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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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Egyptian president Sisi speaks
Articles & Testimony
Strong Team Faces High Hurdles
Given the risks associated with further economic reform, Egypt's appointment of new and highly qualified cabinet ministers will not necessarily result in new policies.
۳۰ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt Renews Its Crackdown on NGOs
By once again targeting foreign-funded NGOs, Sisi's government is reactivating the cycle of recriminations that nearly torpedoed the U.S.-Egypt relationship four years ago.
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Establishing and Securing Safe Zones in Syria: Historical Lessons
Experience in Iraq, Bosnia, and Libya shows that safe-zone operations require unambiguous legal authorities, clear political and military guidance, robust air and ground forces, and a viable plan for displaced persons and refugees.
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Lt Col John R. Barnett
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Filtering the Islamic State's Meta-Narratives: From Global to Local
The following is an excerpt from Aaron Zelin's contribution to the Carter Center report Countering Daesh Propaganda: Action-Oriented Research for Practical Policy Outcomes . To read his full chapter, download the PDF. The Islamic State provides an unprecedented amount of documentation on its own nature and the messages it hopes
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
"Arab Spring" protest in 2011
Articles & Testimony
Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East
The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Maurizio Geri
Articles & Testimony
Five Years After Mubarak's Fall, Lessons for Washington
By allowing events 6,000 miles away to outpace its decisionmaking, the Obama administration put itself in a lose-lose situation, which is why Egyptian and regional players regard U.S. policy during the uprising as a failure.
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Sisi's Fracturing Regime
Egypt's strongman is cracking down ahead of the revolution's fifth anniversary, but the real threat he faces isn't from protests.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The Brotherhood Breaks Down
Although the group's vision for establishing an Islamist state in Egypt won't evaporate, the rigid internal discipline that defined its decisionmaking and mobilization is now a thing of the past.
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Eric Trager
  • Marina Shalabi
In-Depth Reports
The Islamic State's Territorial Methodology
In this new study, jihadi expert Aaron Y. Zelin provides a framework for understanding how the Islamic State goes from no control to full consolidation of control in a particular area. Three case studies show how this framework plays out ...
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Tunisian Democratic Experiment Five Years In
The lone Arab Spring success story has much to be proud of, but considerable challenges remain, and Tunisia will need significant American assistance for the foreseeable future.
۱۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Egypt's New Parliament Convenes: Making Sense of the Salafi Members-Elect
For now, the handful of Nour candidates who won seats are seemingly content to continue endorsing the Sisi government, but political opposition and violence outside parliament may prove much more significant to how Egypt's Salafis divide in the future.
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
In-Depth Reports
The Algerian Conundrum:
Authoritarian State, Democratic Society
This essay, the third in a series exploring prospects for political reform throughout the region, considers the strengths and limitations of democratic-style reformers in Algeria today.
۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • John P. Entelis
Articles & Testimony
The Use of Violence in Libya
While the onus of change is on Libyans themselves, the international community must also take a stand against the various extremist political movements impeding a peaceful solution, whether they are Islamist or 'liberal.'
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
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  • Nisreen Amer
Articles & Testimony
Security Challenges in Egypt Two Years After Morsi
While the Sisi government's increasingly repressive trajectory remains a concern, the ongoing deterioration of Egypt's internal security is the more immediate threat, and U.S. policy should be adjusted accordingly.
۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Hamas and the Islamic State: Growing Cooperation in the Sinai
Hamas has long sought to stymie Egyptian control over the peninsula and keep its weapons smuggling routes open, but its latest opportunistic gamble on local jihadists carries wider dangers that should be nipped in the bud by sponsors Turkey and Qatar.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
In-Depth Reports
Riding the Egyptian-Israeli Roller Coaster 2011-2015
A former U.S. deputy chief of mission in Cairo discusses the many reasons Washington should nurture the resilient Egypt-Israel relationship.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Marc Sievers
Articles & Testimony
Algeria's Next Succession: Preparing for a Post-Bouteflika World
Although Algerians are lukewarm to the prospect of a managed succession, they are even less willing to believe that true multiparty democracy could flourish in the current environment.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Kerry in Tunis: Bolstering an Arab Democracy Through Strategic Dialogue
At a time of political and economic uncertainty in Tunisia, this week's bilateral talks could offer urgent protection to the lone 'Arab Spring' success story.
۱۲ نوامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Why Are Salafi Islamists Contesting Egypt's Election?
Despite a poor showing in the first round, Salafi parties may simply be trying to convince the government and public that they are a part of Egyptian society rather than a threat to it.
۱۲ نوامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
In-Depth Reports
Cooperating, Not Condoning:
Toward a More Constructive U.S. Egypt Policy
► Join us for a live policy forum webcast as the authors present their newest report on advancing U.S.interests with the "new" Egypt. Webcast begins at 10:00 a.m. EST on November 5, 2015. In July 2013, Egypt's defense minister Abdul Fattah al-Sisi responded to mass protests and impending state breakdown
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Vin Weber
  • Gregory Craig

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