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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Turn Towards Idlib in Syria – Is the Goal to ‘Achieve Homogeneity’ in the Country?
Like any other country, Syria has its fair share of local quirks; almost every region is at the receiving end of bawdy jokes or even outright mockery. The same holds true for Idlib, whose inhabitants enjoy the rather dubious reputation—at least in Damascus—of being stubborn, somewhat backwards, and receptive to
Mar 29, 2019
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Daniel Gerlach
In-Depth Reports
The Center and the Right:
Examining Israel's Realigned Politics
In the Israeli elections scheduled for April 9, the old left-right fault lines will no longer apply. They have yielded to a center-right split, mirroring an increasingly conservative electorate, with recent data suggesting 63 percent of Israeli Jews identify with the political right. This makes the path for the centrist
Mar 28, 2019
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tackling the Challenges of Child Marriage Among Syrian Refugees
During a trip to the Kawergosk Syrian refugee camp in the Erbil governorate of the Kurdistan region of Iraq (KRI) to interview refugees on their employability skills, I came across a list of over a dozen registered, underaged divorcees. In some of these cases, adolescents as young as sixteen had
Mar 28, 2019
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Aram Mahmood
Brief Analysis
Russian Moves in the Gulf and Africa Have a Common Goal
A recent spate of high-level regional visits may pave the way for Moscow to entrench itself from the East Mediterranean to the Gulf of Aden, with help from the Gulf states.
Mar 28, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria: What's Next for a Changing Country?
Over the past month, Algeria has witnessed the largest protests in its modern history as millions contested the announced fifth term of current president Abdelaziz Bouteflika. For many, this was a turning point, and in some ways this reaction was expected in light of the increasing socioeconomic problems and political
Mar 27, 2019
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Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Assessing the Post–July 15 Turkish Military:
Operations Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch
After Turkey’s July 2016 failed military uprising, the leadership initiated purges and reforms aimed at ensuring the military’s future loyalty, but raising questions about the operational efficiency and effectiveness of the newly configured Turkish Armed Forces. Two subsequent cross-border operations into northern Syria provide valuable insight: Operation Euphrates Shield, lasting
Mar 26, 2019
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Metin Gurcan
Brief Analysis
The Most Important Speech of the Year in Iran: Hostile to the West, No Concessions at Home
Historically a reliable indicator of Khamenei’s thinking, the Supreme Leader’s annual Mashhad address focused mainly on foreign policy, especially why the West should not be trusted, along with his usual call for Iran to develop its non-oil economy.
Mar 26, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Second Step in Egypt-Israel Peace Is a Tall One
Despite their treaty’s rock-solid record on preventing armed conflict, the two countries still hold fundamentally different views on further normalization.
Mar 26, 2019
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Haisam Hassanein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Role of Syrian Tribes: Betting on a Lost Cause
Northeastern Syria is often described as a “clan-based society” due to its large number of Arab tribes. These tribes are transnational, extending beyond Syria’s borders to include Jordan, Iraq, and the Gulf. Until recently, analysis of the Syrian uprising often prioritized the sectarian dimension over the tribal one. Yet the
Mar 26, 2019
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Ammar Musarea
Brief Analysis
The Battle Against Extremism: Assessment and Prescriptions
Three experts on countering violent extremism discuss a new book and offer ideas for how government, civil society, business, and citizens can act on this persistent policy challenge.
Mar 25, 2019
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Farah Pandith
Juan Zarate
Matthew Levitt
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
How Bibi’s Bestie at the White House Is Helping Him Win the Israeli Election
President Trump’s recent Golan announcement and photo-op with Netanyahu could draw more voters to the beleaguered prime minister’s side.
Mar 25, 2019
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
40 Years of Peace Between Israel and Egypt
Sadat and Begin gambled everything, and the bet continues to pay off despite the dearth of normalization between the two societies.
Mar 25, 2019
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Ethnic Minorities Are Finding Their Own Voices—America Can Help
A little-publicized fact about Iran is its ethnic diversity: though Turks and Persians are the largest ethnic groups within Iran, Iran’s eight major non-Persian ethnicities represent approximately half of the country’s total population. Each of these minority groups—Ahwazis, Kurds, Turks, Balochis, Turkmen, Qashqais, Caspeans, and the Lor tribes—collectively account for
Mar 22, 2019
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Rahim Hamid
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Arab Monarchies Should Take Away from their Neighbors’ Instability
In the wake of the multiple Arab uprisings since the Tunisian fruit seller Muhammad Bouazizi’s heroic act of self-immolation, few instances of democracy have actually emerged. Since 2011, many Arabs have looked back nostalgically at the ‘good old days’ of pre-Arab Spring dictatorships, when daily bread, safety, and stability seemed
Mar 22, 2019
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Mohamed Chtatou
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Understanding Egypt’s Limited Involvement in the Campaign Against Iran
After U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s last visit to the Middle East, Cairo has attempted to appear aligned with Gulf States’ efforts against the Iranian regime, at least rhetorically. Egypt’s participation in the Warsaw summit against Iran—which Pompeo had publicly announced in Cairo one month earlier—was perhaps intended to
Mar 21, 2019
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Mohamed Maher
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Procurement Channels: Leveraging Criminal Networks and Partnering with Iran
A February visit to Tehran by Syrian president Bashar al-Assad showcased just how close the Qods Force-Hezbollah alliance is when it comes to acquiring weapons.
Mar 21, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How Will Turkey’s Purchase of Russia’s S-400 Air Defense System Affect Ties with NATO?
An expert on Turkish politics expresses the view that alliance pushback may be weaker than in the past, but that the purchase could devastate U.S.-Turkish ties.
Mar 21, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq's Kurds Weigh Their Options, Balancing the United States and Iran
A trip to Iraqi Kurdistan last week, my first since the abortive referendum on independence there in October 2017, revealed a political landscape at once utterly different and eerily familiar. In the former category is the new, widespread understanding—both among the leaders I met with and among their younger followers
Mar 20, 2019
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Why Turkey’s Local Elections Matter
Many major jurisdictions are up for grabs, with potentially weighty foreign policy implications if Erdogan maintains his current coalition’s hardline nationalist trajectory.
Mar 20, 2019
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Murat Yetkin
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Are Israeli Politics Dooming Kushner's Peace Push?
Even if Netanyahu somehow prevails in the April election, prospects for a grand deal with the Palestinians will likely remain dim.
Mar 19, 2019
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David Makovsky
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