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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
Non-Iranian Shiites Paying the Price in Aleppo
The costly siege has spurred Iran to withdraw or relocate certain IRGC units, but this is unlikely to hurt the Assad coalition's strategy in Aleppo so long as Hezbollah and other Shiite militias remain willing to fight there.
۳۱ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Ali Alfoneh
Articles & Testimony
Vladimir Putin and the Shiite Axis
Russia's military alliance with Iran is all about keeping Assad in power and America on its back foot, and even a short-lived partnership can do long-term damage to U.S. interests.
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
In-Depth Reports
The Rise of ISIL:
Counterterrorism Lectures 2015
As authorities scramble to prepare for the ways in which the Islamic State threat will continue to evolve, many lessons can be learned by looking at the factors that led to its rise. This seventh volume of Counterterrorism Lectures traces ISIL's evolution during 2015.
۲۹ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkey
The ongoing influx of Syrians could tilt future elections in Erdogan and the AKP's favor, though the long-term demographic and social repercussions will be felt regardless of political outcomes.
۲۵ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Oya Aktas
  • Cagatay Ozdemir
Brief Analysis
Rojava's Sustainability and the PKK's Regional Strategy
As the Kurds continue to pursue their goal of a contiguous territory in northern Syria, various nonmilitary factors will determine whether their nascent statelet is viable in the long term, including a host of demographic, economic, water, and oil issues.
۲۴ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Assad Bombs the Kurds: Implications for U.S. Strategy in Syria
Escalating hostilities between regime forces and Syrian Kurds in Hasaka will likely complicate Washington's campaign against the Islamic State, in which the Kurds and their Arab allies have been its most effective partners.
۲۳ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Afghan and Pakistani Proxies: In Syria and Beyond?
As part of its renewed effort to export the Islamic Revolution through armed proxies, Tehran has been recruiting and training Afghan and Pakistani fighters for Syria's battlefields, thereby giving them invaluable experience for potential future campaigns in other regional countries.
۲۲ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
تحلیل کوتاه
استفاده‌ی روسیه از پایگاه هوایی ایرانی
نویسندگان: مهدی خلجی و فرزین ندیمی
۱۷ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • مهدی خلجی
  • فرزین ندیمی
Video
Brief Analysis
A Transformative Experience: Understanding Hezbollah's Involvement in Syria
How has Hezbollah avoided a catastrophic quagmire in Syria and even exploited its campaign there to enhance its military capabilities? Two experts chart the group's evolution and its future threats to Lebanon, Israel, and regional order.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Nadav Pollak
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Aleppo: Is the Turnaround Sustainable for the Rebels?
Anti-Assad forces can relish a victory, but their stated aspiration to hold the entire city should be taken with a grain of salt.
۹ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Russian Ties after the Erdogan-Putin Breakthrough
The Russian president will likely follow up today's meeting by offering to lift sanctions, along with other incentives, but the longer-term bilateral impact on political ties, especially in Syria, will remain unknown for some time.
۹ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Inside the Caliphate's Classroom:
Textbooks, Guidance Literature, and Indoctrination Methods of the Islamic State
Two years after the declaration of a caliphate by the Islamic State, the world has become well acquainted with the group's brutality, territorial expansion, apocalyptic narrative, and ability to stage large-scale terrorist attacks inside and outside the Middle East. Less discussed are IS textbooks and book-publishing activities. Our knowledge of
۵ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Video
Brief Analysis
Prosecuting Assad: War Crimes, Mass Atrocities, and U.S. Policy
Three experts discuss the trove of documentation behind Syrian war crimes, U.S. pursuit of transitional justice for the Assad regime, and how prosecutions might proceed.
۵ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Stephen J. Rapp
  • Ben Taub
In-Depth Reports
The Transformation of Hezbollah by Its Involvement in Syria
In examining the military and political effects of Hezbollah's involvement in Syria, one sees that the group has paid a heavy price in blood and treasure, yet it has also achieved much. For an entity that has evolved from a small cadre of militants to a large guerrilla force to
۴ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Nadav Pollak
Articles & Testimony
The Case for (Finally) Bombing Assad
If Russia does want to limit its involvement in Syria, the threat of limited strikes should persuade it to make the Syrian leader behave.
۳ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Damascus Control Emboldens Assad Nationally
Without a real military threat to the capital, neither the Syrian leader nor Iran will accept a political transition, even if Russia agrees to one.
۲ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kurdish Forces Bolster Assad in Aleppo
By allying with the Syrian regime, the YPG implicitly signaled to the U.S. government that the Kurdish group will act based on its own interests.
۲۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Closing Loopholes in the Proposed U.S.-Russian Agreement on Syria
The agreement's currently proposed terms have far less chance of stemming the international terrorist threat, helping the Syrian people, or turning the cessation of hostilities into a viable ceasefire.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Threat in the Golan Heights
Using both carrots and sticks, Israel has so far managed to prevent attacks against the Golan, but the danger is growing as jihadist movements increase their presence in southwestern Syria amid setbacks on other fronts.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Will the PKK and the Islamic State Bring Turkey and Russia Closer Together?
If Ankara wants to intervene against the Islamic State in Syria, block Kurdish advances, and defeat the PKK at home, it may decide to do whatever is necessary to placate Moscow, perhaps even cutting off support for certain anti-Assad rebel groups.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Soner Cagaptay

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