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Israel

Policy Analysis on Israel

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Photo showing flame and smoke rising over Lebanon's border with Israel.
Articles & Testimony
Behind the US Plan to Prevent an All-Out Israel-Hezbollah War
An American-led diplomatic initiative to separate their forces at the border appears to be falling short, and time is running out.
Jun 25, 2024
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  • David Schenker
A protester's shadow falls across the flag of the Republic of Cyprus - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Threatens Cyprus: Capabilities, Intentions, and Potential Consequences
If Hezbollah’s conflict with Israel widens, the group could use its large missile and drone arsenal to attack Cyprus, the allied military presence based there, and a wide array of shipping and energy assets in the East Mediterranean.
Jun 21, 2024
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Hamas and Iran Are Trying to Ignite Israel’s Eastern Fronts
Jordan and Israel can take assertive action to alleviate the risk, from additional border security measures to economic steps such as lifting the ban on West Bank workers and establishing a humanitarian corridor in south Syria.
Jun 20, 2024
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  • Ehud Yaari
President Joe Biden and Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu meet at the United Nations in New York in September 2023 - source: Prime Minister's Office
Articles & Testimony
Israel and the United States Must Agree on How to End the War in Gaza
If Netanyahu’s definition of victory is too broad, Biden’s is too narrow—Gaza must be measurably and permanently demilitarized.
Jun 19, 2024
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  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
Houthi claims
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Groups and Yemen's Houthis Claim More Joint Attacks on Israel
The Iraqi "resistance" and their Iran-backed fellow travelers in Yemen have added a new example of jointly branded attacks to their growing list of collaborative claims.
Jun 17, 2024
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  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Chinese and Israeli flags on a table at a diplomatic conference - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Facing Off—China and Taiwan in the Contexts of the Swords of Iron War
Three Israeli experts analyze the strategic quandaries raised by Beijing’s vocal support for Hamas during the war.
Jun 16, 2024
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  • Assaf Orion
  • Roy Ben Tzur
  • Ofir Dayan
Hamas commander Yahya al-Sinwar speaks at a 2023 event in Gaza.
Brief Analysis
How Hamas Is Trying to Shape the “Day After” in Gaza
A detailed look at what the group has been telling other Palestinians as it maneuvers to retake a role in the wider national movement and rebuild its forces.
Jun 13, 2024
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  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
With Gantz Out, Can Netanyahu Resist the Far Right’s Pull?
U.S. officials are wary of Israel’s expanding political minefield and prefer to avoid direct intervention on domestically sensitive issues, but the policy implications of Gantz’s resignation—particularly the strengthening of the far right—will make it difficult to avoid weighing in.
Jun 11, 2024
◆
  • David Makovsky
Jordanian flag
Articles & Testimony
Iran Targets Jordan: The Kingdom Joins the Theocracy’s List of Enemies
Tehran and its proxies have been doing everything they can to destabilize Jordan during the Gaza war, from inciting protests and increasing drug and weapons smuggling to escalating armed threats from Iraq.
Jun 5, 2024
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  • David Schenker
Thumbnail image of Google Map depicting Israeli and Hezbollah strikes across the Israel-Lebanon border since October 7, 2023
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Mapping Clashes Along the Israel-Lebanon Border
A regularly updated visual tracker of northern border attacks by Hezbollah, the IDF, and Palestinian groups during the Hamas-Israel war.
Jun 4, 2024
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Ana Estrada Hamm
  • Miller Greene
  • Audrey Kost
  • Elizabeth Surman
Brief Analysis
Improving an Overlooked Aspect of the Gaza Ceasefire Proposal
As laid out in President Biden’s speech, the initial terms of the proposed deal include a disturbing imbalance in who guarantees that Hamas and Israel fulfill their commitments under the agreement—a problem that should be fixed now rather than later.
Jun 3, 2024
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Photo of Palestinian workers awaiting entry into Israel from Gaza.
Brief Analysis
West Bank Economics Are Key to Stabilizing the Palestinian Authority—or Forcing Its Collapse
If implemented in full, Israel’s latest tax, banking, and victim-compensation measures could bring the West Bank’s two decades of relative stability crashing down—along with any plans to have the PA play a postwar role in Gaza.
May 31, 2024
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  • Neomi Neumann
Marshall Islands–flagged bulk carrier Laax (IMO 9512355), which was attacked in the southern Red Sea on May 28, 2024. photo obtained via the X/Twitter account of French forces stationed in the UAE and deployed in the Indian Ocean, https://x.com/FFEAU_ALINDIEN/status/1795837694960189920.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Behind Houthi Attacks on Ships Operated by Greece-Based Companies
Links to Israel-linked companies, especially in light of the Rafah invasion, are again the culprit.
May 31, 2024
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  • Noam Raydan
  • Farzin Nadimi
◆ Maritime Spotlight
Egyptian and Israeli flags along the Sinai border
Brief Analysis
The Gaza War Is Eroding Egypt-Israel Relations
Their longstanding peace treaty may be safe, but the growing tensions threaten to unwind years of progress and distract Egypt from its most important goal—securing a ceasefire with Hamas.
May 28, 2024
◆
  • David Schenker
A view of a Palestinian neighborhood reduced to rubble in Gaza - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Here’s the Real Problem with the U.N.’s Revised Gaza Death Toll
The adjusted numbers reflect the many challenges of counting deaths in a chaotic urban conflict.
May 24, 2024
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  • Gabriel Epstein
Destruction from the Israeli strike on Hamas targets at the Jabalia refugee camp, Gaza.
Articles & Testimony
The Dangers of an Ungovernable Gaza
As the conditions for long-term lawlessness and violence begin to take root, a former Pentagon official details the urgent steps Washington and its partners should take to prepare for the postwar “golden hour.”
May 20, 2024
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Then Vice President Joe Biden meets with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu in 2010 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Some Big Decisions: What It Will Take to Repair Israel-US Ties
The two allies are unlikely to agree on everything, but they need to iron out their differences given how much is at stake.
May 17, 2024
◆
  • David Makovsky
Nasrallah Ashura speech
Brief Analysis
How Israel’s Rafah Campaign Might Shape Hezbollah’s Operations
The U.S.-Israel rift over how to handle southern Gaza could embolden the Lebanese group to further accelerate its already heightened tempo of operations, though drawing clear deterrent lines could help limit the escalation.
May 16, 2024
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
IRI drone
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Anti-Israel Surge by Iraqi Militants: Metrics and Trends
Although relatively few drones or missiles seem to make it to Israel, launches are steadily increasing, potentially inviting overt retaliation inside Iraq.
May 15, 2024
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  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
UNIFIL peacekeepers in Lebanon in front of a poster depicting Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
An Israel-Lebanon Agreement May Not Be Worth the Costs
The lesson from past deals involving Hezbollah is clear: the group will try to pocket any U.S. concessions on the presidency and other issues while simply jettisoning whatever border commitments it may make in return.
May 14, 2024
◆
  • David Schenker

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Featured experts

David Makovsky
David Makovsky
David Makovsky is the Ziegler Distinguished Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Koret Project on Arab-Israel Relations.
Ambassador Dennis Ross
Dennis Ross
Dennis Ross, a former special assistant to President Barack Obama, is the counselor and William Davidson Distinguished Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Ehud Yaari
Ehud Yaari is the Lafer International Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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