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Lebanon

Policy Analysis on Lebanon

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Houthi leader Abdul-Malik Badruddin al-Houthi addresses a rally in Sanaa, Yemen - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Houthi Jihad Council: Command and Control in ‘the Other Hezbollah’
The Houthi relationship with the IRGC and Lebanese Hezbollah has grown to the point that regardless of whether fighting in Yemen wanes, the Gulf movement may still play an integrated role in Iran’s future military adventures.
October 2022
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  • Michael Knights
  • Adnan al-Gabarni
  • Casey Coombs
Brief Analysis
The UN Resolution Against Russia’s Ukraine Annexations: How Did the Middle East Vote?
Most of the region supported the measure, with one nay vote, a pair of notable changes since the March resolution, and several strong statements in support of territorial integrity.
Oct 18, 2022
Lightbulb nighttime Beirut cityscape
Articles & Testimony
When There's Good News About the Middle East, We Should Take Note
Israel’s maritime deal with Lebanon, facilitated by U.S. mediation efforts, reduces the risk of war and establishes a precedent in Lebanese recognition of a boundary line.
Oct 17, 2022
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  • Dennis Ross
The Israeli Knesset - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Israel Debates the Lebanon Maritime Deal
The imminent election and the resultant rush to strike a deal are distracting from what could be a significant diplomatic and economic milestone for both countries.
Oct 13, 2022
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  • David Makovsky
Buoys mark the maritime border between Israel and Lebanon in the Mediterranean Sea - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel Falls for Lebanon’s Treaty Bait-and-Switch
The maritime border agreement is a mixed bag, demonstrating how far Israel will go to make peace with Arab states while doing little to decrease the prospects of an eventual war with Hezbollah.
Oct 11, 2022
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
For Hezbollah, a Maritime Border Deal Is a Way to Avoid War
Hezbollah leaders are not ready to act on their many threats of major escalation, so Washington and its allies should prevent the group from reaping the nascent agreement’s reputational and financial benefits.
Sep 23, 2022
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
MEES map showing Israeli and Lebanese maritime border claims in the East Mediterranean.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Karish Gas Field: Diplomatic Opportunity or Casus Belli?
Seven experts examine how the fraught decision to start production might affect Beirut’s negotiating stance, Hezbollah’s military calculus, U.S.-Israel relations, and other factors.
Sep 20, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Ehud Yaari
  • David Makovsky
  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Currency exchange prices on display
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
SDR Allocations in the Middle East: Helpful, but No Silver Bullet
Various governments have made good use of last year’s unprecedented IMF allocation, but the Ukraine war, ongoing debt issues, and other economic problems are a reminder that the region cannot sidestep deeper reforms indefinitely.
Sep 20, 2022
◆
  • Jonah Shrock
Brief Analysis
UN Forces in Lebanon Losing Ground in a Fast-Deteriorating Security Situation
Despite the troubling trends and escalatory incidents described in the latest UN report, the Security Council seems intent on maintaining a failed policy instead of taking urgent action to curb the growing threat of war.
Aug 5, 2022
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Photo showing 1983 terrorist attack at U.S. Marine barracks in Beirut, Lebanon.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Don’t Look Down: The Struggle Over Lebanon’s Airspace
To avoid past mistakes and counter the most potent threat on its borders, Israel requires an accurate intelligence picture in Lebanon, but Iran and Hezbollah risk destabilizing the situation by chipping away at the IDF’s air superiority.
Jul 7, 2022
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  • Assaf Orion
Iran's Arabic media sites and personalities in Arab countries
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The Revolution Will Be Televised in Arabic:
Iran's Media Infrastructure Abroad
An umbrella entity, the Islamic Radio and Television Union, encompasses more than two hundred media groups stretching from Oman to East Africa.
Jun 30, 2022
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
Brief Analysis
How to Avoid Another Lost Year for UNIFIL
At this point, even if the “interim” force was somehow able and willing to implement its mandate in southern Lebanon, it might not be enough to prevent war—but Washington should still press for whatever reforms it can.
Jun 21, 2022
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Assaf Orion
A Mediterranean FPSO
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Karish Offshore Gas Field: Facts and Figures
The country and its energy partners have found a more efficient way to exploit smaller offshore reserves, though Western officials should temper any expectations that such developments will help ease the global energy crisis.
Jun 14, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Lebanon’s (Verbal) Threat Against Israeli Gas Exploration
Production from Israel’s Karish offshore natural gas field is scheduled to start later this year.
Jun 6, 2022
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Palestians on a Mediterranean beach in Gaza
Articles & Testimony
Shifting East Mediterranean Tides: From Conflict to Club Med?
Although the worst-case scenarios of just a few years ago are in abeyance, the best-case ones of transformative cooperation are also still out of reach.
May 2022
◆
  • David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Shia Dynamics and Lebanon's Election: Challenges, Opportunities, and Policy Implications
On the eve of the election, two Lebanese experts joined a former U.S. official to discuss the prospects for widening the cracks in Hezbollah’s core Shia constituency.
May 18, 2022
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Bashshar Haydar
  • David Schenker
A Lebanese protester holds a sign denouncing Iranian influence
Brief Analysis
What Hezbollah’s Parliamentary Loss Means for Lebanon
The voting results provide even more hope for change than meets the eye, though the winners will need international help to prevent Hezbollah from obstructing the next steps.
May 16, 2022
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Hassan Daqou
Brief Analysis
Dethroning Lebanon’s “King of Captagon”
A major international drug smuggler with close ties to Hezbollah has continued threatening Lebanese residents and helping the Assad regime next door, giving Washington ample cause to intervene.
May 9, 2022
◆
  • Lauren Fredericks
Arab Approval of UAE, Bahrain Peace with Israel
Video
Brief Analysis
New Arab Polls on Ukraine, Iran, Israel, and China: Analysis and Implications
Three public opinion experts discuss what March and April surveys in key states reveal about local attitudes toward U.S. policy.
May 3, 2022
◆
  • David Pollock
  • Catherine Cleveland
  • Munqith Dagher
Hezbollah, Colombia, black cocaine
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Hezbollah in Colombia
Past and Present Modus Operandi and the Need for Greater Scrutiny
A probe of the group’s commercial activities can yield insights on its Latin American operations, which in recent years have touched not only Colombia but also Peru, Chile, and Bolivia.
Mar 28, 2022
◆
  • Aurora Ortega

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Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt is the Fromer-Wexler Fellow and director of the Reinhard Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence at The Washington Institute.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Fellow at The Washington Institute's Geduld Program on Arab Politics, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
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