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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Brief Analysis
Deterring Escalation and Expansion of the Gaza War by Iran’s “Axis of Resistance”
The United States must underscore the risks that such action would incur and incentivize Tehran to rein in its proxies and partners.
Oct 13, 2023
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
Muqawama Gaza
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran-Backed Militias Applaud Hamas, Threaten Americans
Iraq's "resistance" militias all rhetorically supported the attack on Israel, but with interesting differences: Badr threatened Americans, while others seemed to downplay potential involvement.
Oct 13, 2023
◆
  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Hamas Attacks: A Turning Point for U.S. Policy
A Statement of Washington Institute Experts
The October 7 terrorist attacks by Hamas against Israel represent a turning point that should bring home oft-overlooked realities about the Middle East and compel U.S. policymakers to rethink preconceptions about the region and America's role and interests in it.
Oct 13, 2023
◆
  • Robert Satloff
  • Dennis Ross
  • Michael Singh
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Gaza’s Urban Warfare Challenge: Lessons from Mosul and Raqqa
The differences and parallels between urban battlefield circumstances in Gaza, Iraq, and Syria give U.S. policymakers a sobering but clear view of what exactly they will be committing to in supporting Israel’s ground campaign.
Oct 13, 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
Israeli Iron Dome missiles intercept rockets fired into Israel from Gaza by Hamas in October 2023 - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
The New Middle East: Hamas Attack, Israel at War, and U.S. Policy
Veteran U.S., Palestinian, and Israeli experts and policy practitioners explore the broader strategic repercussions of the unfolding war, as well as the factors that enabled Hamas to reach its current level of malign regional influence.
Oct 13, 2023
◆
  • Robert Satloff
  • Ehud Yaari
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Neomi Neumann
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Miscalculations and the Gaza War
The group might be content with its existing political gains from the conflict, but Washington should still try to shift its calculus given the grave risks of a wider war.
Oct 12, 2023
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
An Arrow anti-missile rocket fires in a test launch in a joint exercise between U.S. and Israeli forces - source: Department of Defense
Brief Analysis
U.S. Wartime Support to Israel: First Steps and Future Considerations
The Biden administration views its defense support to Israel as sufficient at the current level of hostilities, but that may change as the war progresses and, potentially, expands.
Oct 12, 2023
◆
  • Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
The War Hamas Always Wanted
Despite the completely surprising nature of the attack, Hamas did in fact give multiple signals that a major operation was in the works.
Oct 11, 2023
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Syria and the Hamas Attack: Another Potential Iran-Backed Front?
New Golan attacks and deployments by Iran-sponsored militias and Syrian forces are creating a worrisome distraction as Israel deals with the crisis on its southern front.
Oct 11, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Israel Focused on the Wrong Iranian Threat, With Deadly Results
Although the existential nature of the nuclear threat understandably demanded attention, Hamas and other Iranian proxies have dramatically increased their capabilities in the meantime.
Oct 10, 2023
◆
  • David Schenker
Muqwama homosexuality
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militias Welcome Killing of LGBTQ Celebrity: Coordination Framework Pushes to Make Homosexuality Illegal
Iran-backed militias within the Coordination Framework are leading the call to criminalize alternative lifestyles and celebrating the murder of a queer Iraqi through their social media platforms.
Oct 2, 2023
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Houthi fighters parade with their missile systems in Sanaa in September 2023 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Yemen’s “Southern Hezbollah” Celebrates Coup Anniversary in Deadly Fashion
Ending the war and facilitating other U.S.-Saudi diplomatic tracks is crucial, but neither goal will be served by turning a blind eye to the Houthis’ latest jumps in militarization.
Sep 28, 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Farzin Nadimi
Islamic State forces, in convoy formation, declare allegiance to new caliph, 2023.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Exploiting a "Vast Jihad Arena":
The Islamic State Takes Territory in Mali
The offensive occurred amid a deteriorating security situation across the Sahel that will require creative U.S. responses.
Sep 26, 2023
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Sarah Cahn
Video
Brief Analysis
The October 1973 War Redux: Lessons for Today’s Middle East Policy Challenges
Watch a week-long series of expert webcasts exploring the origins and lasting impact of the October 1973 war.
October 3-5, 2023
◆ The October 1973 War Redux
President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia in July 2022
Brief Analysis
Israel Normalization Negotiations and the U.S.-Saudi Defense Relationship
In discussing a potential deal with Israel, Riyadh is pressing Washington for expedited access to more advanced U.S. weaponry.
Sep 25, 2023
◆
  • Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for UNIFIL’s Independence (Part 2): Facts on the Ground
The secretary-general’s latest report documents Hezbollah’s expanding violations—and the growing role that Lebanese government officials and military commanders play in abetting this activity.
Sep 21, 2023
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Assaf Orion
United Nations headquarters building in New York - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Battle for UNIFIL’s Independence (Part 1): Hezbollah at the UN
Renewing the force’s mandate while blocking Hezbollah’s bid to formally hamstring it are welcome developments, but more concerted diplomatic action will be needed to reverse the downward security trend.
Sep 21, 2023
◆
  • Assaf Orion
  • Matthew Levitt
A photo illustration shows US and Iranian flags and an atomic symbol - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Diplomacy: Feint and Advance
What Washington considers de-escalation, Tehran sees as an opportunity to consolidate its nuclear gains, avoid accountability, and position itself to cross the nuclear weapons threshold at a time of its choosing.
Sep 14, 2023
◆
  • Michael Singh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Pressure Campaign on Iranian Kurds Continues
Iran has stepped up pressure on Baghdad and Erbil to disarm and relocate Iranian Kurdish opposition parties in the Kurdistan Region amidst ongoing disputes between Erbil and Baghdad over budget and oil revenues.
Sep 13, 2023
◆
  • Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Ships of the US Navy's Fifth Fleet on exercise in the Persian Gulf
Brief Analysis
The Uncertain State of Deterrence in the Persian Gulf
Despite conducting military drills and maintaining a defiant tone, Iran has avoided further ship seizures, but its demonstrated willingness to take assertive action in this zone of “contested deterrence” remains intact.
Sep 13, 2023
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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