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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Articles & Testimony
Syria Strikes Show U.S. a “Cool Customer” in Containing Gaza Crisis...for Now
Iran-backed groups have remained on the move since October 7, likely accounting for the increase in Israeli strike activity.
Oct 26, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syrians' Reactions to the First Weeks of Israel-Hamas War
Syrians' responses to Hamas’ attack—and subsequent Israeli airstrikes in the Gaza Strip—have been varied, splitting along regional, political, and ideological lines.
Oct 24, 2023
◆
  • Ammar Musarea
A Marine Corps training jet on board the USS Gerald Ford, CVN-78 - source: Department of Defense
Articles & Testimony
Will Hezbollah Target American Assets Amid Israel’s War on Gaza?
Iranian proxies are deliberately escalating against American forces in the region as a warning against continued support for Israel’s war, but Hezbollah attacks would take the crisis to a different level.
Oct 23, 2023
◆
  • David Schenker
Figure 3 A 5x3 cube of 107mm rockets, Baghdad, October 19, 2023.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Facade Group Linked to Iran Claims Five Attacks on Americans in Iraq and Syria
A new Telegram account claiming anti-U.S. attacks is linked to Iran's Qods Force and other designated terrorist organizations.
Oct 20, 2023
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  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Photo showing flame and smoke rising over Lebanon's border with Israel.
Video
Brief Analysis
Will Hezbollah and Iran Expand War to Israel's North?
A former senior IDF official joins Lebanese and U.S. experts to discuss whether additional fronts are poised to open in the north, and what Washington is doing to avert this risk.
Oct 17, 2023
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  • Yair Golan
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • David Schenker
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Deterring Escalation and Expansion of the Gaza War by Iran’s “Axis of Resistance”
The United States must underscore the risks that such action would incur and incentivize Tehran to rein in its proxies and partners.
Oct 13, 2023
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
An Israeli flag is projected on the Eiffel Tower in Paris in response to the Hamas terror attacks on Israel in October 2023 - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
International Reactions to the Hamas Attack on Israel
At least forty-four nations have condemned Hamas and decried its tactics as terrorism, but regional players such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Syria, and Iraq have pinned responsibility on Israel.
Oct 11, 2023
◆
  • Cleary Waldo
  • Gabriel Epstein
  • Sydney Hilbush
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
◆ Tracking International Reactions to the Hamas-Israel War
Brief Analysis
Syria and the Hamas Attack: Another Potential Iran-Backed Front?
New Golan attacks and deployments by Iran-sponsored militias and Syrian forces are creating a worrisome distraction as Israel deals with the crisis on its southern front.
Oct 11, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
U.S. soldier and member of SDF
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
As Protests in Syria Reignite, Many Syrians Look for a Change in U.S. Policy
Recent developments will require the U.S. to expand its objectives in Syria and to reevaluate its approach to local alliances if it hopes to shape a positive outcome to the bubbling frustrations in Syria.
Oct 6, 2023
◆
  • Ammar Musarea
Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir meets with U.S. President Richard Nixon and Secretary of State Henry Kissinger at the White House in 1973. Source: Library of Congress
Articles & Testimony
Miscalculations and Legacies: A Look Back at the 1973 War Half a Century On
Historians continue to debate “what if” scenarios about the pivotal conflict that reshaped the Middle East.
Fall 2023
◆
  • David Makovsky
◆ The October 1973 War Redux
Protesting Syrians in the town of Suwayda hold signs and Druze flags - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How to Support the Latest Revolt in Syria
Opening a low-cost Jordanian humanitarian corridor in the south would go far toward bolstering the Druze and preventing Assad from besieging and starving them.
Sep 2023
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
A woman at the Al-Hawl (or Al-Hol) detention camp in Syria - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Agency and Roles of Foreign Women in ISIS
An in-depth study on how authorities can pursue justice for victims of ISIS atrocities while simultaneously addressing rehabilitation, reintegration, and the broader aim of redirecting women away from supporting such groups.
Aug 2023
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Joana Cook
Articles & Testimony
The Islamic State’s Shadow Governance in Eastern Syria Since the Fall of Baghuz
Given the group’s multileveled efforts to exert local authority, it could resurge quickly into full territorial control if the coalition pulls back too soon.
Sep 22, 2023
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Devorah Margolin
Russian sailors parade with their national and Navy flags in the port of Sevastopol in occupied Crimea - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Understanding Russia’s War on Ukraine Starts with Understanding Russia’s Black Sea Politics
Putin views the Black Sea as an important springboard for projecting power into the Middle East, Europe, and the Mediterranean, and the West should push back accordingly.
Sep 20, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Protesting Syrians in the town of Suwayda hold signs and Druze flags - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Syria’s New Protests Highlight Vulnerabilities in Assad’s Minority Base
Growing unrest in Suwayda and other traditionally loyal areas may help force Assad’s hand on longstanding local, U.S., and allied demands.
Sep 8, 2023
◆
  • Erik Yavorsky
Families of Islamic State fighters in Syria - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Trends in the Return and Prosecution of ISIS Foreign Terrorist Fighters in the United States
An in-depth update on Washington's complicated but crucial efforts to repatriate fighters and their families from northeast Syria and other hotspots.
Aug 29, 2023
◆
  • Tanya Mehra
  • Merlina Herbach
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Austin Doctor
Two Ukraine-owned and operated Bayraktar drones
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
A "System of Systems" Approach to Countering Drones:
Examining Recent Operations from the Middle East to Ukraine
Military officials are seeking not a silver bullet but instead advances based on existing layered, interoperable systems.
Aug 7, 2023
◆
  • Eric Feely
Syrian refugees leaving Turkey after earthquake
Articles & Testimony
Deterring Russia’s Horizontal Escalation in Syria
To dissuade Moscow from further provocations that endanger coalition forces, the West needs to demonstrate that it has other military and political options in Syria.
Aug 3, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
The logo of the Russian mercinary force The Wagner Group on an office door in Moscow - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Wagner Group in Syria: Profiting Off Failed States
Despite discord between the Wagner Group and the Russian government, the entrenched economic and military engagement of Wagner forces in Syria is unlikely to change soon.
Jul 21, 2023
◆
  • Emad Bouzo
Brief Analysis
On Syria Aid, Don’t Bet on the Security Council
Seventeen Russian vetoes have hobbled the council’s ability to keep humanitarian assistance flowing, so Washington and its allies should look to the General Assembly instead—or take matters into their own hands on the Turkish border.
Jul 19, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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