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Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Is Vulnerable. Lokman Slim's Assassination Proves It.
The Biden administration and the French government must draw clear redlines, or the group will escalate its campaign of terror.
Feb 16, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Expect Russia to Help Save the Iran Deal
In seeking to salvage the JCPOA, Biden should not assume cooperation from Moscow, but instead focus on building a unified strategy that strengthens the U.S. negotiating position.
Feb 16, 2021
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Mapping Kurdish Optimism for a Biden Administration: Turkey and Iran
Kurds in Turkey and Iran could be valuable partners as the United States navigates difficult relations with both countries.
Feb 16, 2021
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John Saleh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Redefining Security in Jordan-U.S. Relations
The United States and Jordan need to broaden the scope of their security relationship and prepare for a more diverse array of security concerns.
Feb 16, 2021
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Mohanned Arabiat
Barik Mhadeen
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
“Pylon-Gate”: Reconstruction of a Muqawama Disinformation Operation
The KH-affiliated media group Unit 10,000 planted disinformation about a nonexistent U.S. airstrike, stoked the story, and then tried to remove its fingerprints from the original "fake news."
Feb 12, 2021
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Crispin Smith
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Iran Dilemma
Tehran’s nuclear and regional activities are part of a single strategy that aims to paralyze stronger foes, so Washington’s policies for responding to each challenge should likewise overlap considerably.
February 2021
◆
Michael Singh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Tripoli Protests Are Lebanon’s Canary in the Coal Mine
Dire circumstances are pushing Lebanese people to the edge, which could bring violent results.
Feb 11, 2021
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Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The UN Process and the War Crimes of Assad
After the UN's failures regarding Assad, Syrians need a more forceful option to restore their dignity and rights.
Feb 11, 2021
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Mohamad Kamal al-Labwani
Brief Analysis
Iran’s New Narrative: The Regime Is Not in a Hurry, But Washington Should Be
By steadily implementing parliament’s anti-JCPOA law and making public statements about “cornered cats” and “closing windows,” Tehran has sought to give Washington a sense of urgency, but this approach could be a double-edged sword.
Feb 11, 2021
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Omer Carmi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Assad Regime Has Failed to Restore Full Sovereignty Over Syria
By ceding control of its borders and airspace to various foreign actors, the regime has essentially resigned itself to a limited but potentially durable existence for the long term.
Feb 10, 2021
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Fabrice Balanche
Video
Brief Analysis
New Leadership for Israel? A Conversation with Gideon Saar
The New Hope party leader and former Likud minister discusses why he is running in Israel’s March election, how his policies differ from Netanyahu’s, and what his approach will be on key issues such as the Middle East peace process and the Iranian nuclear challenge,
Feb 10, 2021
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Gideon Saar
Brief Analysis
How to Use Militia Spotlight
Militia Spotlight provides timely, high-quality evidence, analysis and contextualization of militia activities in Iraq and Syria, both within government agencies and outside them.
Feb 10, 2021
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Round Four: New and Old Dynamics
It is far from certain that the next election will stabilize Israeli politics, and even if it does, the forces taking shape could create challenging peace math for the Biden administration.
Feb 9, 2021
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David Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
Syria at the Center of Power Competition and Counterterrorism
Even as U.S. policymakers must stay focused on the Assad regime’s culpability, they also face a complex web of power dynamics in which Russia, Turkey, Iran, Israel, and other actors are attempting to secure their various interests.
Feb 8, 2021
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Sets Conditions for Iran to Resume Its Nuclear Commitments
By stating initial terms that he knows Washington will not meet right now, the Supreme Leader is once again signaling his lack of interest in returning to full JCPOA compliance—at least not before President Rouhani leaves office in August.
Feb 8, 2021
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Blinken Picks Up the Phone to Firm Up Alliances—Except with Most Gulf Countries
The change of administrations and the realities of COVID-era diplomacy may give Gulf leaders a sense that they are being kept at a distance on key issues, including Iran’s nuclear program.
Feb 5, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
How the United States Should View Iraq’s Shrine Militias
Despite welcoming the idea of separating the nationalist “shrine units” from the Iran-leaning Popular Mobilization Forces, Washington should lighten its touch on the issue.
Feb 5, 2021
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Political Crisis: An Ongoing Vicious Cycle
Algeria's divided political system has limited time to make critical reforms.
Feb 5, 2021
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Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Flexible Fatwa: How “Expediency” Shapes Nuclear Decisionmaking
The main lesson of the nuclear fatwa is that Tehran’s national security decisions are guided by interests, not ideology, and that progress in negotiations is possible if framed in terms of "regime expediency."
Feb 4, 2021
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Michael Eisenstadt
Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will Qatar’s Relationship with the Muslim Brotherhood Change after Gulf Reconciliation?
Qatar must adequately manage its ties to the Brotherhood if it wants to ensure sustainable Gulf ties.
Feb 3, 2021
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Omran Salman
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