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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
An Opening for the Syrian Regime in Deir al-Zour
Events on the ground are fluid in the eastern Syrian city and province, but dynamics suggest Syrian forces and their backers will prevail over the Islamic State and U.S.-supported fighters.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why Latest Syria Ceasefire Is Exactly What Putin Wanted
As long as Putin keeps control of the narrative in Syria, he can forestall a resolution that compromises Russian interests.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
A Half-Million Syrian Returnees? A Look Behind the Numbers
Closer examination reveals that far more refugees are leaving Syria than coming home and that security and corruption represent major obstacles to their return.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Brief Analysis
The Trump-Putin Sideline and the Syria Conflict
Whatever the two leaders discuss at the G20 summit, the Trump administration must work urgently to develop a new Syria strategy that articulates a clear vision for the country's future and the U.S. readiness to protect it.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation Dynamics with Iran in Syria -- and Beyond
Given recent frictions, the United States should take a number of steps to reduce the potential for escalation with Tehran and to avoid a broader conflict.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State
Over the past eight years, al-Qaeda's fortunes have ebbed and flowed. Drones, uprisings, and a challenge from the Islamic State have forced the core al-Qaeda organization—historically based in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region—and its various branches to adapt and migrate outward. In this new Policy Focus, Washington Institute fellow Aaron Y. Zelin
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Fight for the Northern Iraq-Syria Border
At the symbolic level, Iran and its proxies are achieving great success in planting their flags along this contested frontier, but real control will entail the much tougher task of establishing permanent bases and logistical arrangements.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran Missile Strikes Reveal Potential Military Weaknesses
The retaliatory attacks against alleged Islamic State facilities in eastern Syria apparently failed to hit any of their intended targets, undermining Iranian deterrence and raising questions about the effectiveness of Iran's missile force.
۲۲ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
What's Behind Moscow's Latest Threats in Syria
Bluster from the Kremlin should not be interpreted to mean Putin wants a direct military confrontation with the United States.
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Trump Is on a Collision Course with Iran
The United States cannot defeat the Islamic State without first reckoning with Iran's nefarious role in Syria.
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
A New Battlespace in Syria: Prospects for U.S. Policy
Iran-led forces present arguably the greatest future threat to U.S. military personnel and overall interests in Syria, and therefore must be the centerpiece of a broader strategy addressing the conflict.
۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Nader Uskowi
Articles & Testimony
Russia's Strategic Objectives in the Middle East and North Africa
The Institute's leading Russia expert outlines the best means of tempering Moscow's influence in the region, recommending a more active U.S. military and diplomatic role while explaining why Putin will never be a reliable partner there.
۱۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Redeployment in Syria: Potential Confrontations
If Washington fails to press Russia diplomatically and raise the military costs on Hezbollah, a wider confrontation may erupt between U.S. and Iranian proxies in Syria.
۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Rojava's Future: Four Models Explained
As Washington considers its next steps in northern Syria, it will need to weigh the geostrategic consequences of backing local Kurdish forces whose objectives may align or conflict with those of Russia, Iran, and various other actors.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Scramble for Eastern Syria
Washington's best option is to let the Assad regime expend its energy pushing out toward the Euphrates while preparing for the advance to stall, as it appears likely to do.
۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Contain Iran? Fine, But Answer These Questions First
Whatever understandings the Trump administration reaches after the Islamic State is defeated, it needs to be clear about the stakes: if America does not stop the Iranians in Syria and Iraq, they will soon emerge as the region's dominant force.
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syria’s Christians: A Personal Story of a Stolen Legacy
Depending upon whom you talk to, anywhere from six to sixteen ethnic groups constitute the Syrian population, with the main six groups being: Sunni Muslim; Shiite Muslim (Alawite and Ismaili); Christian; Druze; Kurd; Circassian; and the stateless Palestinian refugees and their descendants. The Christians are not foreign to the Syrian
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Lamis Khalilova
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Growing Risk of International Confrontation in the Syrian Desert
Various players have been rushing to secure their spot in former Islamic State strongholds that will be strategically important to the next phase of the war.
۲۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Did Trump Give Erdogan License to Kill PKK Militants Inside Iraq?
A Turkey expert reads between the lines of the latest meeting between the two presidents, assessing whether policy changes are afoot on Syria, the Kurds, and other issues.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
To Stop the New Hezbollah, Think Regionally
Despite setbacks in Syria, and anxieties over a potential future conflict with Israel, the group has substantially widened its reach in recent years.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar

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