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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Articles & Testimony
President Trump Must Rally His Middle Eastern Allies and End Iran's War of Attrition
The new administration can succeed in the region if it understands the nature of the threats posed by Iran and radical Islamists, is prepared to work with America’s traditional partners, and appreciates how to take advantage of the latest local developments.
Jan 18, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran Appoints Seasoned Qods Force Operative as Ambassador to Iraq
General Masjedi reportedly has a long track record of overseeing deadly anticoalition operations and making threatening statements against Israel and other U.S. allies, so his appointment to the embassy in Baghdad is highly troubling.
Jan 18, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iranian-Backed Terrorism in Bahrain: Finding a Sustainable Solution
The United States needs to balance tough love with public validation of justifiable security concerns as Manama seeks to reverse the dangerous growth of Iranian-supported militant cells on the island.
Jan 11, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
After the Islamic State in Libya: All-Out War?
The battle against the Islamic State in Sirte distracted many observers from Libya's ongoing political dysfunction, failed reconciliation process, and growing potential for renewed inter-militia warfare.
Jan 11, 2017
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  • Andrew Engel
Brief Analysis
The Growing Islamic State Threat in Jordan
Amman has shaken up its counterterrorism and military leadership in response to an uptick in attacks and security failures, and Washington cannot afford to be complacent about the kingdom's situation either.
Jan 10, 2017
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Rafsanjani's Death Could Increase the IRGC's Succession Role
Unlike in 1989, the Revolutionary Guards and other powerful Iranian institutions will probably play an outsize role in determining and influencing the next Supreme Leader, especially now that another major revolutionary figure has passed away.
Jan 9, 2017
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for al-Bab Is Bringing U.S.-Turkish Tensions to a Head
Helping Erdogan take the city could greatly decrease the civilian death toll and preserve U.S.-Turkish cooperation in Syria, but Washington will still need to decide what to do with the Kurds, its other key ally against the Islamic State.
Jan 9, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The Latest Ceasefire Will Not Change Hezbollah's Role in Syria
Iran and Russia may find a way to push past their strategic differences and make the ceasefire work, but it will be much more difficult to forge agreements on Syria's other intractable issues at the upcoming peace conference.
Jan 6, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda's Patient Approach in Syria May Be Paying Off
By advising its Syrian affiliate to coopt other armed groups, avoid alienating the locals, and (for now) eschew international terrorism, al-Qaeda is laying the foundation for a permanent base in the heart of the Levant.
Jan 6, 2017
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  • Kelsey Segawa
Rules of the Iraqi Game
Stabilizing post-ISIS Iraq will require economic reform in addition to any political settlement.
Jan 5, 2017
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  • Bilal Wahab
In-Depth Reports
Struggling to Advance in Post-Spring Libya
In this essay, eleventh in a series exploring non-Islamist reform actors post-Arab Spring, analyst Mohamed Eljarh explores the prospects for governance in a deeply fragmented, polarized Libya.
Jan 5, 2017
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs 'Useless Syria' Too
Eastern Syria holds major hydrocarbon and agricultural resources that make it a vital asset in Assad's quest for regime self-sufficiency, and a potentially powerful source of U.S. leverage against him.
Jan 4, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
A Turkish soldier stands guard at a rally. Image source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Istanbul Attack: Turkey Must End Blame Game and Look for Solutions
The perpetrators of the ongoing string of major terrorist attacks are obvious, but Turkey's bitterly divided pro- and anti-Erdogan camps refuse to focus on the foreign and domestic policy factors underlying the violence.
Jan 1, 2017
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
What Should Trump Do About Syria?
Establishing safe zones, pursuing a tougher line of negotiation with Russia, and limiting Iran's destabilizing presence are the best ways of addressing the country's de facto partition.
Dec 22, 2016
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
What's at Stake for Lebanon's New Government?
The heavy presence of pro-Iranian and pro-Syrian ministers is troubling, but Hariri and his allies can still preserve Lebanon's sovereignty by pushing for a balanced electoral law and a timely parliamentary ballot.
Dec 21, 2016
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Will Trump Strengthen Iran's Hand?
The Trump administration cannot say it is going to be tougher on Iran and at the same time partner with Russia in Syria -- the two goals are mutually exclusive under the current circumstances.
Dec 21, 2016
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran's Basij Mull a Wider Domestic and Regional Role
In addition to expanding and professionalizing their traditional roles at home, Basij paramilitary forces are poised to assume a larger share of the fighting in Syria alongside Iran's foreign militia proxies.
Dec 20, 2016
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Permanent State of Crisis
If Erdogan can temper his political agenda amid a seemingly endless series of violent incidents, he will go down in history as one of Turkey’s most influential leaders, but otherwise he will be remembered as the man who drove his country into the ground.
Dec 20, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The Lines That Bind: 100 Years of Sykes-Picot
A century after diplomats Mark Sykes of Britain and François Georges-Picot of France drew up a secret agreement to divide the Ottoman lands of the Middle East, a look at the modern map indicates the resulting states have largely stood the test of time -- at least thus far. Most
Dec 19, 2016
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Syria Will Likely Suffer as Russia Seeks Vengeance for Ambassador's Murder
Far from sparking World War III, the Ankara assassination will probably spur a Russian escalation against 'terrorists' in Syria and exacerbate internal divisions in Turkey.
Dec 19, 2016
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
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