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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
A Safe Zone in Southern Syria
As the Assad coalition and the Islamic State turn their attention southward, Jordan and the thousands of displaced Syrians waiting outside its border face an increasingly perilous security situation.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Protesters hold Syrian and Hezbollah flags
Brief Analysis
How Iran Is Building Its Syrian Hezbollah
Syrian Shiite fighters increasingly show loyalty to Tehran, over even the Assad regime, marking an important shift in the wartime dynamic.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Phillip Smyth
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hezbollah Labeled Terrorist by GCC States – But What Do Their People Think?
March 8, 2016 In a remarkable if little-noticed development last week, all six GCC states – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain – formally designated the Lebanese movement Hezbollah as a terrorist organization. This week, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu called this step “important and even amazing,” but
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How to Prevent al-Qaeda from Seizing a Safe Zone in Northwestern Syria
Strong ground support for moderate rebels would be needed to keep any buffer zone in the northwest from falling under the control of al-Qaeda's Syrian affiliate.
۷ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Filtering the Islamic State's Meta-Narratives: From Global to Local
The following is an excerpt from Aaron Zelin's contribution to the Carter Center report Countering Daesh Propaganda: Action-Oriented Research for Practical Policy Outcomes . To read his full chapter, download the PDF. The Islamic State provides an unprecedented amount of documentation on its own nature and the messages it hopes
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
In-Depth Reports
Russia in the Middle East
Motives, Consequences, Prospects
Since becoming president in 2000, Vladimir Putin has reinvigorated Russia's Middle East ties, a trend underscored by his bold military intervention in the Syria crisis. Through these and other regional moves, he has sought to gain ground at the West's expense while bolstering the Kremlin's legitimacy against domestic pressures --
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Kerry Neither Rules Out nor Supports Safe Zone Concept
The assertion that such an effort would require up to 30,000 U.S. troops, and that it could risk a direct confrontation with Russia, requires a much closer look.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Realpolitik and the Syrian Conflict
Beyond wishful thinking, the current choices for Syria seem limited to either continuing a give-and-take war or having Assad rule Syria much as Saddam ruled Iraq in the 1990s -- under international isolation and with an iron fist.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Azzam Alkassir
Articles & Testimony
Beyond Nationalism: Kurdistan as a Catalyst for a New Middle East
Caught at the geographic convergence of four key states and their various political and military conflicts, Kurdistan may gradually spread a new paradigm focused on sharing the space instead of attempting to carve untenable dominions out of it.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Hassan Mneimneh
"Arab Spring" protest in 2011
Articles & Testimony
Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East
The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Maurizio Geri
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Two Potential Safe Zones in Northern Syria
Both Idlib province and eastern Aleppo province have been relatively spared from the fighting, and their rural communities remain strong.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Defeating the Islamic State: The Economic Campaign
Can the Islamic State be beaten in the banks as well as on the battlefield? Watch three Institute experts discuss government and private-sector efforts to cut off its funding.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
  • Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ceasefire and Elections in Syria: Putin Still a Step Ahead
If Moscow and Damascus have their way, the latest ceasefire will further divide the rebels, isolate Turkey, and facilitate their ongoing military and political strategy for preserving Assad's rule.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Fatalities in the Syrian War
Analysis of funeral reports and other open-source data offers potentially revealing insights into the militia's combat losses in Syria, its shifting role in the war next door, and the security of its position back home in Lebanon.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Ali Alfoneh
Articles & Testimony
The First Step Should Be to Create Buffer Zones in Syria
Any safe zones would need to be secured by the military forces of Syria’s neighbors, such as Turkey and Jordan, as well as by U.S. air and ground support.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Are Putin and Assad Playing Good Cop, Bad Cop?
Some analysts have voiced disagreement with the view that Damascus and Moscow are truly at odds.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
A Turkish 'Secure Strip' in Syria: Domestic Concerns and Foreign Limitations
Although Ankara has the necessary parliamentary authorization and professional military capacity to establish a safe zone, it would still need Western intelligence help, air support, and diplomatic backing to cover the operation and deter Russian retaliation.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Cem Yolbulan
United Nations headquarters building in New York - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Legal Justifications for a Safe Zone in Syria
UN Security Council Resolutions 2170, 2249, and 2254 offer ample grounds for establishing a zone to protect refugees and counter the Islamic State, but shaping the international diplomatic response would be paramount given the legal gray areas inherent in such action.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Safety First in Syria
However difficult it might be to implement safe zones after years of inaction, the humanitarian disaster will only grow without them, as will the threat to regional and European stability.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Terror Attack in Ankara: A New Era of Kurdish Politics for Turkey?
The Kurdish issue in Turkey stands on the precipice of becoming an international problem, involving all sorts of nefarious actors from the Syrian civil war.
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay

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