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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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"Arab Spring" protest in 2011
Articles & Testimony
Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East
The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Maurizio Geri
Articles & Testimony
Five Years After Mubarak's Fall, Lessons for Washington
By allowing events 6,000 miles away to outpace its decisionmaking, the Obama administration put itself in a lose-lose situation, which is why Egyptian and regional players regard U.S. policy during the uprising as a failure.
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Sisi's Fracturing Regime
Egypt's strongman is cracking down ahead of the revolution's fifth anniversary, but the real threat he faces isn't from protests.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The Brotherhood Breaks Down
Although the group's vision for establishing an Islamist state in Egypt won't evaporate, the rigid internal discipline that defined its decisionmaking and mobilization is now a thing of the past.
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Eric Trager
  • Marina Shalabi
In-Depth Reports
The Islamic State's Territorial Methodology
In this new study, jihadi expert Aaron Y. Zelin provides a framework for understanding how the Islamic State goes from no control to full consolidation of control in a particular area. Three case studies show how this framework plays out ...
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Tunisian Democratic Experiment Five Years In
The lone Arab Spring success story has much to be proud of, but considerable challenges remain, and Tunisia will need significant American assistance for the foreseeable future.
۱۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Parliament Convenes: Making Sense of the Salafi Members-Elect
For now, the handful of Nour candidates who won seats are seemingly content to continue endorsing the Sisi government, but political opposition and violence outside parliament may prove much more significant to how Egypt's Salafis divide in the future.
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
In-Depth Reports
The Algerian Conundrum:
Authoritarian State, Democratic Society
This essay, the third in a series exploring prospects for political reform throughout the region, considers the strengths and limitations of democratic-style reformers in Algeria today.
۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • John P. Entelis
Articles & Testimony
The Use of Violence in Libya
While the onus of change is on Libyans themselves, the international community must also take a stand against the various extremist political movements impeding a peaceful solution, whether they are Islamist or 'liberal.'
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Nisreen Amer
Articles & Testimony
Security Challenges in Egypt Two Years After Morsi
While the Sisi government's increasingly repressive trajectory remains a concern, the ongoing deterioration of Egypt's internal security is the more immediate threat, and U.S. policy should be adjusted accordingly.
۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Hamas and the Islamic State: Growing Cooperation in the Sinai
Hamas has long sought to stymie Egyptian control over the peninsula and keep its weapons smuggling routes open, but its latest opportunistic gamble on local jihadists carries wider dangers that should be nipped in the bud by sponsors Turkey and Qatar.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
In-Depth Reports
Riding the Egyptian-Israeli Roller Coaster 2011-2015
A former U.S. deputy chief of mission in Cairo discusses the many reasons Washington should nurture the resilient Egypt-Israel relationship.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Marc Sievers
Articles & Testimony
Algeria's Next Succession: Preparing for a Post-Bouteflika World
Although Algerians are lukewarm to the prospect of a managed succession, they are even less willing to believe that true multiparty democracy could flourish in the current environment.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Kerry in Tunis: Bolstering an Arab Democracy Through Strategic Dialogue
At a time of political and economic uncertainty in Tunisia, this week's bilateral talks could offer urgent protection to the lone 'Arab Spring' success story.
۱۲ نوامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Why Are Salafi Islamists Contesting Egypt's Election?
Despite a poor showing in the first round, Salafi parties may simply be trying to convince the government and public that they are a part of Egyptian society rather than a threat to it.
۱۲ نوامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
In-Depth Reports
Cooperating, Not Condoning:
Toward a More Constructive U.S. Egypt Policy
► Join us for a live policy forum webcast as the authors present their newest report on advancing U.S.interests with the "new" Egypt. Webcast begins at 10:00 a.m. EST on November 5, 2015. In July 2013, Egypt's defense minister Abdul Fattah al-Sisi responded to mass protests and impending state breakdown
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Vin Weber
  • Gregory Craig
Articles & Testimony
America's Least-Known Mideast Military Force
A tragic plane crash should put a spotlight on the status of Washington's commitment to an important Sinai peacekeeping force.
۱ نوامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Youth and Silent Protest in Egypt
Frustrated youths largely boycotted the first phase of the parliamentary elections, and tensions could once again boil over unless political elites put aside their personal interests and commit to achieving the goals of the 2011 revolution.
۲۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Mohamed Abdelaziz
Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Elections Formula to Yield Familiar Results
Given the latest redistricting efforts and the absence of major Islamist opposition, the upcoming vote is set to produce a throwback parliament that is largely beholden to the president's camp.
۱۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Public Negative on All Regional Players -- Except Itself
A new poll indicates approval for Cairo's recent policies but little interest in religious reform, and very strong opposition toward players such as ISIS, Iran, Russia, the United States, and Qatar.
۱۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Pollock

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