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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
Establishing and Securing Safe Zones in Syria: Historical Lessons
Experience in Iraq, Bosnia, and Libya shows that safe-zone operations require unambiguous legal authorities, clear political and military guidance, robust air and ground forces, and a viable plan for displaced persons and refugees.
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Lt Col John R. Barnett
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Russia's Withdrawal Is Another Facade
In addition to Moscow's purposeful ambiguity about the true scope of its withdrawal from Syria, the announcement's timing reflects Putin's intention to force favorable terms in the latest peace talks.
۱۵ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iranian Casualties in Syria and the Strategic Logic of Intervention
Iran's battlefield losses have continued even after the drawdown of forces it surged into Syria late last year and the subsequent 'cessation of hostilities,' raising questions about Tehran's strategy and tactics in the war.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Ali Alfoneh
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Genocide or Not, Civilians Need Protection from ISIS
Whatever the outcome of the State Department's latest deliberations, protecting civilians through safe zones or other initiatives must have a more prominent place in the coalition's strategy.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • A. J. Beloff
Brief Analysis
The Israeli Perspective on Safe Zones in Syria
Despite the potential benefits of a safe zone along the Jordan-Syria border, Russia's presence in the war would probably limit Israel's ability to openly support or contribute to such an initiative.
۱۰ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Nadav Pollak
Salafism: Ideas, Recent History, Politics
Download this presentation (PDF)
۹ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
A Safe Zone in Southern Syria
As the Assad coalition and the Islamic State turn their attention southward, Jordan and the thousands of displaced Syrians waiting outside its border face an increasingly perilous security situation.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Protesters hold Syrian and Hezbollah flags
Brief Analysis
How Iran Is Building Its Syrian Hezbollah
Syrian Shiite fighters increasingly show loyalty to Tehran, over even the Assad regime, marking an important shift in the wartime dynamic.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Phillip Smyth
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hezbollah Labeled Terrorist by GCC States – But What Do Their People Think?
March 8, 2016 In a remarkable if little-noticed development last week, all six GCC states – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain – formally designated the Lebanese movement Hezbollah as a terrorist organization. This week, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu called this step “important and even amazing,” but
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How to Prevent al-Qaeda from Seizing a Safe Zone in Northwestern Syria
Strong ground support for moderate rebels would be needed to keep any buffer zone in the northwest from falling under the control of al-Qaeda's Syrian affiliate.
۷ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Filtering the Islamic State's Meta-Narratives: From Global to Local
The following is an excerpt from Aaron Zelin's contribution to the Carter Center report Countering Daesh Propaganda: Action-Oriented Research for Practical Policy Outcomes . To read his full chapter, download the PDF. The Islamic State provides an unprecedented amount of documentation on its own nature and the messages it hopes
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
In-Depth Reports
Russia in the Middle East
Motives, Consequences, Prospects
Since becoming president in 2000, Vladimir Putin has reinvigorated Russia's Middle East ties, a trend underscored by his bold military intervention in the Syria crisis. Through these and other regional moves, he has sought to gain ground at the West's expense while bolstering the Kremlin's legitimacy against domestic pressures --
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Kerry Neither Rules Out nor Supports Safe Zone Concept
The assertion that such an effort would require up to 30,000 U.S. troops, and that it could risk a direct confrontation with Russia, requires a much closer look.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Realpolitik and the Syrian Conflict
Beyond wishful thinking, the current choices for Syria seem limited to either continuing a give-and-take war or having Assad rule Syria much as Saddam ruled Iraq in the 1990s -- under international isolation and with an iron fist.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Azzam Alkassir
Articles & Testimony
Beyond Nationalism: Kurdistan as a Catalyst for a New Middle East
Caught at the geographic convergence of four key states and their various political and military conflicts, Kurdistan may gradually spread a new paradigm focused on sharing the space instead of attempting to carve untenable dominions out of it.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Hassan Mneimneh
"Arab Spring" protest in 2011
Articles & Testimony
Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East
The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Maurizio Geri
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Two Potential Safe Zones in Northern Syria
Both Idlib province and eastern Aleppo province have been relatively spared from the fighting, and their rural communities remain strong.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Defeating the Islamic State: The Economic Campaign
Can the Islamic State be beaten in the banks as well as on the battlefield? Watch three Institute experts discuss government and private-sector efforts to cut off its funding.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
  • Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ceasefire and Elections in Syria: Putin Still a Step Ahead
If Moscow and Damascus have their way, the latest ceasefire will further divide the rebels, isolate Turkey, and facilitate their ongoing military and political strategy for preserving Assad's rule.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Fatalities in the Syrian War
Analysis of funeral reports and other open-source data offers potentially revealing insights into the militia's combat losses in Syria, its shifting role in the war next door, and the security of its position back home in Lebanon.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Ali Alfoneh

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