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سوریه

Policy Analysis on سوریه

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Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Russian Military Education in Syria
Working alongside Russian forces will likely enhance the group's ongoing shift toward a more offensive-minded strategy, with significant implications for the planning and conduct of any future conflicts against Israel.
۲۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Brig. Gen. Muni Katz
  • Nadav Pollak
Articles & Testimony
Time to Focus on the Wars Within the War Against the Islamic State
To have any hope of deterring, limiting, or winning the coming conflicts in the Middle East, Washington needs to widen its view beyond the Islamic State in the manner that regional states are already doing.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Turkish-Russian Military Balance
While Turkey's numerical advantages and other factors would seemingly give it the upper hand in limited clashes with Russia, Moscow could bring overwhelming force to bear if the conflict escalated -- a development that would invite NATO intervention.
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Can Kasapoglu
A pro-Assad election poster in Syria
Brief Analysis
The Vienna Process: Transitioning Toward a Transition?
Recent talks have yielded encouraging dialogue and a plan, but the sticky challenge of Assad’s fate remains.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Olivier Decottignies
Video
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State: New Inside Views
Three experts discuss what polls conducted inside the group's territory tell us about its political strength, ability to govern, and appeal beyond Iraq and Syria.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Munqith Dagher
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Two Steps to Crack Down on Islamic State Financing Options
The finance ministers gathering at the UN this week should focus on taking actionable steps against the Islamic State's backdoor funding schemes, some of which involve continued access to the international banking system.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Islamic State in Southern Syria
Compared to where it was a year ago, the group is far stronger in the south and is gaining steam even as it faces large-scale military campaigns against its forces in the north.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Oula A. Alrifai
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Struggle for Azaz Corridor Could Spur a Turkish Intervention
As various forces converge against the main rebel supply line in northern Syria, Russia's wooing of the Kurds could make Turkey rethink its approach.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Beyond the Oval Office: Filling in the Blanks of U.S. Strategy Against the Islamic State
In the president's usage, the term "ground forces" conjures up massive numbers of troops obviously superfluous to the task of defeating the ill-trained, ill-equipped militias of the Islamic State.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Costs of Russia's Air Expeditionary Campaign
The air campaign in Syria, Russia's first expeditionary force deployment in decades, comes with numerous challenges and a growing price tag.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Lt Col John R. Barnett
Articles & Testimony
Lebanon: The Syrian War's Next Casualty?
The devastation next door, combined with Islamic State attacks and rising sectarian tensions at home, could send Lebanon into round two of its civil war.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Game Theory of Terrorism: How ISIS Radicalizes Others
Washington has an abundance of information about the group's ideology, targets, and media campaigns, but the challenge lies in figuring out what to do with all the data, both strategically and militarily.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
How Will the Turkey-Russia Crisis Affect Ankara's NATO Ties?
Moscow's lack of easy retaliatory options and Ankara's longstanding fear of Russia should forestall any showdown requiring NATO intervention, and the recent shootdown incident will help bring Ankara closer to the alliance in the long term.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
The Syrian Cauldron: A View from Israel
The former head of the IDF's Strategic Planning Division discusses how Israel is prioritizing threats from Iran, the Islamic State, and Hezbollah, and outlines specific, immediate military steps the West can take in Syria instead of banking on containment or elusive political solutions.
۸ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Israeli-Russian Coordination in Syria: So Far So Good?
Although their close tactical coordination has prevented any bilateral flare-ups so far, Israel needs to plan for the likelihood that its relative freedom of operation in Syria will diminish the minute its actions interfere with Moscow's interests.
۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Nadav Pollak
Articles & Testimony
Nothing in the Middle East Happens by Accident -- Except When It Does
No, President Obama didn't set out to promote Russian and Iranian ambitions in the Middle East, but his policies have contributed to strengthening them.
۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
A New President for Lebanon?
The reported frontrunner has close ties to the Syrian regime, so his selection may not help mitigate sectarian tensions as hoped.
۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Sometimes the Enemy of Your Enemy Is Still the Enemy
Unless the United States quickly establishes a mechanism for Bashar al-Assad's departure, the Islamic State and similar groups will remain potent regional actors.
۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
The Decline in Islamic State Media Output
The group's much-vaunted media machine seems to have slowed down over the past half year, suggesting that military efforts against its forces are taking a toll.
۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ethnic Cleansing Threatens Syria's Unity
The escalating conflict remains a sectarian war, and deliberate ethnic cleansing by various actors is drawing new internal borders that will be difficult to erase.
۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche

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