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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Articles & Testimony
The First Step Should Be to Create Buffer Zones in Syria
Any safe zones would need to be secured by the military forces of Syria’s neighbors, such as Turkey and Jordan, as well as by U.S. air and ground support.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Are Putin and Assad Playing Good Cop, Bad Cop?
Some analysts have voiced disagreement with the view that Damascus and Moscow are truly at odds.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
A Turkish 'Secure Strip' in Syria: Domestic Concerns and Foreign Limitations
Although Ankara has the necessary parliamentary authorization and professional military capacity to establish a safe zone, it would still need Western intelligence help, air support, and diplomatic backing to cover the operation and deter Russian retaliation.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Cem Yolbulan
United Nations headquarters building in New York - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Legal Justifications for a Safe Zone in Syria
UN Security Council Resolutions 2170, 2249, and 2254 offer ample grounds for establishing a zone to protect refugees and counter the Islamic State, but shaping the international diplomatic response would be paramount given the legal gray areas inherent in such action.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Safety First in Syria
However difficult it might be to implement safe zones after years of inaction, the humanitarian disaster will only grow without them, as will the threat to regional and European stability.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Terror Attack in Ankara: A New Era of Kurdish Politics for Turkey?
The Kurdish issue in Turkey stands on the precipice of becoming an international problem, involving all sorts of nefarious actors from the Syrian civil war.
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Countering Russian and Assad Regime Responses to Safe Zones
For such zones to succeed, they must be backed with militarily enforced no-fly zones and a persuasive response to Moscow's inevitable small-scale violations and disinformation campaign.
۱۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Intervention to Assist Fleeing Syrians: Who, What, Where, Why, and How
Establishment of humanitarian corridors, safe havens, safe zones, or buffer or no-fly zones could turn the tide of Syria's humanitarian crisis, but it could also pose numerous complications and create second- and third-order effects for the region.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Col. Nora Marcos
TWI Series on Syrian Safe Havens/Zones
Understand the policy implications of humanitarian safe havens, safe zones, buffers, or no-fly zones in Syria with these assessments of the who, what, where, why, and how of the various options.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
  • Lt Col John R. Barnett
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Nicholas Burns
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • James Jeffrey
  • Col. Nora Marcos
  • Nadav Pollak
  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Russia's Grim Pattern in Syria
Once again, Moscow has expressed agreement with the United States on the broad principles for easing the Syrian conflict and then acted without regard to those principles.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Worst of the Syrian Refugee Crisis Is Coming for Europe
The Assad regime's Russian-aided military campaign and the onset of spring augur another mass refugee flow into the EU, and the only surefire way to stop it is by addressing the root of the crisis inside Syria.
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Washington's Self-Deterrence Problem in Syria
If Moscow can get away with boldly flouting U.S. interests in a key American security zone such as the Middle East, where might it interfere next, and at what cost to the international security system?
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
What Happens if Aleppo Falls?
Kathy Gilsinan interviewed Andrew J. Tabler on what an Assad victory would mean for the war and the West. The full text of the article, including graphics, is available on the Atlantic website. Kathy Gilsinan: I wanted to start with what the significance of Aleppo has been to the Syrian
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
What Vladimir Putin Is Really Up To in Syria
The last thing Putin wants is a U.S.-led safe haven inside Syria, since it would erode his leverage over Europe and raise the military costs of fighting on Assad's behalf.
۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Is ISIS Good at Governing?
The establishment of jihadi governance projects is becoming the new normal as ISIS and al-Qaida learn from past mistakes, but the long-term sustainability of these efforts remains unclear.
۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
America Has No Business Calling ISIS 'Apostates'
Washington lacks the voice and vocabulary to rhetorically challenge the group's theology, so it should focus on making better use of other potent tools that can actually stop jihadist goals from becoming a reality.
۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle of Aleppo Is the Center of the Syrian Chessboard
With ample Russian and Iranian help, regime forces have cut the rebels' main lifeline in the north, and they will likely steer their relentless steamroller to the west unless outside powers take action.
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
The Diplomatic Case for America to Create a Safe Zone in Syria
The potential risks of inaction -- including thousands more civilians killed, millions more refugees, the spillover of fighting into Turkey, Jordan, and Israel, and a Russian-Iranian military victory -- greatly outweigh the dangers of moving forward.
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Nicholas Burns
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Jordan Reaches the Refugee Saturation Point
In addition to suffering from inadequate international humanitarian assistance, the kingdom's massive Syrian refugee population is threatening the domestic stability of a key strategic partner.
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Lining Up the Tools to Break the Islamic State Brand
Reversing the political, military, and ideological factors that led to the movement's rise will require substantive projects that are as self-sustaining and nimble as IS has proven to be.
۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Alberto Fernandez

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