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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Logic of the Chemical Attack
The battle for the suburbs of Damascus was nearing its end. The regime units — equipped, backed, and supplemented by Russian and Iranian forces — were on the verge of achieving total victory: the defeat of all rebel factions, the expulsion of a population that had demonstrated its lack of
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Hassan Mneimneh
Video
Brief Analysis
Confronting Iran and the Future of the JCPOA
President Trump still seems intent on withdrawing from the deal, but his calculus could change given the lack of diplomatic consensus in Europe and the chemical weapons showdown in Syria.
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Karen DeYoung
James Jeffrey
Jay Solomon
Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Tactical Issues Surrounding a U.S. Withdrawal from the Iran Nuclear Agreement
President Trump has long signaled his distaste for the JCPOA. He warned in January that absent improvements to the Iran nuclear agreement, he might decide by the May 12 deadline not to extend the sanctions waivers, effectively withdrawing the United States from the deal. In reality, however, reimposing sanctions is
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
How Syria Came to This
The Douma chemical attacks are only the latest chapter in a long story of ethnic and sectarian conflict, international connivance, and above all civilian suffering.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Trump's Order to Strike Syria May End Future Chemical Weapons Attacks
Continuing to enforce the ban on such weapons via military action can give Washington some much needed leverage in the Geneva negotiations.
۱۴ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Saudi-Hosted Arab Summit Balances Reality and Irrelevance
Whatever the summit's outcome, perhaps the most important question for the Arab League's future is when dynamic and confrontational young leaders like MbS will fully take the reins.
۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Pull Troops Out of Syria? Trump Has a Point
By moving to an airpower-focused approach, Washington could avoid an unending stabilization mission, calm tensions with Turkey, and help allies with the bigger goal of countering Iran and Russia.
۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
The Dammam Summit: Testing the Limits of Arab-Israeli Engagement
Although the event's impact on bilateral Arab relations with Israel will likely be minimal, the issues addressed in its resolutions and the way they are framed will indicate how far leaders are willing to go in publicly engaging the state.
۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Iran Is Outpacing Assad for Control of Syria's Shia Militias
Although Damascus has sought to maintain a grip over its network of brigades, Tehran is gaining ascendancy and could push more of them to attack U.S. forces or Israel.
۱۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Phillip Smyth
Brief Analysis
Escalating Tensions in Western Sahara
As the Security Council prepares to vote on extending the peacekeeping mission, a mounting war of words between the conflict's three parties warrants a careful U.S. response.
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Sarah Feuer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan Between Regional Threats and Internal Pressures: The Economic Key
Jordan’s King Abdullah II came to power in February 1999 in the aftermath of King Hussein. For the past nineteen years of his rule, he has kept the kingdom stable, despite the hardships and challenges that the whole Middle East region is undergoing, ranging from radicalism to terrorism. He has
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Shehab Al-Makahleh
Articles & Testimony
The Kremlin's Middle East Gambit
An image of imperial greatness is a matter of political survival to Vladimir Putin, which helps explain his aggressive efforts to fill any vacuum America may leave in the region.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Israel Once Again Strikes Iran's UAV Base in Syria
Tehran continues to maintain significant drone forces at a base in western Syria, giving them dangerously easy access to the Israeli border and raising the risk of escalation.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of Islamist Parties in Algeria
On November 24, 2017, the Islamist movement in Algeria suffered a defeat in the country’s election, reflecting and demonstrating a sharp decline in the popularity of Islamism. The Islamist coalition – composed of three parties: Front for Justice and Development, Islamic Renaissance Movement (Ennahda), and National Construction Movement – only
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Ahmed Marwane
Brief Analysis
Military Strikes on Syria: Critical Considerations
Military action should seek to restore deterrence by hitting not just chemical weapons-related targets, but also ground and air units that are key to the Assad regime's war effort.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ghaith al-Omari's Comments on Abdulhameed Hakeem "Who holds the keys of peace with Israel?"
While the version of history presented in the article “Who Holds the Key to Peace with Israel” may be debatable, the general thrust of the article is both positive and accurate: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman is indeed presenting a fundamentally new rhetoric when it comes to Israel, regional
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Iran's Nuclear Holiday: A Final Attempt to Deter Trump
Hardliners will take comfort in the government's latest nuclear warnings to Washington, but the rhetoric could backfire if more Iranians come to believe that costly new projects hold little economic benefit for them.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Charting a New Course on the Gulf Rift
Washington should boost practical incentives to GCC partners on all sides of the Qatar dispute in an effort to save the Gulf union and U.S. strategic interests tied to it.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Articles & Testimony
White House Meeting with Emir of Qatar Holds Potential for Deal, or Two
The summit could yield tentative agreements on any number of issues, from Arab-Israeli peacemaking to energy and arms deals.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Reconstruction: Ankara, Baghdad, and Erbil
Last February, Turkish pro-government sources proudly boasted that Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu had pledged the most money towards Iraqi reconstruction of the regional powers while attending the Kuwait International Conference for the Reconstruction of Iraq. The three-day event brought together civil society representatives, high-level government officials, and NGOs, raising
۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۸
◆
Egecan Alan Fay
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