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All Policy Analysis by Simon Henderson
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Articles & Testimony
Nuclear Spinning:
The Iran-Pakistan Link
Forget, for the moment, Saddam's weapons of mass destruction -- or lack thereof. Consider instead the other WMD conundrum: Iran. Events in Pakistan, where two nuclear scientists were arrested last week, suggest the whole issue is about to blow. (Figuratively, that is.) Last month, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
Dec 11, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Gulf Sheikhdoms Have America in Their Future
Lift up your eyes. Look to the future. There is a different world out there than the diet of Middle Eastern violence and anti-Americanism that we are fed in Europe, and that people of the Middle East are being served up as well. Nowhere is this truer than in the
Dec 4, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Russian Oil to Transit Israel:
The Trans-Israel Pipeline is Reborn
Later this month, an oil tanker will leave the Israeli Red Sea port of Eilat after taking on a cargo of Russian crude oil pumped through the Trans-Israel Pipeline (Tipline). The pipeline runs between Eilat and Ashkelon, located south of Tel Aviv on Israel's Mediterranean Sea coast. The tanker will
Nov 17, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Now for the Good News
The first snows are arriving in New Hampshire, but the action for the first of the US presidential primaries is still being played out elsewhere. American voters and news junkies in the rest of the world might be excused for thinking that the political battleground is Baghdad. The nightly news
Nov 1, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Toward a Saudi Nuclear Option:
The Saudi-Pakistani Summit
On October 18, Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia will begin two days of talks in Pakistan. One of the subjects that may be discussed is the potential transfer of Pakistani nuclear missiles to Saudi Arabia. The kingdom has long been suspected of funding Pakistan's nuclear program; given recent revelations
Oct 16, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Inconsistent U.S. Representation in Saudi Arabia:
A Continuing Problem
The surprise announcement that Robert Jordan, U.S. ambassador to Saudi Arabia, will leave his post by mid-October means that Washington will lack an authoritative voice in the kingdom at a crucial time in the war on terror. One State Department official has claimed that Jordan's resignation was for personal reasons
Oct 2, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The September 11 Congressional Report:
A Sea Change in U.S.-Saudi Relations?
Yesterday's meeting in the White House between U.S. president George W. Bush and Saudi foreign minister Prince Saud al-Faisal reflects both Saudi official anger at the reports of the kingdom's apparent complicity in the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and its continuing ability to gain short-notice access to the
Jul 30, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Succession Politics in the Conservative Arab Gulf States:
The Weekend's Events in Ras al-Khaimah
The normally sleepy shaykhdom of Ras al-Khaimah, part of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), was wracked by gunfire and street protests over the weekend after the aged and frail ruler, Shaykh Saqr bin Mohammed al-Qassimi, switched the title of crown prince from one of his seven sons to another. Sword-waving
Jun 17, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Saudi Counterterrorism Cooperation in the Wake of the Riyadh Bombing
The recent bombings in Riyadh and Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah's remarks condemning them have raised expectations that U.S.-Saudi counterterrorism cooperation will improve so that such tragedies can be averted in the future. What internal dynamic will guide the Saudis' handling of this crisis? What sort of counterterrorism cooperation are they
May 23, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Impact of Success in Iraq on Gulf States
The end of Saddam Husayn's regime offers several key benefits with regard to U.S. interests. World oil supplies will increase as Iraq -- which has not been a major oil exporter since the beginning of the 1980-1988 war with Iran -- raises its oil production capacity to its full potential
Apr 24, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
U.S. Policy and Iraqi Oil:
The Challenges Ahead
This Thursday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) -- the oil producers' cartel of which Iraq is a founding member -- meets in Vienna to discuss production cuts intended to maintain the current, relatively high price of oil. The United States is not expected to send a representative
Apr 22, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Bush and Blair:
Tensions in the Relationship
This week, speaking at the annual policy conference of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), U.S. secretary of state Colin Powell, after mentioning the war in Iraq, declared, "no challenge, no opportunity, is more important, more pressing, than the quest to put an end to the conflict between Israel
Apr 2, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Promoting Saudi Civil Society:
What Role for the United States?
Last week the Bush administration decided to reject the recommendation of an independent federal agency to designate Saudi Arabia as a "country of particular concern" under the 1998 International Religious Freedom Act. The U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom had heard evidence that the Saudi religious police raided the homes
Mar 13, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Reforming the Arab Stand:
A Saudi Initiative on Iraq and the Wider Arab World
Last week, the Saudi government published what it described as a "Charter to Reform the Arab Stand," a document intended for endorsement at the next summit of Arab leaders, due to be held in Bahrain in March. Addressed to Arab kings and presidents, the charter calls for more internal reforms
Jan 24, 2003
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Blair Shouldn't Count on Being Bush's 'Bestest Friend'
The gap between London and Washington on foreign policy is widening. Crevasses have often opened or closed in the past -- or have had to be perilously bridged. But the issue of the post-Saddam Hussein Middle East -- or even achieving this nirvana -- now looks dangerously like causing a
Jan 10, 2003
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
The New Pillar:
Conservative Arab Gulf States and U.S. Strategy
In the months following the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, it became increasingly clear that Saudi Arabia was no longer fulfilling its U.S.-backed leadership role in the Persian Gulf. Troubled by apparently widespread domestic sympathy for Osama bin Laden and the al-Qaeda terrorist network, the Saudi royal family began
Dec 31, 2002
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Missiles and Diplomacy:
The Middle East's Dangerous Mix
The temporary seizure by the Spanish navy last week of a ship carrying Scud missiles from North Korea to Yemen was a reminder of the extent of missile proliferation in the Middle East. Similarly, Yemen's insistence on receiving the missiles, despite U.S. pressure, is a reminder of how much priority
Dec 23, 2002
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Financial Counterterrorism Measures (Part I):
The Impact in the Kingdom
Measures being taken by Saudi Arabia to stop terrorist financing have been welcomed by top U.S. officials. But the main test for the new rules announced on December 3 will be in Saudi Arabia itself, where zakat (giving to Islamic charities) is a religious duty and where measures that please
Dec 9, 2002
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Prince of Fingerprints
Some day soon -- if it hasn't happened already -- the first American male between the ages of 16 and 45 will be fingerprinted at the border as he enters Saudi Arabia. The measure is in retaliation for the discretionary fingerprinting of male visitors to the United States from a
Oct 28, 2002
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Tubes of Mass Destruction
As the advance towards war against Iraq continues, the Bush administration has started lobbing missiles at hardline liberals ever unconvinced about the threat Saddam Hussein poses to his region and the world. The administration's game presumably is to make these diehards change their minds and to win over skeptical members
Sep 23, 2002
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Simon Henderson
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