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  • Policy Analysis

Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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Brief Analysis
Iran's Potential Military Reactions to New U.S. Sanctions
Tehran could back up its defiant rhetoric by deploying air defense assets to Syria, establishing an asymmetric naval presence in the Mediterranean, smuggling more arms to the Houthis, and stepping up its ballistic missile program.
Nov 7, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
Infographic: Iran Deal 'Decertification'
A quick guide to understanding the background, context, and potential impact of President Trump's decision not to certify the 2015 Iran nuclear deal in one concise infographic.
Nov 6, 2017
Brief Analysis
North Korea's Alliance with Syria Reveals a Wider Proliferation Threat
The longstanding cooperation between the two regimes seems to have intensified during Syria's war, with troubling implications for future missile, chemical, and even nuclear proliferation in the Middle East.
Nov 2, 2017
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  • Jay Solomon
Articles & Testimony
Here's How to Fix But Not Nix the Iran Deal
After decertifying the JCPOA, President Trump now has leverage to negotiate a better agreement.
Oct 13, 2017
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Iran's Military Sites Continue to Haunt the Nuclear Accord
Given the IAEA's legal uncertainty about Parchin and the Security Council's discord about further inspections, the Trump administration needs to decide how hard to press for more answers on weaponization issues.
Oct 12, 2017
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  • Jay Solomon
Articles & Testimony
Confronting the Full Range of Iranian Threats
In practical terms, scrapping and replacing the JCPOA is a nonstarter, so the administration should instead focus on countering Iran as its top regional priority -- and decide how it will respond when Tehran pushes back.
Oct 11, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
JCPOA Under the Gun (Part 2): A Middle Course?
The threat of decertifying the nuclear deal gives the administration an opening with those who wish to preserve it, so the president should use this leverage wisely rather than taking an all-or-nothing approach.
Oct 6, 2017
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Decertifying the Iran Deal Wouldn't Have to Kill It
European leaders surely do not want the U.S. to walk away from the JCPOA. But their room to maneuver is politically limited, given Mr. Trump's unpopularity in their countries. Responding to the White House on Iran will prove difficult for them unless Mr. Trump changes his tone and emphasizes that
Oct 6, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
JCPOA Under the Gun (Part 1): Trump's Five Decisions
Any U.S. pushback against the nuclear deal with Iran will carry consequences, along with potential side benefits, but some courses of action could be more self-defeating than others.
Oct 6, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iran's New Ballistic Missile May Have North Korean ICBM Links
The recent reveal indicates strong technical cooperation with Pyongyang, raising concerns that Iran might be on the path to developing a nuclear-capable ICBM down the road.
Sep 27, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Risk and Reward: What Iran Learned after a Decade of Nuclear Talks
Given its miscalculations about withdrawing from the 2004 Paris Accords, Iran will likely refrain from any short-term steps that isolate it or strengthen Washington's case for revoking the JCPOA.
Sep 19, 2017
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  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
The United States Needs a Middle East Strategy
Without a defined strategy, events will determine policy.
Sep 19, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Trump Can Make the Most of a Bad Iran Deal
In concert with its European allies, the United States should close loopholes, increase intelligence cooperation, and push international inspectors to interpret their mandate more broadly.
Sep 13, 2017
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  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
The Iran Deal Is on Thin Ice, and Rightly So
In responding to Tehran's dangerous regional behavior, Washington can pursue measures short of a full-scale JCPOA annulment.
Sep 8, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
The Right Way to Pressure Iran
Instead of decertifying the nuclear deal, and thus isolating the United States from its allies, Washington should impress upon Tehran the immense costs of producing a weapon.
Sep 8, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
A War with Hizbollah Would Essentially Mean War with Iran This Time Around
Conflict with Israel might be inevitable, but the context has become more complicated than ever for both sides.
Sep 4, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Trump's Afghanistan Policy and the Gulf
The new U.S. strategy, predicated on a changed approach to Pakistan, will need the support of Gulf states such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE to succeed.
Aug 23, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Will Iranian President Rouhani's Second Term Be Different?
Although Rouhani is a skillful politician who convinced the Iranian leadership to go along with the nuclear deal, he likely will not be in a position to wield similar influence over his country's regional activities.
Jul 11, 2017
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  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Presidential Election: Balancing Diplomacy and Confrontation
Washington's working relations with the next president should not preclude it from leading the fight against the IRGC's missile proliferation and regional militancy.
May 1, 2017
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  • Nader Uskowi
Articles & Testimony
Syria After the Missile Strikes: Policy Options
A former National Security Council director spells out how Washington should follow up on its efforts to deter Assad's atrocities, keeping in mind that a broad campaign to 'solve' the Syria conflict would be futile in the near term.
Apr 27, 2017
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  • Michael Singh

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome was a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
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