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Iraq

Policy Analysis on Iraq

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Articles & Testimony
Covid-19 and Middle East Proxy Wars: The Storm Before the Calm?
Although the pandemic’s full regional consequences remain murky, some early trends are becoming clear, from caution among certain proxy patrons, to escalation among others, and a looming financial crunch for all.
Apr 29, 2020
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Qaani’s Surprise Visit to Baghdad and the Future of the PMF
The commander’s trip was aimed at uniting Shia militias against the United States and domestic political rivals, but facts on the ground show that the post-Soleimani Qods Force is losing its touch in Iraq.
Apr 10, 2020
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Hamdi Malik
Brief Analysis
Iraq Goes from Zurfi to Kadhimi: U.S. Policy Implications
If Kadhimi’s nomination goes through, it would be good news for Iraq, but Washington’s troubled relationship with Baghdad still needs a radical strategic reset.
Apr 9, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
How the Islamic State Feeds on Coronavirus
The pandemic has shut down counterterrorism operations, and the group is relishing the extra breathing room in Iraq.
Apr 8, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
Viewing regional issues through this broader strategic lens will require Washington to accept painful trade-offs and take a tougher stance with difficult allies.
Mar 30, 2020
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
How to Serve U.S. Interests by Saving Kurdistan’s Economy
Unless Washington intervenes with cost-effective, forceful measures, Iraqi Kurdistan could be the first Middle Eastern economy to implode under the pressure of coronavirus and low oil prices.
Mar 30, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Year Since Baghuz, the Islamic State Is Neither Defeated nor Resurging (Yet)
Although attack statistics have declined, the continued lack of stable governance in Diyala and Deir al-Zour shows that Washington and its partners have not absorbed the lessons provided by previous insurgencies.
Mar 25, 2020
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Honored, Not Contained:
The Future of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces
In this detailed Policy Focus, meant as a primer for Iraqi and international agencies, leading scholars examine the current status of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces.
Mar 23, 2020
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
Brief Analysis
Giving Iraq’s Next Prime Minister Space to Succeed
As the next well-qualified, Iraqi-chosen candidate navigates the delicate ratification process, Washington can avoid disrupting his efforts by temporarily ignoring militia provocations and providing quiet, symbolic support where needed.
Mar 17, 2020
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Health, Financial, and Security Crises Sharpen the Urgency of Forming a Government
Allawi’s cabinet failure may indicate growing Iraqi agency at Iran’s expense, but the path toward political stability remains tortuous and foggy.
Mar 13, 2020
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  • Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
How the U.S. Can Stop the Surge of Deadly Rocket Attacks in Iraq
Congress and the Trump administration should privately agree to some ground rules for timing deterrent strikes on truly high-value targets, while quietly deploying more force-protection assets like Patriot missiles.
Mar 13, 2020
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Shia vs. the ‘Shia Crescent’
Whether by force or politics, Iran desperately needs to reconsolidate power among Shia constituencies throughout the region, but this challenge may prove insurmountable given current public sentiment in Iraq and Lebanon.
Mar 5, 2020
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
‘Fighters Without Borders’: Forecasting New Trends in Iran Threat Network Foreign Operations Tradecraft
To hide its fingerprints on future attacks against U.S. interests, the regime is focusing on its regional 'Shia Liberation Army' and potentially seeking to radicalize lone actors.
Feb 27, 2020
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East’s Future of Perpetual Pandemics
If outbreaks like the coronavirus shift from ‘black swan’ events to regular occurrences, globalization trends in the region may reverse, with sobering consequences.
Feb 26, 2020
◆
  • Michael Knights
U.S. soldiers at an Iraqi base after a rocket attack by Iran-backed militias
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S. Strategy Toward Iran: Restoring Deterrence, Enabling Diplomacy
Three experts discuss how Washington can manage escalation and catalyze diplomacy while still using its military instruments to apply pressure.
Feb 14, 2020
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Kori Schake
  • David Deptula
Brief Analysis
Establishing a Response Ratio for Iranian and Proxy Attacks
Enhancing deterrence and protecting Americans in Iraq and Syria requires a more formalized system for rationing out retaliatory strikes at the proper intensity, time, and place.
Feb 13, 2020
◆
  • Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Latest Battle for Idlib Could Send Another Wave of Refugees to Europe
Various displacement scenarios may unfold as the fighting escalates, each carrying a high risk of negative humanitarian and economic consequences even if the parties live up to their promises.
Feb 10, 2020
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Brief Analysis
The Persistent Threat from the Islamic State and Al-Qaeda: The View from the UN
The head of the UN team charged with monitoring each group assesses their prospects for bouncing back and recommends further steps that governments can take to counter them.
Feb 6, 2020
◆
  • Edmund Fitton-Brown
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Centering Iraq Policy on Human Rights and Fair Elections
The surest way to counter Iran’s malign influence is to proactively focus on human rights issues that the new prime minister can actually affect, such as organizing free elections and preventing further violence against protestors.
Feb 4, 2020
◆
  • Michael Knights
Video
Brief Analysis
Shia Militias in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon Post-Soleimani
Will the various regional militias once controlled by Qasem Soleimani continue to take sometimes-unwanted direction from Tehran after his death? Read or watch a spirited conversation with three experts.
Jan 30, 2020
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Phillip Smyth
  • Hanin Ghaddar

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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