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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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Brief Analysis
Friday's Islamist 'Uprising' in Egypt Could Be Bloody
Although past uprisings have been quickly snuffed out, the latest calls for mass protests have been more strategically savvy and explicitly violent than usual.
۲۶ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Tunisians Elect a President
Regardless of who enters Carthage Palace in January, a free and fair election will represent an achievement worthy of international recognition.
۲۱ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
An Egyptian guard inspects bomb damage near the Gaza border in Sinai
Articles & Testimony
Obama Administration Should Be Helping Egypt, Not Punishing It
Helping Cairo defeat jihadis -- at minimum by delivering long-postponed weapons systems -- would be more productive than punishing it for its repressive approach in Sinai.
۱۹ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Morocco Deepens Anti-IS Gulf Ties, but Neglects Returning Jihadi Threat
Even as Rabat sends delegations abroad to garner support for its security programs, the question remains: Why is Morocco one of the largest sources of IS fighters in the Arab world?
۱۳ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Vish Sakthivel
In-Depth Reports
Libya as a Failed State:
Causes, Consequences, Options
Is post-Qadhafi Libya destined to become a "Somalia on the Mediterranean"? Analyst Andrew Engel studies the causative factors in Libya's failed transition to democracy.
۹ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Army of God
Islam's growing role in the military is likely part of an ideological battle to reclaim the spiritual mantle from the Muslim Brotherhood, but manipulating religion for political gain has a history of backfiring in Egypt.
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Gilad Wenig
Articles & Testimony
Mubarak Nostalgia Is the Winning Strategy in Egyptian Politics Right Now
In a political environment that seeks a return to the status quo ante, some Egyptians are embracing a Mubarak-era strategy of leveraging patronage networks and governmental connections for victory.
۲۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's First Colony in Libya
A local jihadist group has claimed a Libyan city in the name of ISIS, showing how the "Islamic State" could flout traditional notions of territorial contiguity by expanding its "borders" well beyond Iraq and Syria.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Elections in Tunisia: Steps Toward Democratic Consolidation
Tunisia will need U.S. support for its continuing, fragile transition away from authoritarianism.
۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Brothers in Trouble? Gomaa Amin and the Future of the Muslim Brotherhood
Through its choice of new leadership and other actions, the group is displaying an ideological stubbornness that may threaten its long-term viability.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Eric Trager
  • Gavi Barnhard
Brief Analysis
President Obama Should Meet with Sisi
The two leaders could discuss ISIS, Libya, and other regional issues, but the act of meeting alone would do much in terms of improving bilateral relations.
۲۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Battlefield Libya
As Libya's steep descent continues, its claim to sovereignty is becoming increasingly tenuous, so further acts of intervention by other countries in the region are likely.
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Gilad Wenig
  • Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Algeria's Role in Solving the Libya Crisis
Aside from potential military intervention, the Algerian government can leverage its diplomatic ties to mediate between the conflicting Libyan parties, thwart a possible ISIS takeover, and eliminate the threat to the Sahel region as a whole.
۲۸ اوت ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Yacine Boudhane
Brief Analysis
U.S. Allies Bombing Islamists: The UAE Airstrikes on Libya
A coalition of like-minded Arab states -- Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates -- is emerging to confront militant Islamism.
۲۵ اوت ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Khalifa Haftar: Rebuilding Libya from the Top Down
As a leading Libyan military figure carries out a comprehensive campaign to uproot extremism in his country, Washington and its allies will have to find a way to balance his efforts against the need to curb growing violence and nurture a pluralistic state.
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Western Security Concerns
Amid deterioration in Libya and militant attacks in Egypt's Western Desert, resuming U.S. military aid to Cairo is more crucial than ever.
۸ اوت ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Eric Trager
  • Gilad Wenig
Brief Analysis
Between Democracy and State Collapse: Libya's Uncertain Future
Factional fighting in Tripoli and the declaration of an Islamic emirate in Benghazi suggest a bleak future for Libya. Can the new House of Representatives right the country's course?
۶ اوت ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Andrew Engel
In-Depth Reports
Al-Adl wal-Ihsan
Inside Morocco's Islamist Challenge
Across the Middle East, a critical question for regimes and peoples alike is "Are Islamists rising or fading?" Egypt under President al-Sisi is one story; Iraq and Syria facing the ISIS challenge is another. In Morocco, the banned but highly influential Islamist opposition group al-Adl wal-Ihsan (Justice and Benevolence) is
۵ اوت ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Vish Sakthivel
Brief Analysis
Libya's Other Battle
The escalation in and around Tripoli holds troubling parallels with the tribal divisions that precipitated Libya's bloody 1936 civil war.
۲۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Andrew Engel
  • Ayman Grada
Tunisian protesters in 2011
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia's Security-First Policy at a Crossroads
Unless Western countries provide assistance, the recent violence could unravel the government's progress in stemming terrorist activity.
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
  • Mohamed Bechri

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