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Articles & Testimony
West of Suez for the United Arab Emirates
New military facilities and operations in Eritrea and elsewhere on the Horn of Africa are serving the UAE's power-projection ambitions.
Sep 2, 2016
◆
Alex Almeida
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Non-Iranian Shiites Paying the Price in Aleppo
The costly siege has spurred Iran to withdraw or relocate certain IRGC units, but this is unlikely to hurt the Assad coalition's strategy in Aleppo so long as Hezbollah and other Shiite militias remain willing to fight there.
Aug 31, 2016
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Ali Alfoneh
Articles & Testimony
Vladimir Putin and the Shiite Axis
Russia's military alliance with Iran is all about keeping Assad in power and America on its back foot, and even a short-lived partnership can do long-term damage to U.S. interests.
Aug 30, 2016
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Arab Region’s Human Rights Problem
The massacre in an Orlando nightclub on June 12 by an individual claiming to belong to ISIS provoked immediate and firm condemnation from both Arab governments and the liberal Arab elite. However, much of the Arab media’s coverage avoided describing the place of the attack in detail, omitting that it
Aug 29, 2016
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Abdelazeem Mahmoud Hanafi
Brief Analysis
Prince Muhammad's Pakistan Detour
The surprise visit may have been intended to shore up various aspects of the Saudi-Pakistani defense relationship, perhaps including their suspected arrangement regarding access to nuclear weapons.
Aug 29, 2016
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
The Rise of ISIL:
Counterterrorism Lectures 2015
As authorities scramble to prepare for the ways in which the Islamic State threat will continue to evolve, many lessons can be learned by looking at the factors that led to its rise. This seventh volume of Counterterrorism Lectures traces ISIL's evolution during 2015.
Aug 29, 2016
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Matthew Levitt
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of Islamists in Egypt
After the overthrow of Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak on February 11, 2011, international actors and observers turned their attention to the Islamists in Egypt. All began monitoring how Islamism would be incorporated into the political equation. Led by the Muslim Brotherhood, the Islamists were dealing with the new struggle around
Aug 29, 2016
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Mohammed Soliman
Brief Analysis
Iran's Aggressive Naval Intercepts Serve Foreign and Domestic Purposes
The IRGC will likely continue using such incidents as a way to signal its domestic rivals, justify its large budget, and meet other goals, so Washington should remain vigilant and consider seeking an official channel for emergency communications.
Aug 26, 2016
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Gaza: How Can the Next War Be Prevented?
The following is the executive summary of a new BICOM study by Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog, IDF (Res.), The Washington Institute's Milton Fine International Fellow and former head of the IDF's Strategic Planning Division. Read the full report on the BICOM website. Two years after the last round of armed
Aug 26, 2016
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Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
Contesting Facts on the Ground in Iraq
Far away from the exaggerated debates of misguided pundits, Western officials have moved on from past mistakes and are making grownup policy choices on Iraq that are reasonably good under the circumstances.
Aug 25, 2016
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkey
The ongoing influx of Syrians could tilt future elections in Erdogan and the AKP's favor, though the long-term demographic and social repercussions will be felt regardless of political outcomes.
Aug 25, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Oya Aktas
Cagatay Ozdemir
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The New Normal: Today's Arab Debate Over Ties With Israel
Normalization remains controversial in Arab circles but is no longer taboo, as more Arabs come to view Israel as a potential partner against enemies like Iran.
Aug 25, 2016
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
If This Is Obama's Middle East 'Balancing Act,' God Help Us
Robert Malley wasn't mistaken in recounting how the president has conducted regional policy; the problem lies in the worrisome objectives that seem to underpin those policies, which could cause further damage through year's end.
Aug 24, 2016
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James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Rojava's Sustainability and the PKK's Regional Strategy
As the Kurds continue to pursue their goal of a contiguous territory in northern Syria, various nonmilitary factors will determine whether their nascent statelet is viable in the long term, including a host of demographic, economic, water, and oil issues.
Aug 24, 2016
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The Twin Battle in Libya: Against the Islamic State and for Unity
A vote by Libya's HOR against recognizing the cabinet of the unity government adds a new threat to the country's stability, despite advances against the Islamic State.
Aug 23, 2016
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Assad Bombs the Kurds: Implications for U.S. Strategy in Syria
Escalating hostilities between regime forces and Syrian Kurds in Hasaka will likely complicate Washington's campaign against the Islamic State, in which the Kurds and their Arab allies have been its most effective partners.
Aug 23, 2016
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Barak Barfi
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Pivot Toward the Gulf
While Hezbollah's next war with Israel seems inevitable in the long term, recent events and rhetoric suggest that the group and its Iranian patron will focus on targeting Saudi interests in the meantime.
Aug 22, 2016
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran's Afghan and Pakistani Proxies: In Syria and Beyond?
As part of its renewed effort to export the Islamic Revolution through armed proxies, Tehran has been recruiting and training Afghan and Pakistani fighters for Syria's battlefields, thereby giving them invaluable experience for potential future campaigns in other regional countries.
Aug 22, 2016
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Small Nation, High Stakes: The Decline of Lebanon and its Regional Implications
The League of Arab States has 22 members. The heads of state in all but one are Muslim. Up until two years ago, Lebanon was evidence that pluralism in the Arab region was more than just a pipe-dream. Since May 2014, however, with the mandate of the former president expiring
Aug 22, 2016
◆
Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Israeli Defense Minister Surprises by Announcing West Bank Projects in Key Area
The initiative could boost the Palestinian economic sector in Area C during a period of diplomatic inactivity, but continued cooperation between Foreign Minister Liberman and the IDF could be tested if a rather quiet West Bank returns to violence.
Aug 19, 2016
◆
David Makovsky
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