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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Articles & Testimony
A Tactical -- Not Strategic -- Ceasefire in Syria
The post-Aleppo lull on the western front is likely just an excuse for Russia to rotate new forces and equipment into Syria and prepare for the next major offensive.
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The Latest Ceasefire Will Not Change Hezbollah's Role in Syria
Iran and Russia may find a way to push past their strategic differences and make the ceasefire work, but it will be much more difficult to forge agreements on Syria's other intractable issues at the upcoming peace conference.
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda's Patient Approach in Syria May Be Paying Off
By advising its Syrian affiliate to coopt other armed groups, avoid alienating the locals, and (for now) eschew international terrorism, al-Qaeda is laying the foundation for a permanent base in the heart of the Levant.
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Kelsey Segawa
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs 'Useless Syria' Too
Eastern Syria holds major hydrocarbon and agricultural resources that make it a vital asset in Assad's quest for regime self-sufficiency, and a potentially powerful source of U.S. leverage against him.
۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
A Turkish soldier stands guard at a rally. Image source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Istanbul Attack: Turkey Must End Blame Game and Look for Solutions
The perpetrators of the ongoing string of major terrorist attacks are obvious, but Turkey's bitterly divided pro- and anti-Erdogan camps refuse to focus on the foreign and domestic policy factors underlying the violence.
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Putin Praises Trump, Downplays Arms Race
The Washington Institute's Anna Borshchevskaya and Cipher Brief's Leone Lakhani review Moscow's 2016 track record on the Syria war, Iran, and other Middle East-related issues.
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
What Should Trump Do About Syria?
Establishing safe zones, pursuing a tougher line of negotiation with Russia, and limiting Iran's destabilizing presence are the best ways of addressing the country's de facto partition.
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
What's at Stake for Lebanon's New Government?
The heavy presence of pro-Iranian and pro-Syrian ministers is troubling, but Hariri and his allies can still preserve Lebanon's sovereignty by pushing for a balanced electoral law and a timely parliamentary ballot.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Will Trump Strengthen Iran's Hand?
The Trump administration cannot say it is going to be tougher on Iran and at the same time partner with Russia in Syria -- the two goals are mutually exclusive under the current circumstances.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran's Basij Mull a Wider Domestic and Regional Role
In addition to expanding and professionalizing their traditional roles at home, Basij paramilitary forces are poised to assume a larger share of the fighting in Syria alongside Iran's foreign militia proxies.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Permanent State of Crisis
If Erdogan can temper his political agenda amid a seemingly endless series of violent incidents, he will go down in history as one of Turkey’s most influential leaders, but otherwise he will be remembered as the man who drove his country into the ground.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
An Extremely Vulnerable Turkey
Deeply polarized and facing a growing roster of external and internal enemies, Turkey seems headed for rough waters in 2017, and its institutions may not be strong enough anymore to correct course.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The Lines That Bind: 100 Years of Sykes-Picot
A century after diplomats Mark Sykes of Britain and François Georges-Picot of France drew up a secret agreement to divide the Ottoman lands of the Middle East, a look at the modern map indicates the resulting states have largely stood the test of time -- at least thus far. Most
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Syria Will Likely Suffer as Russia Seeks Vengeance for Ambassador's Murder
Far from sparking World War III, the Ankara assassination will probably spur a Russian escalation against 'terrorists' in Syria and exacerbate internal divisions in Turkey.
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Will Assad Target Idlib After Aleppo?
As Aleppo's eastern districts continue to collapse, the regime will soon turn its attention to other pressing fronts, but manpower shortages will likely force it to focus on just one of them first.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Stop Calling the Syrian Conflict a 'Civil War.' It's Not.
Doing so gives the Assad regime a veneer of legitimacy and has a serious impact on international accountability.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Independent Intel Key to U.S. Diplomacy
Tensions between the White House and the intelligence community are nothing new, but enough damage has already been done to elevate this problem to the Trump administration's A-list.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Aleppo Is Falling
A conversation on how Assad and Russia have achieved a major victory in a strategically crucial city, and at what cost.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Video
The Trump Administration and the Middle East: A Washington Institute Guide
A compendium of Institute analysis on the evolving challenges and opportunities that will face the Trump administration in the Middle East.
۸ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Aleppo Betrayal
The inevitable outcome in Aleppo shows how the Syrian revolution has been betrayed first and foremost by Islamism in all its expressions, particularly international jihadism.
۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Hassan Mneimneh

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