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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Zarif versus Pompeo: Realism Wins
Iranian foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif’s recent visit to Baghdad has pushed the American project to counter Iranian influence in Iraq back to square one. The visit came just after U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s tour in Baghdad and several other Middle Eastern capitals, through which he sought to
۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Shukur Khilkhal
Brief Analysis
Exploiting East Mediterranean Gas: New Milestones, New Obstacles
Even as exploration companies make crucial advances on specific projects, broader development of the area’s resources will require the players to overcome political tensions and market hurdles.
۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Shift to a More Offensive Posture Could Be a Sign of Weakness
Pressures at home and abroad may be driving the regime to embrace new offensive operations and tactics, leaving the door open for a broader offensive strategy if another war erupts in the Middle East.
۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Making Turkey Great Again
Given the numerous risks that lie ahead, it remains to be seen if Erdogan can deliver his country back to safety, let alone to greatness.
۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Arabian Peninsula: An Evaluation
U.S. officials need a clearer roadmap for how to reallocate certain resources away from the Middle East while maintaining cooperation with regional allies.
۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
For Assad, Manbij Is the Key to East Syria
Reestablishing control in Manbij is the only way to build influence across the Euphrates, and now that U.S. troops are set to leave, both Russia and local Arab tribes may support this regime goal.
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Video
Brief Analysis
Reports from Saudi Arabia, Israel, and Capitol Hill
Middle East Policy Forecast for 2019
Three Institute scholars report on recent regional visits and U.S. legislative developments, looking ahead to the most critical policy questions in the coming year.
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Barbara A. Leaf
Dana Stroul
Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Militias Affect Basra’s Protests
With protests originally sparking in July 2018, Basra continues to experience sporadic demonstrations.
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Azhar Al-Rubaie
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Understanding the Dangers of a Turkish ‘Safe-Zone’ in Syria
It has been almost a month since U.S. President Donald Trump’s abrupt announcement that American forces would leave Syria shocked American enemies, allies, and Trump’s own officials alike. For Washington, the question of what comes next has been a matter of significant debate and speculation. For Northeast Syria—and the millions
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Sinam Mohamad
Articles & Testimony
Here’s Why U.S. Aid to Palestinians Needs to Continue
A former ambassador to Israel and a veteran congressional staffer outline concrete steps for preserving the most crucial security and humanitarian programs.
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Dana Stroul
Daniel Shapiro
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Roadmap for 2019: Pushing the JCPOA’s Boundaries
As Tehran’s economic patience grows thinner, it may try to exploit holes in the nuclear deal as a way of pressuring the West, but this strategy could prove to be a double-edged sword.
۳۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Money for Missiles? Reassessing the Saudi Visit to Pakistan
Out of the public view, access to Islamabad’s nuclear and missile technology could be the main agenda item for a bilateral meeting whose reported purpose is financial support.
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Women in Saudi Society Press for Change—Some Suffer Despite Successes
Recent reforms are running up against deep-seated cultural realities, and some foreign investors and officials are not ready to forget the Khashoggi incident.
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Reclamation:
A Cultural Policy for Arab-Israeli Partnership
A new opportunity has emerged to roll back generations of antisemitic and rejectionist messaging in Arab media, mosques, and schools. It stems from the convergence of interests between Israel and Arab powers, a youthful Arab grassroots trend in favor of a “peace between peoples,” and new Israeli and American Jewish
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Joseph Braude
Brief Analysis
In Damning Report, UN Panel Details War Economy in Yemen
By benefiting from questionable wartime revenue streams and outright corruption, both the Houthi rebels and the U.S.-supported Hadi government are inhibiting a transition to peace.
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Another Course Correction Needed: Towards a Better Reception of U.S. Positions in the Middle East
Characterizations of U.S. engagement in the Middle East as merely chaotic ignore—often deliberately—that a course correction in U.S. policy is indeed taking place. Underneath the U.S. administration’s multiple, even conflicting messages communicated to friends and foes in the Middle East, the outlines of a coherent policy are potentially discernible. Washington
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hanging in the Balance: East Jerusalemite Population Balances Israeli Benefits with Palestinian Alignment in Newest Poll
An October 2018 poll of Palestinian residents of East Jerusalem confirms a sharp shift against integration with Israel in the past two years. This surprising result was first reported based on our May 2017 survey, with the trend continuing towards Palestinian nationalism. In stark contrast to previous polls conducted as
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Cecilia Panella
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Security Threats on the Tunisia-Libya Border
The French military’s Maginot line—built during the 1930s in order to prevent the inevitable German invasion—is a classic example of how a false sense of security led to failed strategic planning. Lesser known is the Mareth Line of the same period, built in Tunisia to defend the French protectorate against
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Dhia Otay
تحلیل کوتاه
عقب راندن ایران از سوریه: فراتر از «نیروی نظامی»
تهران، به جز مداخله نظامی در سوریه، طیف وسیعی از تاکتیکهای اقتصادی و اجتماعی را نیز برای گسترش نفوذ خود در سوریه دنبال کرده است. اما واشنگتن هنوز هم میتواند با کمکهای هدفمند، تحریمهای خلاقانه و تبلیغات راهبردی، ایران را در سوریه عقب براند.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
حنین غدار
دانا استرول
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu’s Political and Legal Challenges in the Next Elections
For now, he is sticking with the tried-and-true formula of emphasizing his security pedigree, but looming indictments could change his campaign narrative and coalition-building strategy.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
David Makovsky
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