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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Brief Analysis
The Equation of Fear
Once again the Iranian nation is at a fork in the road: a choice between worse and worst. It is not clear when it will have the possibility of choosing, under a democratic structure, between better and best. A problematic election and the intervention of the armed services in politics
Jun 24, 2005
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  • Mohsen Sazegara
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Presidential Election:
The Candidates Speak
Iranians will head back to the polls on June 24 to decide an unprecedented presidential runoff pitting Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad against Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani. Ahmadinezhad, mayor of Tehran, defied pre-election forecasts by reportedly finishing with 5,710,354 (19.5 percent) of the 29,317,042 ballots cast in the original election on June 17
Jun 23, 2005
Brief Analysis
Lebanon:
At the Crossroads between Democracy and Rogue State
Lebanon’s ongoing parliamentary elections—held in a staggered format through June 19—reflect a new, complex reality for the country. Although free from Syrian tutelage and gerrymandering, the results have been much less encouraging than had been hoped when Syrian troops withdrew. Background: Past Elections The 1990 Taif Accord offered an imperfect
Jun 17, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Empty Gesture
Today, when Iranians go to the polls to elect a new president, the vote will almost certainly be free, competitive, and fair. It will also be a joke. Always inventive, Iran's ruling mullahs years ago developed a new twist on the old autocratic game of holding sham elections. Whereas the
Jun 17, 2005
Brief Analysis
Twentieth Anniversary Soref Symposium Keynote Address
On May 19, 2005, Paul Wolfowitz addressed the Institute's Twentieth Anniversary Soref Symposium. Dr. Wolfowitz, former deputy secretary of defense, is president of the World Bank. The following is a selection of excerpts from his presentation. Read the full transcript. So many Iraqis, 8.5 million of them, demonstrated courage on
Jun 3, 2005
Brief Analysis
Baath Party Congress in Damascus:
How Much Change in Syria?
Syrian leaders hope that significant reforms introduced at the Baath Party's Tenth Regional Congress on June 6 will allow them to fend off both domestic challenges and foreign threats. Among the important issues on the Congress' agenda is the status of the Baath Party itself. Obsolete Ideology Since he assumed
Jun 2, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Battle for Iraq Lies in the South
While conventional wisdom has identified the Sunni triangle as the most conflict-prone part of Iraq, the decisive battlefield for the country's political future is instead likely to take place in the Shia south. This region is already the scene of low-profile and longstanding struggles for political and theocratic authority. In
Jun 1, 2005
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Egypt:
Constitutional Amendment and Prospects for Change
Egyptians today are voting in a referendum on a constitutional amendment that would, for the first time, allow multicandidate, direct presidential elections. The amendment, approved by Egypt's parliament on May 10, was presented amid growing internal and external pressure on President Hosni Mubarak to enact much-needed political reform. This measure
May 25, 2005
In-Depth Reports
Twentieth Anniversary Soref Symposium:
Assessing the Winds of Change
On May 20, 2005, Rola Dashti, Hisham Kassem, Habib Malik, and Mohsen Sazegara addressed The Washington Institute's Soref Symposium. Rola Dashti is chair and chief officer of FARO International, a management consulting firm, a leader in the campaign for women's rights in Kuwait and sn associate professor at Kuwait University
May 20, 2005
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  • Mohsen Sazegara
In-Depth Reports
Twentieth Anniversary Soref Symposium Keynote Address (full transcript)
On May 19, 2005, Paul Wolfowitz addressed the Institute's Twentieth Anniversary Soref Symposium. Dr. Wolfowitz, former deputy secretary of defense, is president of the World Bank. The following is a transcript of his presentation. Read a summary of his remarks. So many Iraqis, 8.5 million of them, demonstrated courage on
May 19, 2005
Brief Analysis
Debating the Palestinian Election Law
On May 18, the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) is scheduled to debate the law governing the legislative elections scheduled for July 17, the first such elections since the inaugural polls of 1996. The issues under contention underscore the larger divisions in Palestinian politics, particularly the dominant Fatah Party’s internal factionalism
May 17, 2005
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  • Mohammad Yaghi
Brief Analysis
Iran Uses Presidential Campaign to Advance Its Nuclear Program
Iran appears to be fomenting a crisis over its nuclear program as the campaign for the June 17 presidential elections gets underway (by May 14, candidates have to register; by May 24, the Guardian Council will announce which candidates are approved). Assertiveness on the Nuclear Program Ever since Iran signed
May 13, 2005
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
How Is Syria Ruled?
On the heels of its military withdrawal from Lebanon, Syria is preparing for the Tenth Regional Congress of the Baath Party, the first such congress in five years and only the second in twenty years. Prior to the regional congress, scheduled for June, the party will hold a national pan-Arab
May 9, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil
Turkey:
The Road to Sharia?
The following is a FrontPageMagazine.com symposium moderated by Jamie Glazov and featuring remarks by Washington Institute senior fellow Soner Cagaptay. As Turkey drifts toward Islamization, some serious questions arise: Is Turkey even our ally? Is Turkish accession to the EU in America's interests? Does the Justice and Development Party (AKP)
May 6, 2005
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Democracy Dilemma in the Middle East:
Are Islamists the Answer?
On April 19, 2005, Reuel Marc Gerecht and Robert Satloff held a policy debate at The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Mr. Gerecht is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and author of The Islamic Paradox: Shiite Clerics, Sunni Fundamentalists, and the Coming of Arab Democracy (2004). Dr
May 3, 2005
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
An Islamist Syria Is Not Very Probable
Syria's Muslim Brotherhood - banned for nearly 25 years - has been increasingly vocal recently in its criticism of the regime of President Bashar Assad. Earlier this month, for example, it demanded the organization of free elections, cancellation of the state of emergency and dismantlement of special courts, warning that
Apr 29, 2005
Brief Analysis
The Hizballah Conundrum
President George W. Bush’s March 15 statement expressing hope that Hizballah would prove not to be a terrorist organization, “laying down arms and not threatening peace,” suggests a conundrum for policymakers: how do you treat a chameleonic body that is simultaneously an important political party and an armed terror group
Mar 29, 2005
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  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
The Role of International Monitors and Observers in the Lebanese Elections
President George W. Bush recently stated, “The elections in Lebanon must be fully and carefully monitored by international observers.” Already, Lebanese prime minister Omar Karami has issued a de facto invitation to former president Jimmy Carter to fulfill that role. Some skepticism is warranted, particularly with regard to the notion
Mar 22, 2005
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Thinking the Unthinkable
What do Georgia, Ukraine, and Lebanon have in common? Their publics have said no to fear. They would not be silenced or intimidated as they rejected the fraudulent elections and corrupt governments imposed on them. Iraqi Shiites and, to a lesser extent, the Kurds could be added to this list
Mar 21, 2005
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
From Beirut to Algiers:
The Arab League’s Role in the Lebanon Crisis
Arab leaders meet in Algiers on March 22 for an Arab League summit, at a moment of high tension within Lebanon over the pace and extent of Syria’s military withdrawal and the future domestic political map. Despite the important roles many of the summiteers have played in urging Damascus to
Mar 21, 2005
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  • Robert Rabil

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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