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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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SaD Shahed-101 with serials Oct 12, 2024
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Tripling of Iraqi Militia Claimed Attacks on Israel in October
The self-styled Islamic Resistance in Iraq has greatly increased its attack claims and is starting to cause fatalities in Israel, inviting a military response.
Oct 15, 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Energy war
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Deciphering Iraqi Militia Threats of an Energy War
Nujaba and Kataib Hezbollah have warned they will attack energy facilities in the Gulf and elsewhere, but how serious are these threats?
Oct 15, 2024
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Qasef-2k drone in Iraq, photograph made public on August 23, 2022
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Tracking Anti-U.S. and Anti-Israel Strikes From Iraq and Syria During the Gaza Crisis
Militia Spotlight presents a regularly updated tracker with the best-known information about drone, rocket, and missile attacks against U.S. and allied targets, which have intensified since the Gaza war broke out.
Oct 14, 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Israeli Iron Dome missiles intercept rockets fired into Israel from Gaza by Hamas in October 2023 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Missile Defense Performance: Views from the Gulf
In discussing missile defense cooperation with risk-averse Gulf partners, Washington needs to realistically address the specifics of Iran’s latest attack on Israel, including the degree to which defenses were penetrated.
Oct 11, 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Elizabeth Dent
Brief Analysis
Why Israel Should Focus on Iranian Military and Security Targets, Not Oil Infrastructure
Despite significant vulnerabilities, the redundancies in Iran’s energy production would limit the effects of any strike, while the consequences for Israeli, Gulf, and global energy markets could be significant.
Oct 11, 2024
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • Simon Henderson
Friday Prayers
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais in Tehran, Prominently Seated Behind Khamenei
At a recent event in Iran, the leader of the key Iraqi militia Asaib Ahl al-Haq was strategically positioned in a place of honor directly behind the Supreme Leader.
Oct 7, 2024
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
A photo illustration of a hypodermic needle and a poison symbol - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Tehran’s Tactical Knockout: Weaponized Pharmaceutical-Based Agents
Concerns over the regime’s longstanding R&D on weaponized anesthetics and other PBAs have become more pressing given the high risk of transfer to various hostile proxies.
October 2024
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Houthi fighters parade with their missile systems in Sanaa in September 2023 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A Draw Is a Win: The Houthis After One Year of War
The Yemeni group has strengthened its capabilities and aggressiveness to the point where it may be less vulnerable to international pressure than its Iranian patron.
October 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
After Hezbollah’s Miscalculations, It Has Lost Much of Its Power
The group’s false assessment of Israel’s wartime fragility is proving more costly by the day.
Oct 1, 2024
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
KM
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Basrawi Politican Is Behind Kataib al-Mustafa?
The strange little militia Kataib al-Mustafa announced itself to great fanfare in Basra, and judging by its media reception, it has an important mystery backer.
Oct 1, 2024
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Nasrallah
Brief Analysis
What Nasrallah’s Death Could Mean for the Hezbollah Network
Iran’s proxy faces steep challenges on the leadership and military fronts, and the international community can now act vigorously to free Lebanon from its grip.
Sep 28, 2024
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Men watch as smoke rises after an Israeli bombing of Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon in September 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel Dead Set on Beating Hezbollah Back
With prospects low for a near-term diplomatic breakthrough, the Lebanese group can decide how far this conflict escalates.
Sep 27, 2024
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Boosting Military Support to Ukraine Can Help Deter Iran
From facilitating a no-fly zone over Ukraine to interdicting Iranian missile transfers, Washington and its allies have various means of answering the latest strategic shift in the war.
Sep 25, 2024
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and Qais al-Khazali
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Exposé on Sudani PMO Eavesdropping Is Suppressed, But Archived Online
A second major report on the political surveillance scandal was quickly muted, in part because it was highly critical of Iranian Qods Force commander Esmail Qaani.
Sep 25, 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
KH
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah in the Caucasus: One to Watch
Unconfirmed but detailed reporting on potential Iraqi terrorist cells in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan should be a wake-up call to monitor Kataib Hezbollah's external operations more closely.
Sep 24, 2024
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Men watch as smoke rises after an Israeli bombing of Hezbollah sites in southern Lebanon in September 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel and Hezbollah Are Escalating Toward Catastrophe
Both sides have major incentives to avoid a wider conflict, but they’ll need help escaping the traps they laid for themselves.
Sep 23, 2024
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Will Hezbollah Choose to Keep Its Word—or Its Arsenal?
The group must decide between walking back its threat to northern Israel or risking the loss of its advanced missile capabilities, which Iran regards as a crucial insurance policy.
Sep 23, 2024
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
A Hezbollah fighter has his picture taken alongside a mural depicting deceased Hezbollah military leader Ibrahim Aqil at Aquil's funeral in September 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Death of (Another) Hezbollah Lifer
Like his recently killed predecessor, Ibrahim Aqil had a long history of murdering Americans, Europeans, Israelis, Lebanese, and others perceived as obstacles to Hezbollah’s ambitions, and his experience as a military and terrorist commander will be difficult to replace.
Sep 23, 2024
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
One of the pagers destroyed by remotely triggered explosion in Lebanon on September 17, 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Exploding Pagers Can Lead to Calm Along Israel-Lebanon Border
Washington should push to negotiate limited border understandings now—it makes little sense to open a larger, more catastrophically destructive conflict if the outcome is likely to end up at the same place.
Sep 22, 2024
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Houthi fighters rally in Sanaa, Yemen
Articles & Testimony
The Houthi Takeover of Yemen Is 10 Years Old. It Must Not Reach 20
The Gulf states were right about the Houthi threat and the West was wrong, so another large-scale confrontation is inevitable.
Sep 21, 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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