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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Brief Analysis
Israel and Jordan Act to Ease Jerusalem Crisis
The recent events again proved the dangerous potential of the city's holy sites.
Jul 25, 2017
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Yemen: The View from Riyadh
In a conflict with no viable path to peace -- and in which the Yemeni people are threatened by violence, famine, and cholera -- the Trump administration and regional players must bring a sense of urgency to diplomatic efforts.
Jul 23, 2017
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  • Stephen Seche
  • Eric Pelofsky
As Syria Crumbles, Only Iran Is a Sure Winner
A discussion of Syria's Sykes-Picot origins, the recent U.S.-Russia de-escalation deal, and the Sunni-Shia contest in the region.
Jul 23, 2017
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Arsal: The Last Hurdle to Hezbollah's Safe Zone
Absent vigorous international complaints, Hezbollah will force Syrian refugees out of eastern Lebanon to face certain persecution from the Assad regime.
Jul 21, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
The Best Thing America Built in Iraq:
Iraq's Counter Terrorism Service and the Long War Against Militancy
A compact size, high pay, and rigorous standards have helped the service thrive, but now it needs sustained support to become a lasting monument to U.S. good intentions in Iraq.
Jul 19, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
What to Expect From the State Department's Annual Counterterrorism Report
Areas of focus will likely include a damaged but still dangerous Islamic State, a regrouping al-Qaeda, and the wide network fielded by Iran and its proxy Hezbollah.
Jul 18, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Can Ally with Syria's Kurds Someday
Most Kurds are now seeking rights in their respective countries, while downplaying the pan-Kurdish dream, giving Turkey more room to separate the PYD from the PKK instead of lumping them together.
Jul 18, 2017
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Ceasefire and U.S. Interests on the Jordan-Syria Border
By setting limits on Iranian deployments in southern Syria, Washington could insulate Jordan from problems on the border and encourage Iranian caution in the east, potentially decreasing the likelihood there of a U.S.-Iran clash.
Jul 17, 2017
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  • David Schenker
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Why Trump's Syrian Ceasefire Makes Israel Nervous
The tepid response to the deal by Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu can be summed up in one word: Iran.
Jul 14, 2017
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Confidence- and Security-Building Measures in the Nineveh Plains
In the aftermath of Mosul's liberation, the adjacent Nineveh Plains could be a cockpit for new ethno-sectarian conflict or a test case of cooperative security arrangements, with the anti-IS coalition having strong incentives to ensure the latter.
Jul 14, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
  • Yousif Kalian
Brief Analysis
The Caliphate Project in Iraq Post-Mosul
Destroying the vestiges of IS governance will not eliminate the group -- which will continue to pose an insurgent and terrorist threat -- but it will remove any arguments the jihadists might be inclined to make about the near-term viability of their state.
Jul 13, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Qatar Crisis on the Mediterranean's Shores
Secretary Tillerson should bear in mind that his diplomatic efforts over Qatar's role in the Middle East will have significant implications for the balance of power in Libya, not just the Gulf.
Jul 12, 2017
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
An Opening for the Syrian Regime in Deir al-Zour
Events on the ground are fluid in the eastern Syrian city and province, but dynamics suggest Syrian forces and their backers will prevail over the Islamic State and U.S.-supported fighters.
Jul 12, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why Latest Syria Ceasefire Is Exactly What Putin Wanted
As long as Putin keeps control of the narrative in Syria, he can forestall a resolution that compromises Russian interests.
Jul 11, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Will Iranian President Rouhani's Second Term Be Different?
Although Rouhani is a skillful politician who convinced the Iranian leadership to go along with the nuclear deal, he likely will not be in a position to wield similar influence over his country's regional activities.
Jul 11, 2017
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  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Addressing Iranian Weapons Smuggling and the Humanitarian Situation in Yemen
Reenergized and more-targeted maritime interdiction operations could reduce Iranian support for the Houthis while helping respond to Yemen's humanitarian crisis.
Jul 11, 2017
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  • Eric Pelofsky
  • Jeremy Vaughan
Articles & Testimony
The Foolhardy Crisis With U.S. Jews That Threatens Israel's National Security
Israelis must recognize that the American aid that has deterred major wars since 1973 is not automatic, and U.S. Jews are instrumental in securing it.
Jul 10, 2017
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  • David Makovsky
  • Dov Zakheim
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Defeat a Blow to IS, but Not the End
Risks include a burgeoning jihadist insurgency in areas retaken from the group more than two years ago, including Diyala province, where Iran-backed militias have exacerbated matters by engaging in collective punishment.
Jul 10, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Articles & Testimony
What Trump Should Have Asked Putin For: Ground Rules for the U.S.-Russia Relationship
A sensible approach would entail cooperation where U.S. and Russian interests converge, such as on proliferation, terrorism, and drugs, and management where they differ, such as on Iran.
Jul 9, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
A Half-Million Syrian Returnees? A Look Behind the Numbers
Closer examination reveals that far more refugees are leaving Syria than coming home and that security and corruption represent major obstacles to their return.
Jul 7, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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