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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Articles & Testimony
As Kabul Evacuation Winds Down, Pakistan Will Take Center Stage
Although Pakistan will be playing its own games in Afghanistan (and against India), planners in the Pentagon will still need to work with Islamabad to preserve future overflight options.
Aug 30, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Photo showing 1983 terrorist attack at U.S. Marine barracks in Beirut, Lebanon.
Articles & Testimony
Stop the Doomsaying, U.S. Credibility Will Weather Afghanistan
Regional mistakes and setbacks stretching back to the Carter administration did not stop countries from relying on Washington, and the Kabul crisis will be no different in the end.
Aug 29, 2021
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
State of Investigation? The International Criminal Court and the “Situation in Palestine”
The legal details of recent preliminary rulings presage the difficulties that the ICC will likely encounter while investigating the Israeli-Palestinian scene, highlighting the broader dilemma of importing political conflicts into the courtroom.
Aug 26, 2021
◆
  • Alexander Loengarov
Photo showing Taliban fighters outside Kabul Airport, August 2021.
Video
Brief Analysis
From Afghanistan to the Middle East:
Implications of the U.S. Withdrawal and Taliban Victory
Three Institute scholars discuss the fallout from Kabul, with special focus on the consequences for global jihadism, Iranian policy, and regional responses.
Aug 26, 2021
◆
  • Kathryn Wheelbarger
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Patrick Clawson
Photo showing Taliban fighters outside Kabul Airport, August 2021.
Articles & Testimony
The Taliban Is Back, and the World’s Jihadis Are Coming
Much ink has been spilled about a potential al-Qaeda comeback, but the Taliban’s return could also send insurgents and refugees streaming toward China, Russia, Iran, Pakistan, and Uzbekistan.
Aug 18, 2021
◆
  • Roy Gutman
Articles & Testimony
How Russia Stands to Gain Thanks to Biden’s Afghanistan Disaster
Whether or not Russian leaders genuinely believe the Taliban will turn into a responsible stakeholder, they will likely be rewarded with more international and regional clout at Washington’s expense.
Aug 18, 2021
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
The Taliban flag on display in Kabul, Afghanistan
Brief Analysis
Return of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan: The Jihadist State of Play
Regardless of the Taliban’s promises to keep foreign terrorist elements in check, its victory is already boosting elements within the jihadist movement and may once again spur foreign fighter traffic to Afghanistan.
Aug 18, 2021
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Iran Is Poised to Exploit the Uncertainties of the Afghan Collapse
Since the fall of Kabul—and well beforehand—Iranian officials have signaled how they might use a Taliban victory to further their goals in the Middle East, though they remain concerned about the fate of Afghan Shia.
Aug 18, 2021
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
PolicyCast Afghanistan Episode Cover
Audio
Articles & Testimony
Podcast: Middle East Fallout of the Afghanistan Withdrawal
Institute scholars share their insights into how the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan and the rapid fall of the country to the Taliban will affect the American strategic position across the Middle East and our relationships with allies, partners, and adversaries
Aug 16, 2021
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Bilal Wahab
  • Kathryn Wheelbarger
A U.S. military helicopter evacuates personnel from the American embassy in Kabul, Afghanistan
Articles & Testimony
As America Exits, History Repeats Itself in Afghanistan
The question is whether and how these historical echoes will affect decisionmaking in Russia, Iran, China, Pakistan, and India.
Aug 14, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How Iran’s Deadly Tanker Attack Is Linked to the Nuclear Deal
If the United States does not respond to the drone strike off Oman, it could impair rather than facilitate progress on the JCPOA talks.
Aug 11, 2021
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Lebanon’s Crisis and UNIFIL’s Mandate Renewal
To make UNIFIL more effective and prevent dangerous destabilization in the south, the Security Council should review the force’s mandate more frequently, reallocate its resources to better fit its mission, make reporting more transparent and accurate, and hold the government and LAF accountable for their obstruction.
Aug 10, 2021
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Assaf Orion
Iranian sailors on board a naval vessel in the Strait of Hormuz
Brief Analysis
Iran-Israel Escalation at Sea: The Need for an International Coalition Response
Lethal targeting and other signs of escalation point to the necessity of a robust international maritime security force with a strong UN mandate.
Aug 9, 2021
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Do Aircraft Carriers Deter Iran?
There are more effective, less costly, and more sustainable ways to deter Tehran and shape its behavior than back-to-back deployments of carrier strike groups to the Gulf.
Aug 6, 2021
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Henry Mihm
Brief Analysis
Russia and Iran Are Supporting Assad’s Latest Attack on Deraa
The actions of Moscow and Tehran’s local forces say much about each country’s true intentions in the area, and the most immediate result could be more ethnic cleansing.
Aug 5, 2021
◆
  • Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Intelligence Organizations and Transnational Suppression
MOIS and other agencies have been surveilling, abducting, and murdering dissidents for nearly four decades now, brazenly conducting operations in foreign countries under hardline and “pragmatic” Iranian governments alike.
Aug 5, 2021
◆
  • Saeid Golkar
Muqawama fighters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Struggle to Show Cohesion on "Withdrawal" of U.S. Forces
A pan-Shia forum and Lebanese Hezbollah prodded the Tansiqiya to grudgingly paper over cracks in solidarity among resistance groups.
Aug 3, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Iranian military drone aircraft on display.
Articles & Testimony
What’s Worse for the Price of Oil—a Belligerent Iran or a Resurgent COVID?
The latest price lurch was rooted in the pandemic’s impact on China’s economy, not the apparent Iranian strike on an Israeli tanker.
Aug 2, 2021
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Etejah
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Al-Etejah Satellite Television
A closer look at the "resistance" television channel owned and operated by U.S.-designated terrorist movement Kataib Hezbollah.
Aug 1, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Russian soldiers in Syria
Brief Analysis
Iran and Russia Are Exploiting America’s Absence in Northeast Syria
By redeploying their military and proxy forces, boosting Assad’s political campaigns, and resorting to various local intimidation tactics, the two countries are increasingly working together on establishing full control in Deir al-Zour.
Jul 29, 2021
◆
  • Oula A. Alrifai
  • Ali Alleile

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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