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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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"Arab Spring" protest in 2011

Articles & Testimony

Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East

The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while

۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Maurizio Geri

Maps & Graphics

Two Potential Safe Zones in Northern Syria

Both Idlib province and eastern Aleppo province have been relatively spared from the fighting, and their rural communities remain strong.

۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Fabrice Balanche

Defeating the Islamic State: The Economic Campaign

Can the Islamic State be beaten in the banks as well as on the battlefield? Watch three Institute experts discuss government and private-sector efforts to cut off its funding.

۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Katherine Bauer
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Matthew Levitt

Maps & Graphics

Ceasefire and Elections in Syria: Putin Still a Step Ahead

If Moscow and Damascus have their way, the latest ceasefire will further divide the rebels, isolate Turkey, and facilitate their ongoing military and political strategy for preserving Assad's rule.

۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Fabrice Balanche

Hezbollah Fatalities in the Syrian War

Analysis of funeral reports and other open-source data offers potentially revealing insights into the militia's combat losses in Syria, its shifting role in the war next door, and the security of its position back home in Lebanon.

۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Ali Alfoneh

Articles & Testimony

The First Step Should Be to Create Buffer Zones in Syria

Any safe zones would need to be secured by the military forces of Syria’s neighbors, such as Turkey and Jordan, as well as by U.S. air and ground support.

۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Andrew J. Tabler

Articles & Testimony

Are Putin and Assad Playing Good Cop, Bad Cop?

Some analysts have voiced disagreement with the view that Damascus and Moscow are truly at odds.

۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Anna Borshchevskaya

A Turkish 'Secure Strip' in Syria: Domestic Concerns and Foreign Limitations

Although Ankara has the necessary parliamentary authorization and professional military capacity to establish a safe zone, it would still need Western intelligence help, air support, and diplomatic backing to cover the operation and deter Russian retaliation.

۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan

United Nations headquarters building in New York - source: Reuters

Legal Justifications for a Safe Zone in Syria

UN Security Council Resolutions 2170, 2249, and 2254 offer ample grounds for establishing a zone to protect refugees and counter the Islamic State, but shaping the international diplomatic response would be paramount given the legal gray areas inherent in such action.

۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

James Jeffrey

Articles & Testimony

Safety First in Syria

However difficult it might be to implement safe zones after years of inaction, the humanitarian disaster will only grow without them, as will the threat to regional and European stability.

۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Anna Borshchevskaya

Articles & Testimony

Terror Attack in Ankara: A New Era of Kurdish Politics for Turkey?

The Kurdish issue in Turkey stands on the precipice of becoming an international problem, involving all sorts of nefarious actors from the Syrian civil war.

۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Soner Cagaptay

Countering Russian and Assad Regime Responses to Safe Zones

For such zones to succeed, they must be backed with militarily enforced no-fly zones and a persuasive response to Moscow's inevitable small-scale violations and disinformation campaign.

۱۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Anna Borshchevskaya

Intervention to Assist Fleeing Syrians: Who, What, Where, Why, and How

Establishment of humanitarian corridors, safe havens, safe zones, or buffer or no-fly zones could turn the tide of Syria's humanitarian crisis, but it could also pose numerous complications and create second- and third-order effects for the region.

۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Col. Nora Marcos

TWI Series on Syrian Safe Havens/Zones

Understand the policy implications of humanitarian safe havens, safe zones, buffers, or no-fly zones in Syria with these assessments of the who, what, where, why, and how of the various options.

۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Fabrice Balanche
Lt Col John R. Barnett
Anna Borshchevskaya
Nicholas Burns
Soner Cagaptay
Michael Eisenstadt
James Jeffrey
Col. Nora Marcos
Nadav Pollak
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler

Articles & Testimony

Russia's Grim Pattern in Syria

Once again, Moscow has expressed agreement with the United States on the broad principles for easing the Syrian conflict and then acted without regard to those principles.

۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Dennis Ross

The Worst of the Syrian Refugee Crisis Is Coming for Europe

The Assad regime's Russian-aided military campaign and the onset of spring augur another mass refugee flow into the EU, and the only surefire way to stop it is by addressing the root of the crisis inside Syria.

۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Fabrice Balanche

Washington's Self-Deterrence Problem in Syria

If Moscow can get away with boldly flouting U.S. interests in a key American security zone such as the Middle East, where might it interfere next, and at what cost to the international security system?

۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

James Jeffrey

Articles & Testimony

What Happens if Aleppo Falls?

Kathy Gilsinan interviewed Andrew J. Tabler on what an Assad victory would mean for the war and the West. The full text of the article, including graphics, is available on the Atlantic website. Kathy Gilsinan: I wanted to start with what the significance of Aleppo has been to the Syrian

۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Andrew J. Tabler

Articles & Testimony

What Vladimir Putin Is Really Up To in Syria

The last thing Putin wants is a U.S.-led safe haven inside Syria, since it would erode his leverage over Europe and raise the military costs of fighting on Assad's behalf.

۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Dennis Ross

Articles & Testimony

Is ISIS Good at Governing?

The establishment of jihadi governance projects is becoming the new normal as ISIS and al-Qaida learn from past mistakes, but the long-term sustainability of these efforts remains unclear.

۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

Aaron Y. Zelin

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