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Articles & Testimony
As a 'Kingmaker,' Turkey’s Nationalist Faction Could Bring Trouble
Erdogan's trickiest challenge will be staving off MHP pressure on Russian and Kurdish issues while keeping the party from taking down his government.
Jun 28, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
To Counter Iran, Trump Must Rebuild a United Gulf
As international court hearings begin over Qatari allegations against the United Arab Emirates’ (UAE) actions during the Gulf crisis, it is worth examining the catalysts of this event, along with potential alternatives for settling the dispute. Despite relatively good relations with all sides, the Trump administration has played an ambivalent
Jun 28, 2018
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Mohammed Soliman
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Victory Could Actually Improve U.S.-Turkish Relations
Turkey’s decisive election results and shaky geopolitical situation could make it more amenable to addressing U.S. concerns about Russian weapons sales, Iranian adventurism, and other key security issues.
Jun 27, 2018
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James Jeffrey
In-Depth Reports
Life on the Edge: Israel and the Gaza Strip
A look at the socioeconomic and political issues fueling Gaza's dilemma for the last seven decades and the policy options for addressing them.
Jun 27, 2018
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Sami Turjeman
What Would Happen If Russia Flipped Egypt?
An expert on Russian foreign policy explains how even a partial Cairo-Moscow alliance on specific security and energy issues could be inimical to U.S. interests.
Jun 26, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Could Assad and Russia Expel Iran from Syria?
Since the triple missile strike carried out by the United States in cooperation with France and Britain, Israel has escalated its attacks against Iranian military bases in Syria: airfields and Iranian bases in Damascus, the Syrian Air Force T-4 military airbase, and Hezbollah militia units in the Quneitra area have
Jun 25, 2018
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Omar Alradad
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
“Trump Triumphant”: The Middle East between Two Nuclear Deals
The June 12 image of U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean Leader Kim Jong-Un signing an “agreement on denuclearization” in Singapore has provided Arab political discourse’s two competing narratives new tools to push their diametrically opposed characterizations of the future awaiting the Middle East. One view hails the meeting
Jun 25, 2018
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
Four Things to Watch in Turkey's Elections
The formation of a large opposition block and other electoral dynamics are clouding Erdogan’s longer-term political future.
Jun 21, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
OPEC Nations, Including Iran, Subject to Moscow-Riyadh Decisions
The cartel’s latest meetings may solidify a Saudi-Russian axis on oil, and could portend future diplomatic cooperation and military sales as well.
Jun 21, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Could Russia Flip Egypt?
For too long, U.S. policymakers have tailored their approach toward Cairo as if Washington were the only player in the sandbox.
Jun 21, 2018
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will U.S. Policy Allow IS to Reemerge?
When asked at a March 28th press conference whether he still favored pulling U.S. troops out of Syria, President Donald Trump responded to the question with the statement “I want to get out. I want to bring our troops back home. I want to start rebuilding our nation.” At a
Jun 21, 2018
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Abdelillah Bendaoudi
In-Depth Reports
A Tale of Six Tribes: Securing the Middle Euphrates River Valley
THE ISLAMIC STATE is now largely defeated militarily, with the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces taking the eastern bank of the Euphrates River and a mosaic of largely Iran- and Russia-supported Assad-regime forces taking areas west of the river. As anti-IS operations wind down and the Trump administration considers its options
Jun 21, 2018
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
There Is Hope for Democracy in Turkey, Even If Erdogan Wins Again
Three ascending candidates are whittling away at Erdogan's base, posing a long-term challenge to his rule even if they can't unseat him in this election.
Jun 20, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Enters Turkish Elections with More Power but Less Support
The president will probably become even more authoritarian in the coming months, knowing that a majority of citizens would vote him out in a fair election.
Jun 20, 2018
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Thomas Parker’s Response to David Pollock’s “Iran, Israel, Syria, and the U.S.: Views From China"
David Pollock’s thoughtful item on Chinese views of the Middle East reminded me of my periodic discussions with Chinese officials over the years on the same subject. Overall, China has a negative opinion of the U.S. role in the region—though Beijing’s views are sometimes nuanced and occasionally outright positive. Why
Jun 19, 2018
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Thomas Parker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Electoral Reform: What’s Really Needed in Iraq
Among accusations of elections fraud and the burning of a warehouse storing half of Baghdad’s ballot boxes, Iraq’s electoral process appears to have experienced a dramatic challenge to its credibility. However, Iraqi voters’ disaffection with the polling process is longstanding and was openly expressed through a major boycott of the
Jun 19, 2018
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Lina Musawy
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Reform and Security Through a Gulf Lens
Encouraging more liberal policies remains difficult when America’s Gulf partners believe certain reforms run counter to their security interests.
Jun 19, 2018
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Articles & Testimony
A Path Forward for Team Trump on Israel and Gaza: Follow Nickolay Mladenov's Lead
Using the money cut from UNRWA to restore electricity, water, and sewage treatment in Gaza could help prevent another conflict and reopen peace diplomacy.
Jun 18, 2018
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran's Vulnerabilities to U.S. Sanctions (Part 2): Working Smarter, Not Harder
Pending policy decisions on reimposing sanctions will give Washington opportunities to calibrate its arsenal of measures against illicit Iranian financial activity.
Jun 18, 2018
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Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
If a Trump-Iran Summit Happens, Ayatollah So
With little risk for the United States, making the offer would provide an opportunity to restate important non-nuclear demands and show the Iranian people their leaders’ true priorities.
Jun 18, 2018
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David Pollock
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