly pulled
Oct 13, 2019
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Syria Incursion: What Spurred It, and What’s Next?
The Trump administration is implicitly backing Ankara’s policy imperatives for now, but its approval comes with an imminent expiration date that could arrive even sooner if the operation goes awry.
Oct 11, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In the Run-Off Elections, All Options Are Possible
As Tunisians return to vote in the country’s run-off elections for president, scheduled for October 13, voters expect to determine Tunisia’s next president from two unlikely options. Frustration with the status quo and twenty-six candidates determined that no one candidate managed to secure an absolute majority in the first round
Oct 11, 2019
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Angela Kontouli Kontouli
Ghazi Ben Ahmed
Video
Brief Analysis
Jordan-Israel Peace at Twenty-Five: Past, Present, and Future
Watch as two pioneers of Israeli-Jordanian peace assess the state of their countries' relations on the 25th anniversary of their historic 1994 peace treaty.
Oct 11, 2019
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Jawad Anani
Shimon Shamir
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Society in Israel After the Elections: From Euphoria to Disenchantment?
The September 2019 election is viewed, with reason, as an important crossroad in the history of Arab society in Israel. This was an election in which the extent of Arab integration into the state emerged in an especially conspicuous manner. The Arab public’s chosen representatives opted for precedent-setting measures, most
Oct 10, 2019
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Michael Milshtein
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Is Iran Up To in Deir al-Zour?
Tehran and its proxies have been exerting hard and soft power in northeast Syria, combining military consolidation with economic, social, and religious outreach in order to cement their long-term influence.
Oct 10, 2019
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Oula A. Alrifai
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Response to “Al-Hawl Camp: A Potential Incubator of the Next Generation of Extremism”
Himbervan Kose, in his article “ Al-Hawl Camp: A Potential Incubator of the Next Generation of Extremism” provides an apt description of the problem of radicalization at the al-Hawl camp of ISIS fighters and their families in Northeastern Syria along with several debatable pointers on how to address the issue
Oct 10, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Turkey’s Syria Offensive Puts Alliance with U.S. Near Breaking Point
Erdogan is relying on his personal relationship with President Trump to stave off congressional anger, but bilateral ties cannot function if civilian and military agencies lack faith in each other.
Oct 9, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Troop Withdrawal Gives Turkey Access to Syria—and ISIS Space to Rebuild
If the president insists on removing U.S. forces before conditions on the ground are sufficiently stable, he will clear the way for a terrorist resurgence.
Oct 8, 2019
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Dana Stroul
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tunisian Elections Suggest a Move Beyond Secularist and Islamist Politics
The Tunisian presidential elections on September 15 were held under a strange atmosphere—one that suggested a complete lack of trust in the government and ruling elite that has controlled the public sphere since the 2011 revolution. The official results announced two days after elections by the independent electoral commission known
Oct 4, 2019
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Dhia Otay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How the Syrian War Shifted Attitudes Towards Arab–Israeli Rapprochement
Anti-Israel mobilization and rhetoric have always been a prominent feature of official Arab discourse, regardless of political orientation. Islamist, nationalist, and secular parties have all seen vocal hatred of Israel as a cornerstone for rallying support and a vehicle to spread unrelated political messages to achieve related objectives, with unrelated
Oct 4, 2019
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Hadeel Oueis
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Bigoted Populism May Spell the End of Lebanon as a Modern State
An existential battle is raging in Lebanon regarding the country’s national character, identity, and prospects, with nothing less at stake than the success or failure of Lebanon as a modern project. Given that the country occupies a unique place in the wider Arab consciousness, the implications of its failure have
Oct 4, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
As Protests Explode, Iraq Must Get Serious About Reform
The public’s demands are just and their patience is all but gone, so Baghdad needs to get on with the hard work of opening up the economy and providing critical services before the violence spirals out of control.
Oct 4, 2019
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Supreme Leader Putting ‘Heroic Flexibility’ Aside
Khamenei’s latest high-profile speech may indicate his growing confidence that Iran can cope with U.S. pressure and set a high bar for resuming talks.
Oct 4, 2019
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Omer Carmi
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Kuwait: A Changing System Under Stress
Sudden Succession Essay Series
In a Gulf region experiencing sharp tensions, how might a leadership transition in Kuwait affect a much-needed node of stability?
Oct 4, 2019
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Kristian Coates Ulrichsen
Simon Henderson
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Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Prioritizes Its Own Interests, Putting Lebanon at Risk
As demonstrators rail against economic problems, corruption, and sectarianism, the group’s role in undermining the public’s financial and physical security is coming under greater scrutiny.
Oct 3, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Saudi Ties, a Year After Khashoggi’s Death
The crown prince’s televised apologies and welcome domestic reforms are overshadowed by his government’s ongoing litany of human rights abuses.
Oct 3, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt, Haftar, and U.S. Passive Interest in the Libyan Conflict
Though Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar promised a short battle for Tripoli, his Libyan National Army (LNA) forces are still engaged in a months-long siege of the city against he forces of the Islamist-backed Government of National Accord (GNA) led by Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj. In the midst of Libya’s civil
Oct 3, 2019
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Mohamed Maher
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