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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Brief Analysis
The Trump-Putin Sideline and the Syria Conflict
Whatever the two leaders discuss at the G20 summit, the Trump administration must work urgently to develop a new Syria strategy that articulates a clear vision for the country's future and the U.S. readiness to protect it.
Jul 6, 2017
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Qatari leader Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Qatar Crisis: Worst Case Scenarios
A dramatic response by Qatar could entail an appeal to the UN Security Council or, more dangerously, an attempt to play its military cards, both of which would carry risks for the United States.
Jul 6, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Simmering Trouble in Oil-Rich Shia Area Complicates Riyadh's Concerns
Incidents in the town of al-Awamiyah are creating headaches for the Saudi leadership and adding to regional tensions.
Jul 5, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation Dynamics with Iran in Syria -- and Beyond
Given recent frictions, the United States should take a number of steps to reduce the potential for escalation with Tehran and to avoid a broader conflict.
Jul 5, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State
Over the past eight years, al-Qaeda's fortunes have ebbed and flowed. Drones, uprisings, and a challenge from the Islamic State have forced the core al-Qaeda organization—historically based in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region—and its various branches to adapt and migrate outward. In this new Policy Focus, Washington Institute fellow Aaron Y. Zelin
Jun 28, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Waiting Game in Sinjar
From Ankara's perspective, an optimal outcome may ultimately involve using soft power, rather than actual force, to remove its Kurdish PKK and YPG adversaries from the district.
Jun 27, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Fight for the Northern Iraq-Syria Border
At the symbolic level, Iran and its proxies are achieving great success in planting their flags along this contested frontier, but real control will entail the much tougher task of establishing permanent bases and logistical arrangements.
Jun 27, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Tillerson's 'Peaceful' Regime Change for Iran:
Really? And What Comes Next?
Efforts by U.S. officials to identify or suggest support for anti-regime "elements" within Iran will only undermine any authenticity these elements previously enjoyed.
Jun 26, 2017
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  • Eric Pelofsky
Articles & Testimony
Green-on-Blue Attacks in Jordan
Even as Washington adapts to changing circumstances, the risks for U.S. military personnel in Jordan will likely persist.
Jun 23, 2017
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Iran Missile Strikes Reveal Potential Military Weaknesses
The retaliatory attacks against alleged Islamic State facilities in eastern Syria apparently failed to hit any of their intended targets, undermining Iranian deterrence and raising questions about the effectiveness of Iran's missile force.
Jun 22, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
What's Behind Moscow's Latest Threats in Syria
Bluster from the Kremlin should not be interpreted to mean Putin wants a direct military confrontation with the United States.
Jun 21, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Trump Is on a Collision Course with Iran
The United States cannot defeat the Islamic State without first reckoning with Iran's nefarious role in Syria.
Jun 20, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
A New Battlespace in Syria: Prospects for U.S. Policy
Iran-led forces present arguably the greatest future threat to U.S. military personnel and overall interests in Syria, and therefore must be the centerpiece of a broader strategy addressing the conflict.
Jun 20, 2017
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  • Nader Uskowi
Articles & Testimony
Russia's Strategic Objectives in the Middle East and North Africa
The Institute's leading Russia expert outlines the best means of tempering Moscow's influence in the region, recommending a more active U.S. military and diplomatic role while explaining why Putin will never be a reliable partner there.
Jun 15, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Redeployment in Syria: Potential Confrontations
If Washington fails to press Russia diplomatically and raise the military costs on Hezbollah, a wider confrontation may erupt between U.S. and Iranian proxies in Syria.
Jun 13, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Resetting U.S.-Gulf Ties: Beyond Summits and Arms Sales
A sustainable reset will require greater consultation prior to policy initiatives, a greater willingness among GCC states to work together, and a U.S. willingness to reassume a leadership role by fashioning security policy frameworks for its partners.
Jun 9, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
U.S. Options in the Qatar Crisis
To prevent escalation and preserve American interests in the Gulf, Washington should consider various steps on the diplomatic, military, energy, and counterterrorism fronts.
Jun 7, 2017
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  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
  • Simon Henderson
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
The Scramble for Eastern Syria
Washington's best option is to let the Assad regime expend its energy pushing out toward the Euphrates while preparing for the advance to stall, as it appears likely to do.
Jun 3, 2017
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Military Victory in Mosul Likely to Lift P.M. Abadi's Reelection Campaign
Without a concrete plan for the aftermath of the city's fall, a very complex multilateral conflict may soon erupt in northern Iraq.
Jun 2, 2017
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Contain Iran? Fine, But Answer These Questions First
Whatever understandings the Trump administration reaches after the Islamic State is defeated, it needs to be clear about the stakes: if America does not stop the Iranians in Syria and Iraq, they will soon emerge as the region's dominant force.
Jun 1, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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