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Articles & Testimony
Russia Has the Edge in Managed Competition with Turkey
Although Moscow and Ankara are pursuing different aims in Syria, Libya, and the South Caucasus, they have managed to avoid direct confrontation.
Jan 7, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Cairo’s Mugamma’ al-Adyan Complex: A Message of Peace for Egyptians and Beyond
Despite media reports of division, a walk in Cairo reveals how Egypt's history of interfaith coexistence is still alive.
Jan 7, 2021
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Amro Selim
In-Depth Reports
Counterterrorism Under the Trump Administration
A Fractured Response to a Diversified Threat
The administration's achievements were counterbalanced by a striking lack of alignment among three U.S. national security strategies and the discouraging rapid rise of far-right extremism at home.
Jan 7, 2021
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Enough Theory, European Strategic Autonomy Needs Practice in the Middle East
Libya, Iraq, and the Strait of Hormuz provide three test cases where greater assertiveness and transatlantic cooperation could go hand in hand, but only if European countries receive genuine U.S. support to step up their operational efforts and diplomatic engagement.
Jan 6, 2021
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Pierre Morcos
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Understanding Moroccan “Normalization” with Israel
The recent rapproachement between Morocco and Israel can be partly understood through Morocco’s long history of relations with its Jewish minority.
Jan 5, 2021
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Mohamed Chtatou
Articles & Testimony
The End of the Gulf Crisis Is Big News—But Middle East Sands Always Shift
The rift’s closure, while quite welcome, won’t produce instant Gulf unity or make the Iran nuclear issue any easier to solve.
Jan 5, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Presidential Transition Event:
Thinking About the Next Phase of Iran Nuclear Diplomacy
Three veteran policy practitioners examine the challenges that the Biden administration will face as it considers whether and how to reenter the Iran nuclear agreement.
January 6, 2021
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Dennis Ross
Suzanne Maloney
Meghan O'Sullivan
In-Depth Reports
The Coming Iran Nuclear Talks:
Openings and Obstacles
A reimagined approach to Iran nuclear talks could extend the country’s breakout time, preserve U.S. negotiating leverage, and strengthen American alliances in Europe and across the Middle East.
Jan 5, 2021
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Dennis Ross
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Transition 2021
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Qatari Public Supports Compromise on GCC Rift, But Even More Like Turkey; Split on Israel, Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas, and Iran
While recent polling reveals that the Qatari public has been supportive of compromises to ease the Arab Quartet’s blockade, real differences in public opinion on foreign policy issues remain between the countries.
Jan 4, 2021
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Austin Corona
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Jordan Must Be Included in Future Israeli-Arab Normalization Deals
One of the most reliable strategic allies in the region has been taken for granted, so the Biden administration will need to steer more diplomatic attention and economic support Amman’s way.
Jan 3, 2021
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Why an Iran Attack Could Be Biden’s “Hour One” Crisis
Tehran and its proxies may wait until after inauguration to take any action, potentially leaving Biden to decide how to balance the safety of American personnel with the chance for reengagement.
Jan 2, 2021
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
A Missile Defense “Manhattan Project” in the Middle East
One of the fruits of Arab-Israeli normalization should be more robust U.S.-led missile defense collaboration between states that face the greatest threat from Iran.
Dec 30, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Submarine Movements on Iran’s Doorstep: Military and Legal Implications
Unusual deployments by the U.S. and Israeli navies may be intended to deter Iranian attacks in the Gulf, but both moves are ripe for misinterpretation in Tehran.
Dec 29, 2020
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Sentencing of Women’s Activist Sets Up Riyadh for a Clash with Biden
The topic of human rights has become a red line for Saudi leaders, who seem to perceive it as a purely domestic matter on which they will not countenance any foreign pressure.
Dec 28, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Varied Reactions in Syria to Biden Victory
This snapshot of reactions should inform leadership in Washington to focus on increasing its commitment to supporting allies and punishing adversaries.
Dec 28, 2020
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Baraa Sabri
How Biden’s Iran Policy Can Have a Chance to Succeed
No sanctions relief should be granted without nuclear concessions, and a “less for less” deal may be the best way of reaching a viable compromise in the near term.
Dec 26, 2020
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Yazidis: Trapped Between the KDP and the PKK
Conflict over Iraq's Sinjar district has left Yazidis adrift in the complexities of Kurdish politics.
Dec 23, 2020
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Mehmet Alaca
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Policy Failures Lead to a Kurdish PMF Battalion in Kirkuk
Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces, and thereby Iran, have gained increased influence in Kurdish areas around Kirkuk.
Dec 23, 2020
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Yerevan Saeed
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Bahrain Poll Shows Split on Peace with Israel, But Sunni-Shia Divide Is Small
When polled, Sunni and Shia Bahrainis have strikingly similar views on a number of key foreign policy issues, from Israel to Iran.
Dec 23, 2020
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Kenneth R. Rosen
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Political Churn Continues: Implications for Netanyahu and U.S. Policy
Internal rifts and defections have upended the prime minister’s coalition, and the dynamics of the upcoming election campaign mean that Netanyahu will need to carefully avoid tensions with the Biden administration.
Dec 23, 2020
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David Makovsky
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