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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Iran's president-elect Pezeshkian speaks in Tehran - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Opportunities and Risks with Iran's New Government
Three experts discuss the domestic and foreign implications of Masoud Pezeshkian’s presidential election victory—including the need to temper any expectations that he is able or willing to pursue substantial change.
Jul 18, 2024
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Holly Dagres
  • Saeid Golkar
Luna al-Shibl - source: Social media
Brief Analysis
Demise of Syria’s “Second Lady” Shakes Up the Assad Regime
Although separating fact from fiction inside the Assad regime is often difficult, Luna al-Shibl’s death is likely a harbinger of further internal changes at a sensitive international juncture.
Jul 15, 2024
◆
  • Erik Yavorsky
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Chinese and Tunisian flags on display in Beijing in 2024 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Countering Chinese and Russian Influence in North Africa
The U.S. ambassador to Tunisia joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the evolution of great power competition in North Africa.
Jul 10, 2024
◆
  • Joey Hood
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Ben Fishman
  • Grant Rumley
Al-Shabab gives goats as zakat (alms) in Somalia.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
In this anthology, contributors discuss the policy challenges associated with an emerging phenomenon, but disabuse readers of any notion that jihadist governance and statecraft should be equated with political moderation.
Jul 10, 2024
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
◆ Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
A man walks past a billboard in Tehran displaying candidates for president in Iran's emergency 2024 elections - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Second-Round Dilemmas
Allowing a runoff in the presidential election is a somewhat risky move for the Supreme Leader, but engineering a one-round outcome would raise domestic problems of its own.
Jun 27, 2024
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
A man walks past a billboard in Tehran displaying candidates for president in Iran's emergency 2024 elections - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Presidential Choice: Weak Reformer or Strong Hardliner
Iranian presidential elections often produce surprise results, so a victory by Pezeshkian, the one reformist candidate, cannot be ruled out.
Jun 20, 2024
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
A man rides a scooter by a Hamas poster in a Palestinian refugee camp in Lebanon, May 18, 2024.
Brief Analysis
The Muslim Brothers Give Hamas a Foothold in Lebanon
Most Lebanese Sunnis have resisted the MB’s mobilization so far, but this sentiment could shift quickly due to pressures from the Gaza war, the economic crisis, the local political vacuum, and the inroads being made by Hamas and Hezbollah.
Jun 18, 2024
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Hamas commander Yahya al-Sinwar speaks at a 2023 event in Gaza.
Brief Analysis
How Hamas Is Trying to Shape the “Day After” in Gaza
A detailed look at what the group has been telling other Palestinians as it maneuvers to retake a role in the wider national movement and rebuild its forces.
Jun 13, 2024
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
People waiting to buy bread in Tunis, 2024.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Avoiding the Election Error in Tunisia:
Why U.S. Policy Should Focus on Real Reform, Not Votes
An opaque process and an apathetic electorate are among the reasons the contest does not warrant U.S. scrutiny.
Jun 13, 2024
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Sarah Yerkes
Kuwait City at sunset.
Brief Analysis
A Kuwaiti Reset?
The new emir’s suspension of parliament, followed by the appointment of a prime minister and crown prince, suggests a different direction for the oil-rich Gulf state.
Jun 7, 2024
◆
  • Simon Henderson
  • David Schenker
Jordanian flag
Articles & Testimony
Iran Targets Jordan: The Kingdom Joins the Theocracy’s List of Enemies
Tehran and its proxies have been doing everything they can to destabilize Jordan during the Gaza war, from inciting protests and increasing drug and weapons smuggling to escalating armed threats from Iraq.
Jun 5, 2024
◆
  • David Schenker
A campaign poster with an image of Majlis speaker Muhammad Baqer Qalibaf on display in Tehran's Azadi Square - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Most of Iran’s Latest Presidential Aspirants Have a Domestic Background
Few of the prospective candidates have shown much interest in or talent for national security affairs, and none has articulated a vision for tamping down Iran’s aggression at home or abroad.
Jun 4, 2024
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Imed Khemiri, a senior official in the Ennahda party and member of the Salvation Front (L) takes part in a protest, demanding the release of imprisoned journalists, activists, opposition figures and setting a date for fair presidential elections in Tunis, Tunisia May 12, 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Ballot Box: U.S. Priorities in North Africa’s 2024 Elections
By recognizing the limits of electoral processes in countries like Algeria, Libya, and Tunisia, Washington can focus more on addressing economic, social, and institutional challenges, managing regional dynamics, and engaging strategically with global competitors.
May 30, 2024
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Amine Ghoulidi
Map of North Africa framed by U.S., Chinese, and Russian flags
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
North Africa in an Era of Great Power Competition:
Challenges and Opportunities for the United States
Washington can demonstrate its decisive edge in areas like climate change remediation and economic development, while highlighting the many dangers posed by partnership with Russia and China.
May 29, 2024
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Ben Fishman
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Grant Rumley
Delegates and flags at the 2018 China-Arab Forum - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
What to Expect from the Latest China-Arab Forum
Attendees will likely focus on the Gaza crisis and trumpet new cooperation agreements, but these CASCF meetings are more notable for what they reveal about the limits of Chinese influence in the Middle East.
May 29, 2024
◆
  • Rebecca Redlich
Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh speaks in Tehran, Iran, in May 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
“Moderate” Hamas Statements Are an Old Ploy
Hamas leaders have recently tempered their fiery rhetoric with more moderate-sounding statements about a ceasefire along the 1967 lines, but this is merely a tactical move designed to advance the group’s main goal—establishing an Islamist state “between the river and the sea.”
May 23, 2024
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
A Year of Arab Engagement with Assad Has Failed
The “carrots” approach only emboldened the regime to increase its smuggling of Captagon and weapons, but Caesar sanctions remain a potent stick.
May 15, 2024
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
UNIFIL peacekeepers in Lebanon in front of a poster depicting Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
An Israel-Lebanon Agreement May Not Be Worth the Costs
The lesson from past deals involving Hezbollah is clear: the group will try to pocket any U.S. concessions on the presidency and other issues while simply jettisoning whatever border commitments it may make in return.
May 14, 2024
◆
  • David Schenker
Flags of Gulf Cooperation Council countries and Turkey on display in Riyadh
Articles & Testimony
The Arab Approach to Mediation—Reshaping Diplomacy in a Multipolar World
Given their unique cultural concepts and major economic and political clout, the Gulf states are poised to play an even more significant role in future peace and security initiatives.
Spring 2024
◆
  • Nickolay Mladenov
Secretary of State Blinken meets Iraqi PM Sudani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating the US-Iraq Relationship: Toward Stability and Cooperation
Both sides have a role to play in developing an U.S.-Iraq relationship built on Sudani’s vision of "sustainable cooperation" and in addressing the actors that can limit this potential.
Apr 29, 2024
◆
  • Khairuldeen Makhzoomi
  • Minatullah Alobaidi

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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