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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Yemeni rebel soldiers in Aden
Articles & Testimony
How I Got the Inside Story of the UAE’s Liberation of Aden
By conversing and embedding with Emirati soldiers over the course of several years, a Washington Institute military expert was able to capture the history and stakes of an unsung operation to save Yemen’s strategically crucial port city.
Jan 6, 2023
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  • Michael Knights
Crown Prince Muhammad and President Xi walking in Riyadh.
Brief Analysis
Assessing Xi Jinping’s Middle East Trip
His discussions on nuclear proliferation, energy markets, defense cooperation, and other issues offered numerous contrasts with President Biden’s summer meetings in Saudi Arabia—as well as some unexpected criticism of Iran.
Dec 22, 2022
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  • Grant Rumley
  • Carol Silber
  • Eric Feely
  • Sarah Cahn
  • Sude Akgundogdu
  • Lauren von Thaden
  • Faris Almaari
Muscat
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Stabilizing Factor: Oman’s Quiet Influence amid Mounting Uncertainty in the Gulf
Based on its sound reputation as a conflict mediator and talks facilitator, Oman is well-positioned to tone down flaring rivalries in the Gulf and prevent tensions from spiraling out of control.
Dec 22, 2022
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  • Leonardo Jacopo Maria Mazzucco
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salmon durnig a meeting with Russian President Vladimor Putin in Rihady - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Saudi Prisoner Diplomacy During the Ukraine War
Washington and Riyadh once again seem unable to keep their misunderstandings private, but the Saudi crown prince has proven his ability to mediate certain U.S.-Russian disputes if called on.
Dec 20, 2022
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  • Bennett Neuhoff
UAE Flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New UAE Poll Shows Nuance on Domestic Issues; Growing Public Uncertainty over U.S. Relations; Split Views of Iran & Israel
Although many results are consistent with past polling, the most recent Emirati survey reveals interesting perspectives on Iran, the economy, and other issues.
Dec 20, 2022
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  • Catherine Cleveland
Leaders assemble for the France-sponsored Baghdad Conference in August 2021 - source: Government of Iraq
Brief Analysis
A Baghdad Summit in Amman: Implications for Regional Stability
The French-sponsored event could be a welcome starting point for wider cooperation between Iraq’s new government and its Arab neighbors—particularly Jordan—but only time will tell whether agreements made there come to fruition.
Dec 19, 2022
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  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Bilal Wahab
Saudi Arabia Flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Poll: Some Surprises on the U.S., Iran, Israel, Oil, and More
Saudis voiced their thoughts on global partners, internal dynamics, and regional issues, including opinions on the Iranian protests and nuclear dilemma.
Dec 16, 2022
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Are the Saudis Reconsidering Their Nuclear Posture?
Various historical and recent factors suggest that the nuclear dimension of Gulf politics is again in flux amid a deepening world energy crisis.
Dec 12, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets Chinese President Xi Jinping at a summit in Beijing - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East in a Multipolar Era: Why America’s Allies Are Flirting With Russia and China
Because many states are eschewing both alignment with a single great power and nonalignment, the best U.S. response to this “omni-alignment” is creating more tailored opportunities for high-value cooperation with Washington.
Dec 7, 2022
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  • Michael Singh
Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman in Riyadh
Brief Analysis
What Saudi Arabia Wants from President Xi’s Visit
China is already one of the kingdom’s major commercial partners and a significant supplier of military and nuclear technology, but Riyadh wants more of each.
Dec 6, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Carol Silber
Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani receives President of the United Arab Emirates Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan in Doha, Qatar - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
UAE Leader Visits Qatar: An Advance, Not a Breakthrough
Sandwiched between meetings with a Taliban leader and Israel’s president, the Doha trip reflects the scope and versatility of Emirati diplomacy.
Dec 5, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Iran Soccer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran Team’s Ambivalent Approach to Protests During the World Cup
Iran's loss at the World Cup coincides with controversy and tensions both back home and around the globe.
Dec 2, 2022
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  • S. Houseini
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
Inflation, Soccer, Russia’s Mischief—Will Anyone Pay Attention to OPEC+?
Whether or not the cartel tweaks production quotas at its next meeting, ongoing global crises and the approach of a dark, cold winter in Europe may yet cause economic shudders.
Dec 1, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
An Iranian soccer fan protests at a World Cup game in Qatar - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Team Melli vs. Team USA: Iran’s Game of Contradictions
The regime’s often-hypocritical handling of this year’s World Cup comes to a head with a matchup against the United States, and a political victory seems unattainable regardless of the results on the field.
Nov 29, 2022
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Lieutenant General Asim Munir, newly appointed as the new Chief Of Army Staff of Pakistan, meets with President Arif Alvi in Islamabad - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Pakistan’s New Military Leader and the Gulf
For U.S. and Gulf officials alike, the appointment of a potential military dictator in the world’s only nuclear-armed Islamic state bears close watching.
Nov 28, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Saudi Fans
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Saudi Arabia’s Surprise Soccer Victory
The Saudi men’s team’s major upset against Argentina in their opening World Cup match has brought together many Saudis and the Arab world writ large in celebration, demonstrating the powerful pull of the game.
Nov 23, 2022
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  • Faris Almaari
Palestians on a Mediterranean beach in Gaza
Brief Analysis
Changing Population Patterns Will Reshape the Middle East
Several of the region’s demographic heavyweights will be surpassed, and major shifts at the global level may affect how great powers vie for influence there as well.
Nov 22, 2022
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  • Patrick Clawson
U.S. Army tactical microgrid equipment - source: U.S. Army
Brief Analysis
Using Microgrids to Provide Energy Security for U.S. Bases in the Middle East
The Ukraine war has shown how vulnerable military facilities are to potential attacks on a host country’s energy infrastructure, but Washington has cost-effective renewable options to mitigate this risk, especially in the Middle East.
Nov 21, 2022
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  • Nathan P. Olsen
A statue of the men's FIFA World Cup trophy on display in downtown Tehran, Iran - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
A Politically Challenging World Cup for Iran
Instead of attracting tourists, boosting the economy, and rallying Iranians around the flag, this year’s tournament could turn into a Pyrrhic victory for the regime given its dire political situation at home.
Nov 18, 2022
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  • Omer Carmi
Qatari and Saudi soccer players in the 2014 Gulf Cup final game - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Gulf Rivalries and the Qatar World Cup
Nearly two years after Gulf neighbors put a splint on their diplomatic fracture with Doha, persistent tensions and historic quarrels will form a major part of the competition’s backdrop.
Nov 17, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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