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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Dangerous Consequences of U.S. Withdrawal from Iraq
The rapid escalation following the assassination of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani has threatened the already precarious state of U.S.-Iraq relations. Now, Iraq must decide how to respond, while considering the unintended consequences that any action will bring. At present, it seems the Iraqi government’s recent 170-0 vote—in the absence of
Feb 3, 2020
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Khairuldeen Al Makhzoomi
Minatullah Alobaidi
Articles & Testimony
A Steep Uphill Climb: Why Trump’s New Mideast Peace Plan Will Likely Harden the Israeli-Palestinian Divide
As currently constituted, the plan cannot be accepted by any Palestinian who cares about self-determination, but implementing some of its economic provisions might create room for negotiations down the road.
Feb 2, 2020
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Reactions to Trump’s Peace Plan: An Analysis and Recommendation
On Tuesday, the Trump administration released the political portion of the long-awaited Middle East Peace Plan, six months after its attempts to publicly involve Arab states through the peace plan workshop in Manama, Bahrain, which introduced a $50 billion Palestinian investment and infrastructure proposal. The eighty-page document named Jerusalem as
Jan 31, 2020
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Public Backs Israeli-Palestinian Compromise, Wants Good Ties with United States
As Cairo prepares to host an urgent Arab League meeting this weekend, called to address the new U.S. Israeli-Palestinian peace plan, results from a rare new Egyptian public opinion poll show two-thirds support “incentives for both sides [Israelis and Palestinians] to take more moderate positions.” And a narrower majority, among
Jan 31, 2020
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Economic Crisis Sparks Rare Protests in Regime Territory
Besides highlighting Assad’s financial mismanagement, the recent unrest gives the international community a genuine opportunity to push for transition while bolstering the more prosperous local administration in the northeast.
Jan 31, 2020
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Oula A. Alrifai
Video
Brief Analysis
Shia Militias in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon Post-Soleimani
Will the various regional militias once controlled by Qasem Soleimani continue to take sometimes-unwanted direction from Tehran after his death? Read or watch a spirited conversation with three experts.
Jan 30, 2020
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Michael Knights
Phillip Smyth
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Peace Plan Won’t Have a Chance Unless Israel Shows Restraint on Annexation
Undifferentiated settlement annexation will inevitably undermine Israel’s ability to separate from the Palestinians, making a one-state outcome more likely.
Jan 29, 2020
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Video
Brief Analysis
The New Status Quo in Northeast Syria: Humanitarian and Security Implications
Three leading experts assess the current balance of power and its potential effects on counterterrorism, refugee resettlement, governance, economics, and other crucial issues.
Jan 29, 2020
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Gonul Tol
Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Trump Peace Plan Attracts Some Gulf States, But Not Consensus Backing
Bahrain, Oman, and the UAE have evidently decided that good relations with the White House are more important than echoing Palestinian anger or appeasing Iran.
Jan 29, 2020
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Revealed at Last: Trump’s Israeli-Palestinian Peace Deal to End All Peace
Despite the applause in some quarters, the plan may wind up fostering tense conditions that are ripe for Palestinian violence.
Jan 28, 2020
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Soleimani Is Dead: The Road Ahead for Iranian-Backed Militias in Iraq
Iraqis have expressed broad political, religious, and public support for checking the militias more quickly, so the U.S. government should take several steps toward that end.
Jan 27, 2020
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Turns a Corner Against the Jihadist Movement
Fewer attacks and more prosecutions suggest the country’s integrated approach could eventually become a model for the region.
Jan 27, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Reactions to the Trump Plan
The PA will likely limit itself to quick diplomatic thrusts in order to preempt Arab support and isolate Washington, but any Israeli annexation moves could trigger more drastic action.
Jan 27, 2020
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Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Moqtada al-Sadr and the International Coalition: Common Ground and Fault Lines
On January 24, 2020, Moqtada al-Sadr seized the reins of Iraqi politics. By taking charge of the Friday marches, he overshadowed the Iran-backed militias and showed up their comparative lack of numbers. Al-Sadr directed the protests away from the U.S. embassy, subsequently stating that embassies should be protected and all
Jan 27, 2020
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Here’s How the U.S. Can Pressure Lebanon’s New Government to Tackle Corruption
Designating corrupt businessmen and officials under the Global Magnitsky Act would offer a tangible response to the persistent anti-sectarian demands of Lebanese protesters.
Jan 26, 2020
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Hanin Ghaddar
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Remembering the Muslims Murdered at Auschwitz
This modest proposal—to broaden the scope of Holocaust remembrance by including the names of Muslims killed at Auschwitz—appeared this weekend in English and Arabic in Saudi, Egyptian, and Israeli media outlets.
Jan 26, 2020
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The White House Peace Plan Meeting: U.S. Goals, Israeli Repercussions
Whether they reveal a detailed plan or merely preview an aspirational document, U.S. officials still need to clarify their goals at a time when elections are looming and Palestinian participation seems highly unlikely.
Jan 24, 2020
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Russia’s Growing Interests in Libya
As in other conflict zones, Moscow cares little about reaching a peace deal so long as it can outmaneuver the West strategically while securing port and energy access—with private contractors playing an increasingly important role.
Jan 24, 2020
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hamas and Yahya Sinwar’s Tough Choice (Part 1)
The Palestinian Hamas movement briefly captured renewed attention when Ismail Haniyeh, a leader from Gaza, received the Ayatollah’s honors at the funeral of Qasem Soleimani in Tehran. Yet for the past few years, it has been Yahya Sinwar—head of the Hamas Political Bureau in Gaza—who has consolidated his stature as
Jan 24, 2020
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Michael Milshtein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Needs a New Prime Minister
One of the remarkable things about the spontaneous mass protests in Iraq that initially erupted in October 2019 was the fact that these protesters articulated their demands without any input from or involvement of Iraq’s political parties. Instead, civil activists used social media to express opinions and expectations without directives
Jan 23, 2020
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Haitham Numan
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