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Video
Brief Analysis
Assad's Thinking: How Did Syria Get Here, and Where Does the Regime Want to Go Now?
Former American and French ambassadors discuss the regime's calculus and preview the upcoming U.S.-Russia summit in Jerusalem. Watch video or read a summary.
Jun 21, 2019
◆
Michel Duclos
Robert Ford
Brief Analysis
Now That Morsi Is Gone, Sisi Should Ease His Crackdown
The resilient Muslim Brotherhood is only feeding off Cairo’s repression campaign, which cannot ensure stability indefinitely given the government’s failures on other fronts.
Jun 21, 2019
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Barak Barfi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Gulf Crisis Is a Messaging Nightmare—With No Success in Sight
Nearly two years have lapsed since what was supposed to be a political blitzkrieg against Qatar metastasized into economic and geo-strategic trench warfare. Through effective counter-measures—and despite considerable financial drain—Qatar has seemingly been able to withstand the harsh diplomatic and logistic constraints imposed by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab
Jun 21, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Death of Divisive Morsi Could Unite Egypt’s Opposition
His deep unpopularity made it difficult for many actors at home and abroad to criticize the current government, but Washington still stands to lose rather than gain if it comments on the matter.
Jun 20, 2019
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Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
The Dilemma of an Imperfect Ally
There are no optimal options in the current Yemen war, but U.S. policymakers should seize the opportunity to bring Gulf governments into NATO-like agreements that avoid such dilemmas in the future.
Jun 20, 2019
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Iran-Backed Militias Test the Credibility of Iraq’s Prime Minister
Rockets continue to fall on American facilities, part of a deliberate effort to keep Baghdad from making Iraq a neutral crossroads in the region.
Jun 19, 2019
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Dismiss the Bahrain Conference. It Can Help Palestinians.
Emphasizing stabilization efforts now while at least mentioning Palestinian statehood just might give the Trump peace plan a chance later.
Jun 19, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East and the U.S.-China 'Trade War'
The price of oil is often directly related to global economic prospects, so Washington’s tariff tiff with Beijing could hit regional states doubly hard.
Jun 19, 2019
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Trump Is a Belligerent Isolationist. But on Iran, He Needs Allies.
If the president wants to blunt Tehran’s sabotage campaign without a war, he needs to work closely with countries that share a stake in the free flow of oil.
Jun 19, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Winning, but U.S. Has Options, in Gulf Crisis
Among other steps, Washington should release more intelligence on Tehran’s efforts to target energy assets while urging Gulf and European allies to visibly step up their military posture.
Jun 17, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
China’s Middle East Policy: Speak Softly and Wave a Large Purse
An Israeli analyst shares observations from an intensive round of discussions with senior Chinese military, diplomatic, and academic officials.
Jun 17, 2019
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Turkey and Russia Are Not Friends, Despite Appearances
The truth is that Ankara feels threatened by Moscow, but security concerns, mistrust of the West, and an inability to secure American missiles left Erdogan searching for an alternative.
Jun 16, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Andy Taylor
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Isn’t Just in Beirut. It’s in New York, Too.
The trial of a senior operative reveals the extent of the terrorist organization’s reach in the United States and Canada.
Jun 14, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran Seems Prepared for Major—But Measured—Escalation in the Gulf
The latest round of shipping attacks could be another notch in Tehran’s controlled military response to U.S. pressure, and bolder escalatory actions should be expected given the bleak outlook for negotiations.
Jun 14, 2019
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Houthi Messaging May Hint at a Targeting Pattern
The Yemeni group appears to select targets directly inspired by its principal complaints, potentially helping security officials protect against future attacks while negotiators promote overall de-escalation.
Jun 13, 2019
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy and Middle East Peace
The slow but steady progress in developing offshore gas fields is transforming local economies and could underpin U.S. peace plans.
Jun 13, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Oil Prices Up on Tanker Attacks, But Long-Term Trend Looks Down
Ultimately, sabotage operations in the Gulf may prove to be less impactful than Russian engagement with OPEC, a global economic slowdown, and other geopolitical factors.
Jun 13, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
What to Expect from the U.S.-Russia Meeting in Jerusalem
Ultimately, no deal is better than a bad deal, and Moscow’s track record in Syria suggests it is both unable and unwilling to keep Iran out.
Jun 12, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Lebanon and Israel Are Set to Negotiate: What’s at Stake?
Although Hezbollah and its allies might use the upcoming talks as a mere stalling tactic, negotiators will still have opportunities to exploit the group’s domestic vulnerabilities.
Jun 12, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
In-Depth Reports
Lebanon: Future Leadership of the State and the State Within
Sudden Succession Essay Series
The Taif Accord, which ended Lebanon’s civil war almost three decades ago, stipulated that the country’s president be Christian, the prime minister be Sunni, and the parliament speaker be Shia. Today, two of these figures—President Michel Aoun and Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri—are in their eighties, and both demonstrate sympathy for Hezbollah, the Shia militia and party that serves as a national power broker.
Jun 11, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
◆
Sudden Succession Essay Series
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