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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Brief Analysis
Turkey's Political Scene Post-Election (Part 1): The AKP-CHP Option
A governing alliance bringing together the country's two largest parties could end an era of polarization, but would not be free of challenges.
Jun 22, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Political Scene Post-Election (Part 2): The AKP-MHP Option
A coalition with the MHP could result in a socially conservative government that exacerbates rather than resolves the Kurdish problem, potentially impeding U.S.-Turkish efforts against ISIS in Syria.
Jun 22, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 10, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 10, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
What Turkey's Election Results Mean
The outcome has dealt a blow to the AKP's longstanding dominance and Erdogan's goal of implementing a presidential system, with potential implications for the economy, Syria policy, and the Kurdish movement.
Jun 8, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jun 7, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Next Step in Erdogan's Dance with the Kurds
The rise of a Kurdish party could undermine the Turkish president's earlier efforts to court the minority -- and may save democracy... Read the full version of this article on the Wall Street Journal website.
Jun 3, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Can Erdogan Stay at the Helm?
Turkey's next parliamentary vote is set for June 7, and if predictions hold, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) will continue a run of dominance that began in 2002. Important issues remain, nonetheless. If the Kurdish nationalist Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) crosses the 10-percent electoral threshold necessary for parliamentary
May 26, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Are Muslims Islamists?
Conflating Islam with Islamism has sparked a dangerous discourse in which the majority of Muslims, who are not Islamist, bear the brunt.
May 18, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
An Alevi Tide Headed for Turkey's Parliament
The unprecedented influx of Alevi deputies could form a significant anti-AKP bloc in the next legislature, but this development could also hurt the opposition CHP if Alevi deputies act in a sectarian manner.
May 6, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Iran Won't Give Up on Its Revolution
Given Iran's hegemonic history under the Safavids, the Shah, and the mullahs alike, Washington should not expect the regime to compromise its principles any time soon.
Apr 26, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
James Jeffrey
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Apr 24, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Regional Dimensions of the Syria Train-and-Equip Program
Augmenting the planned force could help address intensifying threats posed by ISIS, along with Iran-backed militias and the Assad regime.
Apr 10, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Those Crazy Christians
As the West struggles to navigate Islam's major sectarian cleavage, it can learn from the Ottoman Empire's historical experience with Protestant-Catholic wars.
Apr 9, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Fragile Thaw in U.S.-Turkish Relations
If Ankara and Washington can manage the complications surrounding various domestic and foreign issues, particularly in Syria, then the coming months hold promise for reviving the bilateral relationship.
Apr 7, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey and the KRG: An Undeclared Economic Commonwealth
For the long-term benefit of both, Ankara and Erbil share a strong interest in maintaining their partnership.
Mar 16, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Christina Bache Fidan
Ege Cansu Sacikara
Articles & Testimony
Turkey and Egypt's Great Game in the Middle East
Local and regional developments over the past two years suggest that Turkey and Egypt's contentious relationship is unlikely to improve so long as Erdogan and Sisi are in power.
Mar 8, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Marc Sievers
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's Kurdish Path
Arab Spring success stories have generally not been easy to come by, yet one may be playing out in a regional non-Arab state, Turkey, where ties between the Turks and their Kurdish adversaries have been improving.
Mar 4, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
Turkey and the KRG: Signs of Booming Economic Ties (Infographic)
Feb 25, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Christina Bache Fidan
Ege Cansu Sacikara
Larisa Baste
Brief Analysis
Feb 19, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
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