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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Brief Analysis
Crossing Redlines: Escalation Dynamics in Syria
Tehran and its allies will test U.S. and Israeli limits again, requiring deterrent responses that are tough, consistent, and paired with political reassurances to allies.
Feb 13, 2018
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Israel Signaling a Heavy Price for Iranian 'Entrenchment' in Syria
If Tehran keeps trying to increase its military foothold in Syria, Israel may ramp up its strikes, so Washington should consider a more active posture that reduces the risks of escalation.
Feb 12, 2018
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Hush-Hush Deal That Keeps the Middle East from Exploding
Israeli and Palestinian officials may growl at one another, but their soldiers are quietly cooperating behind the scenes to keep the peace -- as long as the Trump administration doesn't pull their funding.
Feb 12, 2018
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  • Neri Zilber
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Articles & Testimony
After the Weekend's Iran-Israel Attacks, a Burden on Trump to Confront Russia and Engage Europe
Before the next shoe drops in Syria, the administration needs to get blunt with Putin and ask EU officials to warn Tehran about renewed sanctions.
Feb 12, 2018
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  • Dennis Ross
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Charting Sectarianism in the Syria War
Does Syria's climate of ethnic and sectarian hostility stem from seven years of war, or do its social fissures predate the conflict?
Feb 8, 2018
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Video
Brief Analysis
Rolling Back Iran's Foreign Legion
Two experts diagnose the Shia militia problem in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq, offering concrete advice for reducing the power of Iran's proxies.
Feb 6, 2018
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Phillip Smyth
Brief Analysis
Supporting the New Gulf Effort to Ease Yemen's Humanitarian Crisis
Riyadh and its allies are finally moving to reduce the humanitarian impact of their blockade, so U.S. officials and other actors should take corresponding steps to assist aid flows, secure ceasefires, and promote a diplomatic solution to the crisis.
Feb 5, 2018
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  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Foreign Legion:
The Impact of Shia Militias on U.S. Foreign Policy
The leading such group is Lebanese Hezbollah, but Iraq's PMF and Yemen's Houthis also pose serious threats.
Feb 1, 2018
Brief Analysis
With or Without Putin, Israel Is Willing to Enforce Lebanon Redline
Through Moscow meetings and public statements, Israeli officials have made clear that Iranian weapons facilities in Lebanon are a game changer, so escalation is quite possible if Tehran ignores their warnings.
Feb 1, 2018
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Containing the Afrin Crisis: Turkey's Goals and Military Challenges
Given the continued Islamic State threat in Syria, Washington cannot afford what is shaping up to be a bloody conflagration between allies it needs to eradicate the group.
Jan 31, 2018
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  • Barak Barfi
Articles & Testimony
NATO Leaders Need to Have a Frank Talk with Turkey's President -- Behind Closed Doors
By helping Erdogan break his authoritarian habit now, Washington and Paris can prevent the nightmare scenario of a Turkey crippled by its own self-destructive tendencies.
Jan 26, 2018
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How to Stop the War Between Turkey and the Syrian Kurds
Fighting between two vital U.S. allies will only strengthen Assad and Iran.
Jan 25, 2018
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  • James Jeffrey
  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Conflict and Cover-Up: The Real Story of What Is Happening in Yemen
As Saudi military failures draw ever-sharper criticism, Iran seems content to support proxy actions that stop just short of prompting a direct clash with Riyadh.
Jan 25, 2018
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Evolution of Shia Insurgency in Bahrain
With Iran's help, militant cells are poised to add unmanned vehicles, anti-armor weapons, and other potent capabilities to their existing IED and combat skill set.
Jan 24, 2018
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  • Michael Knights
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The UAE/Qatar Rivalry Is Escalating
In light of Emirati complaints about the Qatari air force intercepting civilian airliners, Washington should caution both sides in the ongoing Gulf dispute.
Jan 17, 2018
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Video
Middle East FAQs Volume 1: What is the Shia Crescent?
Institute experts Patrick Clawson, Hanin Ghaddar, and Nader Uskowi discuss Iran's growing influence from the Persian Gulf to the Mediterranean and beyond.
Jan 17, 2018
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Nader Uskowi
In-Depth Reports
Regional Pushback, Nuclear Rollback:
A Comprehensive Strategy for an Iran in Turmoil
This past October, President Trump rolled out a new U.S. strategy toward Iran focused, in the president's words, on the country's destabilizing regional activities, support for terrorist proxies, and proliferation of missiles; he also mentioned the need to fix "serious flaws" in the July 2015 nuclear deal. Trump's plan, however
Jan 11, 2018
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Setting the Stage for Provincial Elections in Kirkuk
The disputed area is more combustible than ever, but the United States still has time to press for consensus-based security and political decisionmaking.
Jan 10, 2018
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  • Michael Knights
  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Will the Trump Administration Force Oman to Choose Sides?
Washington and its Gulf allies are pressuring Oman on weapons smuggling and other issues, but the president should not discount the depth and potential usefulness of the sultan's ties with Tehran.
Jan 9, 2018
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  • Jay Solomon
Articles & Testimony
Russia in the Mediterranean: Strategies and Aspirations
Two experts distill key points from their Mediterranean Advisory Group meeting on Russian policy in the Middle East and surrounding regions.
Jan 8, 2018
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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