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All Policy Analysis by Simon Henderson
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Brief Analysis
Saudi Security Forces Kill Shia Militants Near Major Oil Facilities
Coming the same week as Secretary Pompeo’s Middle East tour, the incident is a powerful example of the regional threat posed by Iran.
Jan 10, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Sending the Right Message in Cairo: Advice for Secretary Pompeo
All eyes will be on the secretary’s speech this week, so striking the right balance between President Trump’s domestic imperatives and the realities of regional policy is crucial.
Jan 7, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Soner Cagaptay
Simon Henderson
Martin Kramer
Matthew Levitt
David Pollock
Dennis Ross
Dana Stroul
Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
Eight Days in Middle East Puts Pompeo’s Diplomacy to the Test
The whirlwind tour could yield some surprises, but substantial positive outcomes will be hard to come by without clear, unified messaging from the administration.
Jan 7, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Funeral for Saudi Prince Provides Peek into Royal Tensions
Photographs from Prince Talal Bin Abdulaziz's funeral provide a predictive glimpse into Saudi political life.
Dec 28, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Reshuffle Emphasizes Security and Foreign Policy
Ministerial changes seemed likely in the wake of the Khashoggi crisis, but some of the specifics came as a surprise.
Dec 28, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia’s ‘Black Swan’ Policymaking
Riyadh’s allies need to adjust more to the kingdom’s dynamic decisionmaking, once noted for being slow and cautious.
Dec 12, 2018
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Assaf Orion
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Russian Romancing, Saudi Intrigue Precede OPEC Meeting
The cartel’s uncertain future may be shaped by any number of economic and diplomatic wildcards, including Russian outreach, Qatari gas exports, and U.S. turmoil over the Khashoggi murder.
Dec 5, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Nov 27, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Sectarian Significance of Bahrain’s Elections
The imminent polls will not alter the power structure of the strategically positioned Gulf state, but they could affect its simmering Shia unrest and wider regional politics.
Nov 21, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
CIA’s Report Complicates U.S. Response to Khashoggi Murder
The resultant congressional furor could throw a wrench in arms sales and other important bilateral policy matters.
Nov 19, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
New Saudi Statement on Khashoggi’s Killing: Policy Response
Riyadh’s shifting, dubious storyline presents a dilemma for allies who want to reestablish good working relations with the world’s largest oil exporter.
Nov 15, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Qatar’s Architect of a New Life for Gazans
A conversation with a Qatari ambassador sheds light on what is required to address Gaza’s most pressing humanitarian needs and build on the latest ceasefire talks.
Nov 5, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Getting to Zero Iranian Oil Exports
The world oil market will be the most sensitive indicator of how increased sanctions affect Iran.
Nov 1, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Procurement Channel (Part 2): The Clandestine Factor
Trying to stop Iran’s nuclear proliferation is a task better suited to allied intelligence services than customs authorities and procurement channels.
Oct 31, 2018
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Elana DeLozier
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu Visits Oman
The high-profile nature of the meeting reaffirms Israel’s success in developing ties with Gulf states, as well as the independent character of Oman’s leader.
Oct 26, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
What Does Khashoggi’s Murder Tell Us About the Saudi Power Structure?
The prospect of MbS ruling for decades was once thought to portend stability for the kingdom, but that judgment now seems premature.
Oct 22, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Oct 17, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Of Course Saudi Arabia’s Leader Doesn’t Fear U.S. Fury. We Give Him Everything He Wants.
With friends like these in Washington, no wonder the crown prince believes he can get away with outrageous actions.
Oct 17, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Khashoggi Case Could Be Death of U.S.-Saudi Friendship
The crisis casts doubt on whether Western officials can continue excusing the crown prince’s domestic authoritarianism.
Oct 15, 2018
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Journalist’s Disappearance Developing Into Diplomatic Mess
Rumors of murder squads, jet identification numbers, and other ominous details will likely exacerbate regional rivalries.
Oct 9, 2018
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Simon Henderson
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