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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Articles & Testimony
Iran and Hezbollah in Syria: U.S. Policy Options
A veteran Lebanese journalist discusses achievements by Iran and its chief proxy over seven years of war, and how U.S. countermeasures could still help restore stability and deter jihadism in Syria.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Containing Iranian Proxies in Iraq
A former U.S. ambassador offers recommendations on how Washington can most effectively employ sanctions against Shia militias, reengage with Baghdad, and welcome a role from its Arab allies.
۲۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Barbara A. Leaf
تحلیل کوتاه
عرب‌های شیعه خوزستان
هویت عشیره‌ای در جامعه شیعیان عرب خوزستان از تعلق مذهبی فراتر می‌رود، و همین توضیح‌دهنده این‌ نکته است که چرا تهران احتمالا باید در انتظار چالش‌های بیشتری در این استان جنوب‌غربی باشد.
۲۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • مهدی خلجی
Articles & Testimony
Terrorist Attack in Iran a Concern for Saudis, Oil Markets
Iranian disruption of Saudi production could wreak havoc on global oil markets, and be challenging to counter absent clear fingerprints from Tehran.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
How Tehran Might React to the Ahvaz Attack
The identity of the assailants remains unresolved, but precedent suggests Iran could respond by targeting minorities at home, assassinating oppositionists abroad, or attempting missile strikes on jihadist areas in Syria or Iraq.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Syria Downs a Russian Plane: What Next?
Despite Russia’s anger and false media claims about the incident, Moscow is unlikely to demand that Israel halt its campaign against Iran’s foreign military buildup.
۲۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Assaf Orion
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Smart Way to Sanction Iranian-Backed Militias in Iraq
Timing is everything, so Washington should coordinate its designations with Baghdad to avoid upsetting the government formation process or throwing Iran a lifeline.
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Phillip Smyth
Articles & Testimony
Ending Yemen’s War Without Perpetuating a ‘Southern Hezbollah’
If the West could go back in time and prevent Hezbollah from becoming a powerhouse, they would do so in a heartbeat, so they should not miss a similar opportunity with the Houthis.
۱۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Missile Attack in Iraqi Kurdistan Could Backfire
The IRGC has fired a literal shot across the KRG’s bow, but the brazen violation of Baghdad’s sovereignty may ultimately benefit Tehran’s opponents.
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
The Houthi War Machine: From Guerrilla War to State Capture
The Houthis are more than capable of becoming a ‘southern Hezbollah’ on the Red Sea, a threat that continues to drive the Gulf coalition’s coastal campaign.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Survey of Terrorist Groups and Their Means of Financing
A former Treasury official discusses how governments, banks, and other entities need to adapt constantly just to keep up with the evolving financial tactics used by terrorists and their supporters.
۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
IRGC Navy Leadership Change May Not Signal Imminent Behavior Change
Despite the appointment of a radical anti-American commander, Iran’s naval forces are unlikely to resume frequent provocations without a strategic shift at the very top of the regime.
۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Afghanistan Central to Pompeo’s Meeting with Pakistani PM
President Trump is likely expecting some progress to emerge from this week’s diplomacy, but ongoing concerns with Islamabad’s stances on terrorism, Iran, and other issues mean he shouldn’t hold his breath.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Response to Sanctions? Ignore Them
The current Iranian narrative—that economic problems stem from domestic mistakes rather than foreign pressure—complicates the U.S. policy of using sanctions to force change.
۲۹ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Responding to Iran's New Weapons and Naval Drills in the Gulf
Renewed naval exercises, missile tests, and other developments point to a broadening threat, but their muted nature indicates that Tehran is trying to avoid popular backlash at home.
۲۱ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
The Great Middle Eastern War of 2019
Far from simply replaying the 2006 Lebanon war, the next conflict on Israel’s northern frontier will likely involve many more actors on multiple fronts, raising unprecedented challenges for escalation management.
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Nadav Ben Hour
  • Michael Eisenstadt
A man manipulates cables on a bank of internet data servers - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iran's Passive Defense Organization: Another Target for Sanctions
Despite its nominal defense role, the NPDO has helped the regime repress citizens online, a function that Washington should counter with sanctions.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Throwing a Tantrum but Wants a Deal
Defiant warnings aside, Tehran will eventually negotiate with President Trump—as long as Vladimir Putin mediates.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
تحلیل کوتاه
خامنه‌ای با حمله به میانه‌روها آنها را منبع مشکلات ایران خواند
دید‌بان سیاست‌گذاری ۳۰۰۲
تندروان از بازگشت ناآرامی‌ها به عنوان بهانه‌ای برای حمله به کارنامه اقتصادی دولت، دخالت در صلاحیت‌های قانونی آن در بخش‌های مختلف، و تقویت استراتژی «مقاومتی» رهبر ایران بهره‌برداری می‌کنند
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • مهدی خلجی
Video
Brief Analysis
Iraq, Iran, and U.S. Strategy: A Trip Report
Three experts offer insights gleaned from their post-election fieldwork and high-level meetings in Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government.
۱۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Geneive Abdo
  • Nussaibah Younis
  • Michael Knights

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