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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Views on Homosexuality
The group's public executions of gay men are part of a deliberate moral policing campaign, one aimed at showing supporters and enemies alike that it means to enforce its narrow, atavistic view of Islamic law wherever it can.
۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Hizbullah Under Fire in Syria
Last month's assassination of a senior Hizbullah commander, apparently by Syrian rebel groups, demonstrates the growing threat the organization faces from fellow Arabs and Muslims.
۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Nadav Pollak
Brief Analysis
Russian Views on the Middle East: A Trip Report
Two Washington Institute experts share their findings from recent visits to Russia, where they discussed a wide range of regional issues with current and former officials, leading analysts, and other citizens.
۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Raqqa Will Not Fall Until Arab Tribes Fight the Islamic State
The tribes in eastern Syria have been driven in different directions by the Assad regime, outside actors, and their own self-interest, leaving the coalition with a complex web to untangle before it can fully uproot IS.
۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The Aerial Delivery of Humanitarian Aid in Syria: Options and Constraints
While airlift operations may provide temporary relief for a number of besieged and hard-to-reach communities, urgently enhancing the military capabilities of moderate opposition groups is ultimately the only way to effectively counter the Assad regime's use of food as a weapon.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Water Issues Are Crucial to Stability in Syria's Euphrates Valley
Regardless of who drives the Islamic State out of the Euphrates Valley agricultural zone, they will need to address the legacy of failed regime irrigation policies that are once again creating tension among local tribes.
۲۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The PKK Could Spark Turkish-Russian Military Escalation
Russia and Syria's dormant ties with the group have been reawakened by the civil war, raising the prospect of dangerous weapons proliferation and potential escalation into direct conflict with Turkey.
۲۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Is Targeting Syria's Alawite Heartland -- and Russia
The group's choice of targets is a clear sign of its intention to inflame Sunni/Alawite tensions, raise the price of Moscow's intervention, and assert its symbolic leadership over the rebellion.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
The Southern Front in Syria
By supporting rebel progress in the south, Washington could put more pressure on Assad and his allies at relatively low cost, and perhaps turn the wavering Druze fully against the regime.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Nationalist Path to a Full Presidential System
By further hardening his approach toward Kurdish nationalism at home and in Syria, Erdogan hopes to woo Turkish ultranationalists and legally enshrine his executive power, but his efforts could clash with U.S. policy on the war next door.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Video
Salafism and the Islamic State: A Video Introduction
The Islamic State (IS or ISIS) is often identified as the world’s leading proponent of Salafism, or fundamentalist Sunni Islam. The IS-affiliated perpetrators of the 2016 Brussels terrorist attacks had close ties with local Salafist groups. In their textbooks, the Islamic State promises to revive a Salafi understanding of Islam
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Turkey's War of Attrition With the Islamic State: The Rocket Threat
Ankara's terrorist adversaries have expanded their destructive reach with mobile rocket launchers and other formidable weapons, so deterring the threat will require a similarly robust Turkish approach to procurement, development, and deployment of various military systems.
۱۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Can Kasapoglu
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Biggest Loss to Date in Syria
Mustafa Badreddine's death will hurt the group's operational efforts and morale in Syria, but it remains to be seen who it will blame for the attack and whether it will retaliate.
۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Nadav Pollak
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The IRGC Morphs Into an Expeditionary Force
Funeral notices indicate that Iran has increased its use of IRGC Ground Forces in Syria to offset mounting losses by the elite Qods Force, and this pattern could signal a wider transformation in how the IRGC operates abroad.
۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Ali Alfoneh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for Deir al-Zour: A U.S.-Russian Bridge Against the Islamic State?
The survival of the regime enclave in Deir al-Zour is fundamental to the anti-IS fight, so Washington and Moscow's allies on the ground may need to race to its rescue sooner rather than later.
۱۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Is Unlikely to Alter Its Syria Policy in Wake of Prime Minister's Exit
Davutoglu's departure probably won't change President Erdogan's perception that Turkey has the moral high ground by supporting Sunni rebels in Syria against the Assad regime.
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Fueling the Islamic State's Engine
What makes someone become a violent Salafi rather than a non-violent Salafi depends on how they answer a basic question -- what makes someone Muslim?
۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Syria and the Holocaust: Putting 'Never Again' to the Test
As complicated as the Syria policy challenge may be, the president’s continued inaction in the face of atrocity and his statements about that deliberate posture remain deeply troubling.
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
U.S. Military Engagement in the Broader Middle East
Reflecting broad foreign policy themes dating to World War I, U.S. grand strategy in the Middle East since the Cold War has focused on establishing and managing a global security system to contain and deter outside threats. Given Eurasia's demographic and economic/technical strength, a dominant power or powers arising from
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Leave Root Causes Aside -- Destroy the ISIS 'State'
Of course it would be daunting to solve the conflicts the Islamic State feeds on, but that shouldn't be the mission in the first place.
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey

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