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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
The PKK Could Spark Turkish-Russian Military Escalation
Russia and Syria's dormant ties with the group have been reawakened by the civil war, raising the prospect of dangerous weapons proliferation and potential escalation into direct conflict with Turkey.
۲۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Is Targeting Syria's Alawite Heartland -- and Russia
The group's choice of targets is a clear sign of its intention to inflame Sunni/Alawite tensions, raise the price of Moscow's intervention, and assert its symbolic leadership over the rebellion.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
The Southern Front in Syria
By supporting rebel progress in the south, Washington could put more pressure on Assad and his allies at relatively low cost, and perhaps turn the wavering Druze fully against the regime.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Nationalist Path to a Full Presidential System
By further hardening his approach toward Kurdish nationalism at home and in Syria, Erdogan hopes to woo Turkish ultranationalists and legally enshrine his executive power, but his efforts could clash with U.S. policy on the war next door.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Video
Salafism and the Islamic State: A Video Introduction
The Islamic State (IS or ISIS) is often identified as the world’s leading proponent of Salafism, or fundamentalist Sunni Islam. The IS-affiliated perpetrators of the 2016 Brussels terrorist attacks had close ties with local Salafist groups. In their textbooks, the Islamic State promises to revive a Salafi understanding of Islam
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Turkey's War of Attrition With the Islamic State: The Rocket Threat
Ankara's terrorist adversaries have expanded their destructive reach with mobile rocket launchers and other formidable weapons, so deterring the threat will require a similarly robust Turkish approach to procurement, development, and deployment of various military systems.
۱۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Can Kasapoglu
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Biggest Loss to Date in Syria
Mustafa Badreddine's death will hurt the group's operational efforts and morale in Syria, but it remains to be seen who it will blame for the attack and whether it will retaliate.
۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Nadav Pollak
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The IRGC Morphs Into an Expeditionary Force
Funeral notices indicate that Iran has increased its use of IRGC Ground Forces in Syria to offset mounting losses by the elite Qods Force, and this pattern could signal a wider transformation in how the IRGC operates abroad.
۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Ali Alfoneh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for Deir al-Zour: A U.S.-Russian Bridge Against the Islamic State?
The survival of the regime enclave in Deir al-Zour is fundamental to the anti-IS fight, so Washington and Moscow's allies on the ground may need to race to its rescue sooner rather than later.
۱۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Is Unlikely to Alter Its Syria Policy in Wake of Prime Minister's Exit
Davutoglu's departure probably won't change President Erdogan's perception that Turkey has the moral high ground by supporting Sunni rebels in Syria against the Assad regime.
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Fueling the Islamic State's Engine
What makes someone become a violent Salafi rather than a non-violent Salafi depends on how they answer a basic question -- what makes someone Muslim?
۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Syria and the Holocaust: Putting 'Never Again' to the Test
As complicated as the Syria policy challenge may be, the president’s continued inaction in the face of atrocity and his statements about that deliberate posture remain deeply troubling.
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
U.S. Military Engagement in the Broader Middle East
Reflecting broad foreign policy themes dating to World War I, U.S. grand strategy in the Middle East since the Cold War has focused on establishing and managing a global security system to contain and deter outside threats. Given Eurasia's demographic and economic/technical strength, a dominant power or powers arising from
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Leave Root Causes Aside -- Destroy the ISIS 'State'
Of course it would be daunting to solve the conflicts the Islamic State feeds on, but that shouldn't be the mission in the first place.
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ideology of Authority: 50 Years of Education in Syria
April 28, 2016 In the decades before 2011, Syria’s Baath Party flag, which controlled “society and state," and images of the president and “Leader” dominated all public platforms: the corridors of the state’s institutions and agencies, public squares, and even non-governmental institutions. This branding was most visible in educational institutions
۲۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dr. Raymon Al-Maaloli
Articles & Testimony
The Caliphate as Geopolitical Challenge
Until ISIS declared its so-called caliphate in 2014, this Islamic theological term barely raised flags for the West.
۲۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Latest Aleppo Battle May Give the Islamic State Another Reprieve
Aside from President Obama, none of the main players in Syria has an interest in rushing toward Raqqa, so they will likely focus on exploiting the various campaigns around Aleppo instead.
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Red Line Revisited: The Costs and Benefits of Not Striking Syria
Rather than debate the hypothetical results if the administration had ordered strikes in 2013, it is more instructive to examine the policy it did execute, which delivered questionable results at significant cost.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Moscow's Playbook in Syria
The recent Russian "withdrawal" from Syria reflects not a parting of ways with Assad but rather frustration with the regime's poor performance on the battlefield and at the negotiating table.
۲۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Bachar el-Assad Garde Encore la Main
Despite talk of a negotiated transition or a national unity government, Syria's Bashar al-Assad intends to stay. And while Western powers maneuver for diplomatic high ground in Geneva, Russia continues to push its on-the-ground military advantage on Assad's behalf.
۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche

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