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All Policy Analysis by David Pollock
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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
کووید-۱۹ و جنگهای نیابتی خاورمیانه: آرامشی بعد از توفان؟
با آنکه نمیدانیم پیامدهای منطقهای همهگیری ویروس کرونا به طور کامل چه خواهد بود، اما گرایشهای اولیه در حال نمایان شدن است؛ از احتیاط برخی حامیان گروههای نیابتی گرفته تا افزایش فعالیت برخی دیگر و تنگنای مالیای که دامان همگان را گرفته است.
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
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دیوید پولاک
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israeli Polls Show Corona Helps Re-Crown “King Bibi” for Now, as Some Social Attitudes Also Shift
With the announcement this week that Binyamin (“Bibi”) Netanyahu would remain Israel’s prime minister in a new “emergency national unity” government, the latest poll shows that 62% of Israelis express support for this unusual political deal. Opposition leader Benny Gantz, who fell just short of unseating Netanyahu in an unprecedented
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Most Palestinians Want to Work With Israel Against Coronavirus, Though Nearly Half Think it Is Deliberately Spread
The coronavirus outbreak is having a major effect on Israeli personal and public life, but has a lesser effect so far on the Palestinians next door in the West Bank and Gaza. Even so, an extraordinary public opinion poll conducted in those territories right in the midst of this medical
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Most Jerusalem Palestinians Want Neither Israeli Rule nor Uprising Against It, as Silwan Neighborhood Stands Out for More Militant Views
The Bellwether Citizenship Question–Palestine Now Trumps Israel: East Jerusalem’s 330,000 Palestinian legal residents, though overwhelmingly not Israeli citizens, have many practical advantages over their West Bank neighbors. Only the former have the right to work, study, and travel freely inside Israel, and to participate in Israel’s extensive social welfare system
۱۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Palestinian Public Resigned to Israel’s Election Outcome, Looks to Other Arabs Instead for Next Steps
Palestinians watching Israel’s election this week are likely to find their low expectations fulfilled. The vote produced yet another inconclusive result, with the incumbent prime minister’s Likud Party narrowly in the lead but unable to muster a majority governing coalition with its existing right-wing and religious allies. The centrist Blue
۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Palestinian Majority Rejects Two-State Solution, But Backs Tactical Compromises
In between the Trump peace plan’s release on January 28 and Israel’s March 2 election, new survey data shows that most Palestinian respondents now say they prefer “regaining all of historical Palestine” over permanent peace with Israel. Yet majorities in both the West Bank and Gaza voice much more pragmatic
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Palestinian Public Rejects Trump Plan But Prefers Calm, Practical Response
Three different Palestinian polls in the past few weeks indicate that the West Bank and Gaza publics roundly reject the U.S. administration’s peace plan by margins of around 90%. But the latest poll, conducted by the Palestine Center for Public Opinion (PCPO), also shows that most Palestinian respondents now also
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Public Backs Israeli-Palestinian Compromise, Wants Good Ties with United States
As Cairo prepares to host an urgent Arab League meeting this weekend, called to address the new U.S. Israeli-Palestinian peace plan, results from a rare new Egyptian public opinion poll show two-thirds support “incentives for both sides [Israelis and Palestinians] to take more moderate positions.” And a narrower majority, among
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Wary of War With Iran, Though Most Prefer the United States
A rare public opinion poll in the UAE demonstrates that the Emirati public favors restraint with regard to Iran.
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Shaina Katz
Brief Analysis
Eight Reasons Why the United States and Iraq Still Need Each Other
A host of crucial multilateral interests are baked into the U.S. presence, from keeping the Islamic State down, to protecting vulnerable regional allies, to preventing Iran from taking Iraq's oil revenues.
۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
تحلیل کوتاه
واکنشهای مردم عراق به ترور سلیمانی
دیوید پولاک هموند برنستاین در انستیتو واشنگتن است و بر سیاست منطقهای و موضوعات مرتبط با آن تمرکز دارد.
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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دیوید پولاک
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kuwaiti Public, Including Shia Minority, Still Anti-Iran—but Wary of Conflict
As tensions between the United States and Iran escalate, oil-rich Kuwait, sandwiched between Iran and Iraq at the mouth of the Gulf, is a key U.S. partner right in the potential line of fire. It is also the most internally politically active country of all six GCC Arab monarchies, with
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Poll Shows Just One-Fourth Back Moderate Islam or Count on the United States
The recent terrorist murders by a Saudi cadet at the Pensacola Naval Air Station have revived urgent questions about grassroots Saudi attitudes toward the United States. As luck would have it, new data from a confidential survey conducted inside Saudi Arabia last month provides the answers. And they are not
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan’s Public Still Focused on Economic Problems, but Opposition has Little Support
The government of Jordan has been adept at balancing domestic demands and international pressures in order to remain a moderate force in the Middle East, and will need to continue to take steps to ensure this delicate balance. Right now, despite continued popular concern over economic hardships, the main Muslim
۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Shaina Katz
Articles & Testimony
GCC Security Issues, as Their Publics See Them: A Rare Look at Real Data
Polling results from five Gulf countries show where citizens and their leaders converge and diverge on Iran, U.S. relations, and other crucial foreign policy matters.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Lebanon Poll: Despite Protests, Most Shiites Still Back Hezbollah, while Sunnis and Christians Turn More Negative
A reliable new Lebanese public opinion poll, conducted in November, shows that a large majority of the country’s Shiites retain positive views of both Hezbollah and its Iranian patrons—even as major anti-government protests include many Shiite participants for the first time. This surprising finding casts doubt on speculation that Hezbollah
۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Younger Palestinians More Moderate on Tactical Issues, But Not on Long-Term Peace with Israel
A recent survey suggests an immediate opening for Washington to promote certain reforms, but real reconciliation still looks like a distant dream.
۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Increasingly Right Stuff: Religious Parties in Israel’s Upcoming Election
Amidst all the turmoil of Israel’s unprecedented second national election within six months, due on September 17, one key yet often overlooked factor stands out: the decisively right-wing role of the small religious parties. Despite the high birth rate of the Orthodox and ultra-Orthodox groups, they still get only about
۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Tamar Hermann
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Most Palestinians Approve of Jordan—Plus Other Survey Surprises
A detailed public opinion poll from last month shows that most West Bank and Gaza Palestinians approve of Jordan’s King Abdullah, look to his country for help, and want it to play a major role in their future–though just a small minority favor a future confederation with Jordan. On other
۲۶ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Half of Palestinians Still Want All of Palestine—But Most Would Compromise for Less
Palestinian public opinion clearly distinguishes between perceived rights and realities. Results from a new poll conducted June 27-July 15 show very mixed views on long-term peace issues among Palestinians in the West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem. The “two-state solution” has lost majority support. Yet if that option were available
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۱۹
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David Pollock
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