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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Moqtada al-Sadr and the International Coalition: Common Ground and Fault Lines
On January 24, 2020, Moqtada al-Sadr seized the reins of Iraqi politics. By taking charge of the Friday marches, he overshadowed the Iran-backed militias and showed up their comparative lack of numbers. Al-Sadr directed the protests away from the U.S. embassy, subsequently stating that embassies should be protected and all
Jan 27, 2020
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Soleimani Is Dead: The Road Ahead for Iranian-Backed Militias in Iraq
Iraqis have expressed broad political, religious, and public support for checking the militias more quickly, so the U.S. government should take several steps toward that end.
Jan 27, 2020
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Here’s How the U.S. Can Pressure Lebanon’s New Government to Tackle Corruption
Designating corrupt businessmen and officials under the Global Magnitsky Act would offer a tangible response to the persistent anti-sectarian demands of Lebanese protesters.
Jan 26, 2020
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Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Remembering the Muslims Murdered at Auschwitz
This modest proposal—to broaden the scope of Holocaust remembrance by including the names of Muslims killed at Auschwitz—appeared this weekend in English and Arabic in Saudi, Egyptian, and Israeli media outlets.
Jan 26, 2020
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Russia’s Growing Interests in Libya
As in other conflict zones, Moscow cares little about reaching a peace deal so long as it can outmaneuver the West strategically while securing port and energy access—with private contractors playing an increasingly important role.
Jan 24, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hamas and Yahya Sinwar’s Tough Choice (Part 1)
The Palestinian Hamas movement briefly captured renewed attention when Ismail Haniyeh, a leader from Gaza, received the Ayatollah’s honors at the funeral of Qasem Soleimani in Tehran. Yet for the past few years, it has been Yahya Sinwar—head of the Hamas Political Bureau in Gaza—who has consolidated his stature as
Jan 24, 2020
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Michael Milshtein
Brief Analysis
The White House Peace Plan Meeting: U.S. Goals, Israeli Repercussions
Whether they reveal a detailed plan or merely preview an aspirational document, U.S. officials still need to clarify their goals at a time when elections are looming and Palestinian participation seems highly unlikely.
Jan 24, 2020
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Lifting the Arms Restrictions on Iran: What Will and Won’t Change
UN limits on Iranian weapons transactions will expire in a few short months, and even snapback sanctions may be insufficient to prevent proliferation of dangerous arms to and from the regime.
Jan 23, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
U.S. Do’s and Don’ts in Iraq
To ensure that new protests, new sanctions, and new political leadership wind up helping rather than hindering Iraqi sovereignty, Washington must handle upcoming developments with great care.
Jan 23, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iranian Succession and the Impact of Soleimani’s Death
The general’s peerless domestic stature would have served a crucial mediatory role during the eventual transition to Khamenei’s successor, so his death brings significant uncertainty to that process.
Jan 23, 2020
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The New Iranian General to Watch
The regime has promoted a hardened veteran of the Lebanon front, raising questions about the IRGC’s next steps following Soleimani's death.
Jan 23, 2020
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Needs a New Prime Minister
One of the remarkable things about the spontaneous mass protests in Iraq that initially erupted in October 2019 was the fact that these protesters articulated their demands without any input from or involvement of Iraq’s political parties. Instead, civil activists used social media to express opinions and expectations without directives
Jan 23, 2020
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Haitham Numan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israeli Recidivism Rates are High; More Resources for Arab Israeli Prisoners Could Help
With Israel preparing for an unprecedented third national election in March, domestic politics have been trapped in a kind of political stasis for almost a year since the original elections in April 2019. But demands for reform have not stopped, including the contentious question of crime and punishment in Israel
Jan 23, 2020
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Shaina Katz
Brief Analysis
Who Is Mohammad Hossein-Zadeh Hejazi, the New Deputy Commander of Iran’s Qods Force?
The general’s background includes often-buried links to the pre-revolutionary MEK, along with a sobering record of transforming the Basij into a fine-tuned engine of domestic repression and organized vigilantism.
Jan 22, 2020
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Ali Alfoneh
Brief Analysis
Expediting Evidence of Iranian Attacks: The Aramco Case
Internal components that are common across Iran’s illicit weapons transfers and domestic manufacturing industry can help investigators link the regime to attacks in the region.
Jan 21, 2020
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Tim Michetti
Brief Analysis
Behind Rouhani’s Uranium Enrichment Claim
His troubling numbers could be accurate given Iran’s past JCPOA violations and large number of operational centrifuges.
Jan 17, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Making the Most of the Berlin Conference on Libya
If the latest conference is to succeed, the principal actors stoking the civil war must endorse a genuine ceasefire and a return to Libyan internal dialogue.
Jan 17, 2020
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Europe Is Creating an Opportunity for Iran Talks, and Washington Should Take It
By triggering the nuclear deal’s dispute resolution mechanism, Britain, France, and Germany are opening diplomatic space that could help the United States and Iran return to the negotiating table.
Jan 17, 2020
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Rare Friday Sermon Reflects Four Pressing Concerns
Public anger is exploding over the regime’s mishandling of the airline tragedy, and the Supreme Leader seems to realize that his normal methods of extinguishing unrest and exploiting election cycles may not suffice.
Jan 16, 2020
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Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Decade of U.S. and Iranian Policy Towards Iraq Will Shape 2020
The former Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Harold Wilson, once opined: “A week is a long time in politics.” For politics in Iraq, a week is a very long time indeed. And if the past few weeks are anything to go by, we should brace ourselves for many more
Jan 16, 2020
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Dlawer Ala’Aldeen
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