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Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

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Articles & Testimony
To Win Re-Election, Bibi Netanyahu Is Waging ‘Wars’ at Home and Abroad
Publicizing IDF operations, threatening to annex the West Bank, and making alarmist statements about polling stations and the press may help him eke out a victory, but at what cost to Israel’s security and standing?
Sep 10, 2019
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  • Neri Zilber
In-Depth Reports
Shia Leadership After Sistani
Sudden Succession Essay Series
The current holder of the highest clerical rank in Shia Islam is eighty-nine-year-old Ali al-Sistani, who is based in Najaf, Iraq. Sistani has played an important role in Iraq’s post-Saddam era, supporting political reconciliation and a constitution-based society. While the transnational reach of marjaiya will likely diminish after Sistani leaves the scene, the specific contours of this shift and Tehran's efforts to intervene remain an open question.
Sep 10, 2019
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  • Ali Mamouri
  • Mehdi Khalaji
◆ Sudden Succession Essay Series
Articles & Testimony
The North Korean-Israeli Shadow War
Whenever nuclear weapons technology appears in the hands of Israel’s enemies, Pyongyang is usually involved.
Sep 9, 2019
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  • Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
The Campaign Between Wars: How Israel Rethought Its Strategy to Counter Iran’s Malign Regional Influence
The architects of a landmark shift in IDF doctrine explain why the change was necessary, and how it has helped delay full-scale war even while forcefully confronting Tehran’s hegemonic ambitions.
Sep 4, 2019
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  • Gadi Eisenkot
  • Gabi Siboni
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.
Brief Analysis
Is Iran Negotiating Its Way to Negotiations?
While Tehran’s internal debate about engagement with Washington intensifies, its words and actions already seem to be shaping—even unintentionally—the terms of any future talks.
Aug 30, 2019
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  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
The Flaw in Trump’s Maximum Pressure Campaign Toward Iran
Tehran won’t change its behavior without the prospect of real economic relief, coupled with the threat of meaningful consequences for bringing the region to the brink of war.
Aug 29, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
How Will Hezbollah Respond to Israel’s Drone Attack?
With the IDF seemingly expanding its missile hunt to Lebanon and Iraq, the actions of Iran’s proxies, their host governments, and U.S. officials will do much to determine if wider escalation is in the cards.
Aug 28, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Iran Develops Air Defense Capability for Possible Regional Role
A newly announced system could further the regime’s longstanding desire to create an A2AD umbrella in the Gulf and forward-deploy antiaircraft missiles in other countries.
Aug 27, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
The U.S.-Iranian Scuffle Over a Ship Is a Sideshow to Events in the Gulf
Thus far, Britain’s willingness to stand firm in the Persian Gulf has been more consequential than Washington’s legal challenge in the Mediterranean Sea.
Aug 22, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Militias Are Threatening Public Safety in Iraq
Exploding ammo dumps are only one of many problems posed by out-of-control militias, making it more urgent than ever to warehouse heavy weapons, halt mass detentions, and protect Iraqis and Iraq’s investors alike.
Aug 14, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
The Men Responsible for the AMIA Bombing Are Known—and Still at Large
Twenty-five years later, some of the perpetrators hold senior positions within the Iranian and Hezbollah leadership, where they continue to oversee international terrorist plots.
Aug 12, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Expanding Militia Army in Iraq: The New Special Groups
Tehran-backed militias must be monitored more closely on a host of destabilizing activities, though policymakers should be careful not to lump them in with the many PMF factions that don't support Iran.
Aug 9, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Inside Hezbollah’s American Sleeper Cells: Waiting for Iran’s Signal to Strike U.S. and Israeli Targets
If hostilities break out with the United States, Tehran may try to minimize risk to its most important assets in the Middle East by drawing on black ops units further abroad instead.
Aug 4, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Road Ahead on Iran Policy: Toward a Multilateral Strategy
Iran’s recent actions in the region challenge the core interests of many American allies, and rallying those partners around shared objectives would give U.S. policy a better chance of success.
Jul 26, 2019
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  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Fake Tweets Put Israel in Bed with Iranian Exile ‘Terrorists’
We’re looking at the new face of cyber-ops in our hyperconnected, digitized world. It too often resembles the real thing. And it looks like Iranians are pretty good at it.
Jul 25, 2019
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  • Neri Zilber
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Iran Across the Border:
Israel's Pushback in Syria
Of all the threats in Israel’s strategic landscape, none have loomed larger in recent years than Iran’s ambitions and developing military capabilities in neighboring Syria and Lebanon. Exploiting regional turmoil as well as the 2015 nuclear agreement, the IRGC’s elite Qods Force has embarked on an ambitious plan to build
Jul 25, 2019
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  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Clarifying Freedom of Navigation in the Gulf
Legal ambiguities have led to disagreements over how vessels can use the Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf, so Washington should highlight them in any future talks with Iran.
Jul 24, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Sanctions on Iraqi Political Figures: Shaping the Impact and Message
The United States is now designating politicians who place personal or Iranian interests above the needs of the Iraqi people, but these efforts could go awry if locals don’t understand the justification or consequences.
Jul 19, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Will Iran 'Break Out' for a Nuclear Weapon, and What Can Trump Do?
Seeing that the president wants out of “endless Middle East wars,” Tehran seems to think that raising the pressure might get him to back off.
Jul 16, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross
A Panamanian-flagged oil tanker in the Persian Gulf - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Response to Britain’s Tanker Seizure
Recent Iranian rhetoric and actions point to further retaliation, but taking that route may lead to the same strategic miscalculations and international intervention that cost the country so dearly in the 1980s.
Jul 15, 2019
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi

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Supported by the

Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran poses the most serious and urgent set of security challenges to the United States and its allies in the greater Middle East. Since the Khomeini revolution in 1979, Iran has sought to export its radical ideology through the use of terrorism, subversion, and support to ideological fellow-travelers throughout the Muslim world.

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Featured experts

Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi, a Senior Fellow with The Washington Institute, is a Washington-based analyst specializing in the security and defense affairs of Iran and the Persian Gulf region.
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
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