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Brief Analysis
Assad's Secretive Cyber Force
Cyber bullets are bullets nonetheless.
Apr 12, 2012
Brief Analysis
Bahrain on the Brink Jeopardizes U.S. Interests in the Gulf
The ethnic strife between majority Shiites and the ruling Sunni al-Khalifa family in Bahrain is worsening, with a growing risk that the U.S. naval base there could become contentious.
Apr 12, 2012
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Changed Prospects for Turkish Military Intervention in Syria
Several recent developments have put the possibility of military action in Syria on Turkey's agenda. On April 9, Syrian forces opened fire at a refugee camp on the Turkish side of the border, killing two Syrian refugees and wounding two Turks. The number of such refugees crossing into Turkey has
Apr 12, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Challenge of Containing Iran's Enrichment Activities
With talks between the P5+1 (the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France, and Germany) and Iran set to resume in Istanbul on April 13, officials are discussing possible compromises that might persuade Tehran to give up any ambition of developing nuclear weapons. Apparently, one of the principal components of these
Apr 12, 2012
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Simon Henderson
Olli Heinonen
Brief Analysis
After the Annan Deadline: Options for U.S. Policy on Syria
Bashar al-Assad's complete disregard for UN special envoy Kofi Annan's April 10 deadline for withdrawal of regime forces from population centers is only the latest sign that Damascus has no intention of implementing the envoy's six-point plan to deal with the Syria crisis. The fact that the regime's armed forces
Apr 11, 2012
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
The Man Who Would Be King
Saudi Arabia's ruling clique is dying off, and it may be up to the new defense minister to guide the kingdom through a turbulent Middle East.
Apr 11, 2012
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
What Iran Might Gain from a Nuclear Deal
If Iran decides to seriously negotiate during upcoming nuclear talks -- currently scheduled to begin this weekend in Istanbul -- what might it expect to gain from the resultant deal? Probably not much, because even a comprehensive agreement on nuclear issues would not close the profound geostrategic split between Washington
Apr 11, 2012
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Squandered Leverage over Iran
If Washington does not maintain pressure on Iran, it will validate the regime's strategy of defiance, provocation, and delay.
Apr 10, 2012
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Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Kurdistan as U.S. Ally and Partner in the Middle East
On April 5, 2012, His Excellency Masoud Barzani, president of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. IRAQ'S INTERNAL POLITICAL CRISIS AND U.S. POLICY Despite a budding national political crisis originating from the consolidation of
Apr 10, 2012
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Masoud Barzani
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood's Mendacious Charm Campaign in Washington
The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace hosted a Muslim Brotherhood delegation in Washington last week to better understand how the Islamist group will govern Egypt. It was a noble attempt at promoting intercultural political dialogue -- an engagement for which many in the American policy community, as well as academia
Apr 9, 2012
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
A Piece of Turkey Lies in the Middle of the Syrian Desert
A little-known Turkish exclave, Caber Kalesi (Qal'at Ja'bar in Arabic), is a sliver of sovereign Turkish territory that sits smack in the middle of Syria.
Apr 8, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
What Could Diplomacy with Iran Produce?
There can be little doubt that the United States, France, Britain, Germany, Russia, and China would all prefer a diplomatic outcome to the impasse over Iran's nuclear ambitions. Collectively, they make up the P5+1 mechanism that will soon resume negotiations with Iranian representatives. Talks were discontinued last year because Tehran's
Apr 5, 2012
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Syria and Turkey: The PKK Dimension
Among Syrian opposition groups, the belief is widespread that Damascus has been allowing the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) -- a group on the State Department's Foreign Terrorist Organizations list -- to operate once again in Syria. Back in 1998, the Syrian regime curbed PKK activity on its soil and cut
Apr 5, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood Pursues a Political Monopoly
On Saturday, the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood (MB) announced the nomination of Deputy Supreme Guide Khairat al-Shater for president, cementing a critical shift in its political strategy. Although the group initially tried to manage Egypt's post-Mubarak transition by cooperating with the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) and secularist parties
Apr 4, 2012
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The Future of the Marjayia
The current form of religious leadership over the Shi'ite community, marjayia, was founded in the 1830s when Mohammed Hassan Najafi became the first transnational Shi'ite religious authority (marja) in Najaf, Iraq. Najafi created a universal patronage network through which he received religious taxes and endowment incomes, and appointed religious representatives
Apr 3, 2012
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Death of a Pope: The Worsening Position of Egypt's Copts
The death of Pope Shenouda III on March 18 leaves Egypt's Coptic Christian community in a politically uncertain position at a seminal moment. His passing, though long anticipated, could scarcely have come at a worse moment. As Egypt's largely Islamist constitutional assembly meets to draft the state's post-Mubarak charter, the
Apr 3, 2012
Articles & Testimony
Ottomania All the Rage in Turkey
"Fetih 1453" ( The Conquest 1453), a Turkish spring blockbuster that glorifies the Ottomans and their conquest of Istanbul, is breaking viewership records in Turkey these days. Over 5 million Turks have already seen the movie, making it the country's most popular film of all time. The film's popularity sheds
Apr 2, 2012
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Soner Cagaptay
Suna Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Free Syrian Army vs. the Syrian National Council -- Which Should We Support?
A year into the Syrian uprising against Bashar Al-Assad, the dysfunctional nature of Syrian opposition politics isn't exactly news. But the resignation last month of Syrian dissident Kamal Labwani from the Syrian National Council (SNC) -- which he accused not only of being "undemocratic" and incompetent, but intent on undermining
Apr 2, 2012
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Can Meet Israel Halfway on Iran
There is no daylight between the United States and Israel on the objective and the preferred means for dealing with Iranian nuclear ambitions. Much has been written about possible differences, but the recent meeting between President Obama and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu highlighted key points of convergence: Both agree that
Apr 2, 2012
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Lebanon’s Security Concerns over Syria
Since the uprising against Syrian president Bashar al-Assad began a year ago, Lebanon has lived in fear that the worsening violence will spill across the border. In recent days, that fear has come close to being realized with reports that Syrian troops fired into Lebanon during clashes with rebels. The
Mar 30, 2012
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