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Lebanon

Policy Analysis on Lebanon

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Brief Analysis
Hizballah Opens a Second Front
The capture yesterday of two Israeli soldiers (eight more were killed) in a crossborder raid by the Lebanese group Hizballah, as Israeli forces in Gaza continued to search for an Israeli soldier kidnapped last week by Hamas and to clear Qassam rocket launch sites, marked the opening of a second
Jul 13, 2006
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Hizballah:
Learning to Live with Resolution 1559
On June 21, 2006, Nicholas Blanford and David Schenker addressed The Washington Institute’s Special Policy Forum. Nicholas Blanford, Beirut-based correspondent for the Christian Science Monitor and Time, is the author of the forthcoming Killing Mr. Lebanon: The Assassination of Rafik Hariri and Its Impact on the Middle East. David Schenker
Jul 6, 2006
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
One Year after the Cedar Revolution:
The Potential for Sunni-Shiite Conflict in Lebanon
Acting Lebanese interior minister Ahmad Fatfat arrived in Washington June 20 for his first official visit in his new capacity. The U.S. trip comes one month after a radical Sunni Islamist organization was legalized in Lebanon, and just weeks after thousands of Shiite Hizballah supporters rioted in Beirut after the
Jun 20, 2006
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Assad State of Affairs:
Syria's Dictatorship Survives to Fight Another Day
When Hafez al-Assad was president-for-life of Syria, Washington overlooked the misdeeds of his Baathist dictatorship because it always seemed the brass ring of a comprehensive Arab-Israeli peace deal was just around the corner. Now that Assad is dead and his son Bashar nears the six-year mark of his own rule
Jun 12, 2006
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Accountability and Lebanese Sovereignty Restoration Act of 2003:
Two Years On
On June 7, 2006, Institute senior fellow David Schenker testified before the House of Representatives Committee on International Relations Subcommittee on the Middle East and Central Asia. The following is the prepared text of his remarks. President Bush signed the implementing order of the Syria Accountability and Lebanese Sovereignty Restoration
Jun 7, 2006
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Taking Aim at Syria and Hizballah:
Walid Jumblat's Brave Stance
On May 7, Lebanese Druze leader and member of parliament Walid Jumblat told reporters in Cairo that Hizballah should disarm. These comments came just four days after Jumblat offered his assistance to the Syrian opposition in establishing "a democratic and free Syria." Jumblat has always been an enigmatic and unpredictable
May 11, 2006
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Lebanese National Dialogue:
Avoiding the Hard Questions?
On March 22, leaders from across the Lebanese political spectrum completed another round of the ongoing National Dialogue. The talks, which started earlier this month, have touched on some of the more salient topics in Lebanese politics. Conspicuously absent from the agenda, however, has been a discussion of disarming militias
Mar 24, 2006
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Can al-Qaeda's Lebanese Expansion Be Stopped?
As Israelis assess the implications of Hamas's victory in January elections to the Palestinian Legislative Council, a new threat may be developing in Lebanon. Al-Qaeda-linked terrorists have been present in Lebanon for a decade, but recent statements by Ayman al-Zawahiri and Abu Musab al-Zarqawi suggest that the dual objectives of
Feb 6, 2006
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  • Emily Hunt
Brief Analysis
A Tale of Two Countries:
Defining Post-Syria Lebanon
When Shiite ministers recently "suspended" their participation in the Lebanese cabinet, though without resigning, it highlighted an increasingly apparent reality in post-Syria Lebanon: Two powerful camps coexist today. One, led by Hizballah, in alliance with the Amal movement, sits atop a Shiite community generally, though not unanimously, supporting their positions
Jan 20, 2006
Articles & Testimony
A Moment of Truth for Syria
During the nearly thirty-year rule of Hafiz al-Asad, Syria came to control Lebanon and used terrorist groups -- Hizballah, Hamas, and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine -- to exert pressure (and at times reduce it) on others in the region. His son, Bashar, who has been the
Nov 9, 2005
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Reinforcing Lebanon's Sovereignty
The United States has been lobbying the UN Security Council to pass a new resolution about reinforcing Lebanon's sovereignty, building on the October 25, 2005, report by UN envoy Terje Roed-Larsen on the implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1559. That resolution, adopted on September 2, 2004, called for the
Nov 8, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Syria's Response to the Mehlis Report
The long-awaited report by the international commission investigating the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri was released on October 21. Overseen by UN chief investigator Detlev Mehlis, the report concluded, "Given the infiltration of Lebanese institutions and society by the Syrian and Lebanese intelligence services working in tandem
Oct 24, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
The Countdown for Bashar al-Asad and Lebanon
On September 25, 2005, Lebanese journalist May Chidiac nearly lost her life in yet another car bomb attack on prominent Lebanese figures who are critical of Syria. Led by German prosecutor Detlev Mehlis, the international commission charged with investigating the murder of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri is expected
Oct 4, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
Impact of the UN Investigation into the Hariri Assassination
On September 17, the United Nations (UN) report on the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri is due to be handed to UN secretary-general Kofi Annan. It may be delayed by a few months, however, to allow the international community to insist that Syrian officials be questioned and
Sep 9, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil
Brief Analysis
The New Lebanon:
Democratic Reform and State Sponsorship
On July 19, Lebanon’s incoming prime minister, Fuad Siniora, announced the formation of a new Lebanese cabinet, a move praised in Washington as another step toward democratic reform. At the same time, the State Department warned that it would not be able to maintain contact with newly appointed Minister of
Jul 21, 2005
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Freezing U.S. Assets of Syrian Officials
On July 11, al-Seyassah, an independent Kuwaiti newspaper, reported that Syrian president Bashar al-Asad froze the assets of his country’s minister of interior affairs, Ghazi Kanaan. If so, that is surely a reaction to Kanaan’s June 30 designation—along with Chief of Syrian Military Intelligence for Lebanon Rustum Ghazali—by the U.S
Jul 13, 2005
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Lebanon:
At the Crossroads between Democracy and Rogue State
Lebanon’s ongoing parliamentary elections—held in a staggered format through June 19—reflect a new, complex reality for the country. Although free from Syrian tutelage and gerrymandering, the results have been much less encouraging than had been hoped when Syrian troops withdrew. Background: Past Elections The 1990 Taif Accord offered an imperfect
Jun 17, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Sin of Omission
President Bashar al Assad of Syria has lately seemed to be doing everything possible to make himself an ex-dictator—and this week he took yet another step in that direction. Ironically, his latest mistake was not some egregious act of oppression or deceit—though he has in the past been guilty of
Jun 8, 2005
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Baath Party Congress in Damascus:
How Much Change in Syria?
Syrian leaders hope that significant reforms introduced at the Baath Party's Tenth Regional Congress on June 6 will allow them to fend off both domestic challenges and foreign threats. Among the important issues on the Congress' agenda is the status of the Baath Party itself. Obsolete Ideology Since he assumed
Jun 2, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy toward a Weak Assad
Bashar al-Assad's rule of Syria has been characterized by vacillation and a constant pattern of miscalculation. Whether his regime can survive its most profound error and the potential loss of its control of Lebanon remains to be seen. For now, U.S. policy, while emphasizing the need for full implementation of
Jun 1, 2005
◆
  • Dennis Ross

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The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt is the Fromer-Wexler Senior Fellow and director of the Reinhard Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence at The Washington Institute.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
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