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Brief Analysis
Iran at a Watershed Moment? The Case for Meaningful U.S. Action
Acting now offers the best chance to halt atrocities and shape a peaceful transition, while waiting would only ensure that the next phase of the crisis is bloodier for Iranians, more dangerous for the region, and more difficult to influence.
۱۳ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Iran 1978: Hindsight Is a Wonderful Thing
Firsthand recollections of how the Islamic Revolution progressed on the ground raise questions about the current protest movement’s prospects for success.
۱۳ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Teetering. The West Isn’t Prepared.
To avoid being caught flat-footed, Western governments must begin policy planning for the destabilizing waves that could accompany regime collapse while urgently restoring support for programs focused on internet freedom, human rights, and similar areas.
Jan 10, 2026
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Holly Dagres
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran-Linked Tanker Delivers Russian Crude to Syria: Assessing the Risks
The incident points to the myriad ways that U.S. adversaries might exploit Moscow’s efforts to claim a permanent stake in Syria’s needy postwar energy sector.
۹ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
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Noam Raydan
Articles & Testimony
Prospects for Syria-Israel Relations
Israel may believe the tense status quo is sustainable, but Washington is frustrated about the potential implications for Arab normalization, Turkish military friction, and near-term economic plans.
January 2026
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Building on Egypt and Israel’s Uneasy Gas Deal
Israel’s approval of the delayed export agreement is a welcome development, but U.S. officials should view it as the start, not the end, of efforts to ease tensions between two key peace partners.
۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۶
◆
David Schenker
Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Middle East Crises: Expeditionary Diplomacy with the Bush, Obama, and Trump Teams
A veteran American diplomat offers a compelling, first-hand account of U.S. foreign policy and crisis management in the Middle East from 2004 to 2020.
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
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James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Don’t Be Deceived by Reported Electoral Turnout: Analyzing Iraq’s Elections by the Numbers
By comparing the outcome of Iraq's recent elections with the country's demographic trends, a clear difference emerges between the proportion of Iraqis whose votes are represented in the new parliament and the Iraqi population writ large.
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
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Munqith Dagher
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Failing Eastward Pivot? The Limits and Risks of Russia-China Alignment
Since the June war, Tehran has hastily doubled down on Russian and Chinese partnerships to weather sanctions and deter future attacks, but Moscow and Beijing are hesitant to invest deeply in return—and Washington should make sure they stay that way.
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Outlook on Sovereignty, Disarmament, and Peace
A Discussion with Foreign Minister Youssef Raggi
Watch video or read a summary of the minister’s observations on a multitude of crucial issues, from Hezbollah disarmament and long-term Israeli peace to relations with Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Turkey.
۲۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
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Youssef Raggi
Articles & Testimony
Who Won the War?
Defining victory in Gaza is hardly simple when Hamas is still armed, ruling nearly half the Strip, and flush with significant diplomatic achievements.
۲۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia’s Underdevelopment Problem
Democratic backsliding, sluggish trade reforms, and other maladies have left the country's ports insufficiently attractive to investment heavyweights like the United States and China.
Dec 24, 2025
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Sabina Henneberg
In-Depth Reports
The Hamas-Israel War: An Early Assessment
Despite rhetoric to the contrary, neither side can claim a decisive win, and an uneasy status quo could persist as long as Trump, the ceasefire guarantors, and Israeli leaders keep a lid on their frustrations.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
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Robert Satloff
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What One LPG Tanker Reveals About the Reliability of AIS Data in Hot Spots
The vessel's tracked activities and suspicious data transmissions should be investigated for potential illicit transactions with Iran and the former Assad regime.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
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Noam Raydan
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Maritime Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Peace in the Middle East—A Major Challenge for the United States
Barring sustained U.S. efforts, Gaza’s de facto division into Hamas and Israeli zones will likely persist, and the ceasefire will be remembered as just the prelude to the next conflict.
December 2025
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Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Yemen’s Seismic Shift Has Consequences Beyond Its Borders
U.S. allies Saudi Arabia and the UAE are on a collision course in Yemen, as local forces threaten to reopen a war that could boost the Houthis, deepen Red Sea instability, and otherwise undermine the Trump administration’s Middle East goals.
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
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April Longley Alley
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East’s Most Overlooked Threat
The Houthis, STC, and other players are making moves that could spark a new civil war in Yemen, potentially upending the perceived balance of power ushered in by the Gaza truce.
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
April Longley Alley
Articles & Testimony
How to Stop Hamas from Derailing the Israeli-Palestinian Peace Deal
Given the group's hostile long-term goals, the Trump administration needs an empowered envoy to lead several projects in parallel, from developing a capable Palestinian security force and replacing the PA’s leadership to curtailing Israeli fringe elements and resuming Arab normalization talks.
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Tunisia’s Growing Protests Open a Door for Low-Cost U.S. Initiatives
Amid mounting domestic pressure on President Saied, the Trump administration should take modest but useful and forward-looking steps like lifting tariffs, supporting less-politicized trade projects, and otherwise backing the people’s vision for a more prosperous future.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
Burhan Is Using Sudan-Israel Normalization to Secure His Power
The process has become less about peace and more about political survival for those spearheading Sudan’s catastrophic war.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۲۵
◆
Areig Elhag
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