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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Articles & Testimony
As Israel, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates Normalize Ties, China Looks on Warily
The growing Arab-Israeli rapprochement may be good for the Middle East, but it poses problems for Beijing’s strategy in the region.
Oct 13, 2020
◆
  • Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Arabs Taking Risks for Peace: Stories from the Frontlines of People-to-People Contact with Israelis
Courageous Arab civic actors discuss the enormous hurdles they have faced in engaging with Israelis and supporting broader social and legislative normalization.
Oct 8, 2020
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  • Ismail Sayyid Ahmad
  • Sukina Meshekhis
  • Ahdeya Ahmed Al-Sayed
  • Mohamed Al-Hammadi
  • Joseph Braude
Brief Analysis
Caucasus Clash Could Endanger Israeli Oil Imports
Israel’s normalization agreement with the United Arab Emirates may enable Gulf oil to make up for any break in Azerbaijani supplies, though this option could harm its ties with Baku and Turkey.
Oct 6, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Kuwait’s Precarious Mediation Role May Be Imperiled by the Emir’s Passing
The country’s six decades as regional intermediary have been undercut in recent years by younger Gulf leaders less inclined to traditional methods of conflict resolution, and Sheikh Sabah’s death may put this role at further risk.
Oct 5, 2020
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Emir’s Death Leaves Kuwait Vulnerable to Gulf Rivals
From family competition and parliamentary rumblings to potential friction with various neighbors, the oil-rich U.S. ally may face a challenging transition.
Sep 29, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
UAE-Israel Peace Is Revealing the Middle East’s Faultlines
Much of the commentary surrounding the deal has focused on what it portends for the Palestinian issue and other Israeli relationships, but it may say just as much about the four rival factions that have crystallized in the region since 2011.
Sep 26, 2020
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
How to Balance Competing Priorities with an F-35 Sale to the UAE
The sale offers strategic opportunities at a time of pivoting U.S. policy, and the concerns raised in Washington and abroad can be addressed through deliberate technical limitations, financing restrictions, offsetting benefits for Israel, and other measures.
Sep 23, 2020
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  • Christine McVann
Articles & Testimony
Diplomacy Built Israeli-Arab Peace. The Private Sector Will Sustain It.
Bahrain, Israel, and the UAE must now focus on the practical steps required to scale up their relations, including efforts related to civil aviation, banking, tourist sites, and more.
Sep 23, 2020
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Britain in Oman: Washington’s Strategic Partner
London is investing heavily in supporting its relationship with Muscat, not least because Omani mediation can often be more effective than its own in fostering regional stability and security.
Sep 18, 2020
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  • Jonathan Campbell-James
Yemen matrix feature image
Maps & Graphics
Yemen Matrix: Allies & Adversaries
The Yemen Matrix is a guide to the relationships between the core actors involved in the country’s various conflicts. It is meant to be a starter resource for new analysts, a quick-access volume for policymakers, and a refresher for experts.
Sep 17, 2020
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
How the Abraham Accords Look Forward, Not Back
Close reading of Israel’s agreements with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain shows how their strictly bilateral focus could affect the chances for people-to-people engagement and regional security cooperation, depending on each government's political will.
Sep 16, 2020
◆
  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Why Moscow Is Quiet on the Israel-UAE Peace Deal
The fact that American rather than Russian mediation helped broker a major Middle East peace agreement is a blow to Putin’s ongoing quest for restored great-power status.
Sep 15, 2020
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
'Farewell, Fossil Fuels'? What Oil's Demise Will Do to the World's Leading Economies
The combination of new demand projections, green consumer trends, pandemic-related shifts, and other factors may not spell the end of Middle Eastern oil economies quite yet, but it is the first draft of their obituary.
Sep 15, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The F-35 Triangle: America, Israel, the United Arab Emirates
Selling the advanced U.S. jet to a foreign government ought to signal the highest confidence in that country’s warfighting capabilities, decisionmaking on the use of force, and commitment to protecting sensitive technology, but the UAE’s record on each of these issues is mixed.
Sep 15, 2020
◆
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Dana Stroul
Video
Brief Analysis
The UAE-Israel Breakthrough: Bilateral and Regional Implications and U.S. Policy
Former diplomats and experts discuss what steps each party should take after the historic White House signing ceremony, and how to bring the Palestinians and other actors into the fold.
Sep 14, 2020
◆
  • Ebtesam al-Ketbi
  • Dore Gold
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • David Makovsky
Mahmoud Abbas Checking His Watch
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East Is Changing. Will Palestinians Be Left Behind?
The Palestinian issue has become far less of a priority for most Arab states, who now tend to see Israel as a bulwark against regional threats and a partner on urgent health, water, and food-security needs.
Sep 13, 2020
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Move Toward Israel Risks Domestic Reaction
The announcement of a peace deal between Israel and Bahrain suggests that the Gulf island kingdom has reassessed the danger of opposition from both its majority Shia population and its Sunni community.
Sep 11, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Qatar Strategic Dialogue Offers Opening to End Gulf Rift
The Washington meeting between the United States and Qatar, overlapping with the Israel-UAE signing ceremony on normalization, creates a unique opportunity to resolve the dispute between U.S. allies.
Sep 11, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Road Beyond UAE-Israel Normalization
Netanyahu’s strategy of bypassing the intractable Palestinian issue has paid substantial dividends worldwide, but a peace treaty ‘domino effect’ is unlikely in the near term given various calculations in Riyadh and other Arab capitals.
Sep 10, 2020
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Here’s How Palestinians Could Benefit from the Diplomatic Deal Between Israel and the United Arab Emirates
Skillful U.S. and Arab diplomacy could use normalization and the accompanying annexation freeze as a base for renewed momentum toward an eventual two-state solution.
Sep 10, 2020
◆
  • David Makovsky
  • Daniel Shapiro

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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