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Energy & Economics

Policy Analysis on Energy & Economics

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Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Throwing a Tantrum but Wants a Deal
Defiant warnings aside, Tehran will eventually negotiate with President Trump—as long as Vladimir Putin mediates.
Aug 15, 2018
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Attacks Moderates as Source of Iran's Problems
Hardliners have been exploiting the recurrent unrest as an excuse to lambaste the government’s economic track record, interfere with its prerogatives in various sectors, and double down on the Supreme Leader’s 'resistance' strategy.
Aug 15, 2018
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
A Horrible Game Changer
Washington's frustration regarding UNRWA reform and budgetary issues is understandable, but cutting off aid indefinitely will only destabilize Gaza and Jordan.
Aug 8, 2018
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Sanctions Could Hurt Turkish Economy but Strengthen Erdogan
An economic meltdown may simply push his supporters to dig in on a worldview that posits unending Western assaults against the Turkish nation and wider Muslim community.
Aug 7, 2018
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Bahrain's Perfect Storm
The strategic Gulf island on the frontline against Iran faces formidable financial and diplomatic challenges, made more complicated by looming parliamentary elections.
Jul 30, 2018
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Curbing Houthi Attacks on Civilian Ships in the Bab al-Mandab
The latest tanker attack by Iranian-backed rebels underlines the need to restore the entire Red Sea coast to Yemen’s internationally recognized government.
Jul 27, 2018
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran Is at a Strategic Crossroads Again
As the regime’s strategy for countering the Trump administration continues to falter, will its traditional two-step of provocation and restraint give way to wider escalation?
Jul 25, 2018
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
Could Oil Prices Skyrocket to $200 a Barrel...or More?
Energy markets are sophisticated enough to absorb small amounts of bad news and presidential tweets, but they don't like protracted uncertainty.
Jul 24, 2018
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Reimplementing Iran Sanctions: Where, How, and How Much?
Read or watch a conversation with former Treasury and State Department officials on how the Trump administration should go about renewing financial pressure on Iran's oil industry and other sectors.
Jul 20, 2018
◆
  • Daniel L. Glaser
  • Suzanne Maloney
  • Katherine Bauer
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Putting Iraq-KRG Oil Relations on Solid Legal Ground
Notwithstanding their decades of contention, the two governments must resolve their differences legally to make way for economic development and stave off public unrest.
Jul 19, 2018
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Iran After the JCPOA Withdrawal (Part 2): Shaping Tehran’s Response
Tehran will likely resort to measured countermoves in the nuclear domain at first, but successful U.S. pressure could spur it to challenge JCPOA limits, take action in non-nuclear domains, or push back against U.S. and allied forces.
Jul 17, 2018
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Haftar's Play for Libyan Oil
To preserve Libyan unity, the United States should threaten to block any oil shipments not authorized by the country's internationally recognized government.
Jul 3, 2018
◆
  • Ben Fishman
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
OPEC Nations, Including Iran, Subject to Moscow-Riyadh Decisions
The cartel’s latest meetings may solidify a Saudi-Russian axis on oil, and could portend future diplomatic cooperation and military sales as well.
Jun 21, 2018
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Vulnerabilities to U.S. Sanctions (Part 2): Working Smarter, Not Harder
Pending policy decisions on reimposing sanctions will give Washington opportunities to calibrate its arsenal of measures against illicit Iranian financial activity.
Jun 18, 2018
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Vulnerabilities to U.S. Sanctions (Part 1): Finding the Weak Spots
The regime’s most vulnerable point is its precarious banking system, whose persistent mismanagement, capital shortfalls, and lack of transparency have already sparked public protests.
Jun 14, 2018
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
In Search of a New Patron, the KRG Turns Back to Moscow
As the Iraqi Kurds reach out to Russia, the Kremlin’s sway over their politics and energy resources is growing.
Jun 14, 2018
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Jordan’s Economic Protests: Repackaging Reform
A new government, delayed tax hikes, and extra Gulf aid can alleviate unrest for now, but such measures cannot mask the kingdom’s fundamental need for unpopular economic reforms.
Jun 13, 2018
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Saudi Cabinet Changes: The 'March of Modernization'?
The raft of new appointments reflects the crown prince’s vision of transforming the economy, but a simultaneous statement about recent arrests shows the limits on political freedom.
Jun 4, 2018
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
China in the Middle East: Following in American Footsteps?
Growing great-power competition and a shift in American defense policy could create a power vacuum in the Middle East.
Jun 1, 2018
◆
  • Michael Singh
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Brief Analysis
When the Ayatollah Cried Mouse
Khamenei’s Ramadan speech combined explicit attacks on the United States, implicit criticism of Rouhani’s approach, and excessive demands on Europe, seemingly bracing the regime for one of the toughest challenges of his thirty-year rule.
May 25, 2018
◆
  • Omer Carmi

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome was a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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