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U.S. Policy

Policy Analysis on U.S. Policy

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Brief Analysis
Iraq's Republican Guard
Iraq's elite Republican Guard -- the best armed and trained unit in the army -- comprises the mainstay of its ground force's offensive capability, and the principal pillar of Saddam Hussein's regime. Republican Guard units in southern Iraq and Kuwait also form the backbone of Iraq's defenses there. Their destruction
Jan 28, 1991
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Soviet Policy in the Gulf:
A Change for the Worse?
Today's report from the BBC that several hundred Soviet military advisors remain in Iraq, actively servicing that country's sophisticated military hardware and command and control system, is, if true, a worrisome development. It would be the latest in a series of recent events that raise the fear that the USSR's
Jan 24, 1991
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  • John Hannah
In-Depth Reports
Restoring the Balance:
U.S. Strategy and the Gulf Crisis
Executive Summary Iraq's invasion of Kuwait on August 2, 1990, dramatically transformed the Middle East and America's relationship with it. While seeking success in today's crisis, the United States must also focus on how to promote the long-term prospects for regional stability. A critical objective should be to help forge
Jan 1, 1991
Brief Analysis
Negotiating in "Good Faith"
In voting for UN Security Council Resolution 681 yesterday, the Bush Administration made its first payoff for passage of Security Resolution 678 authorizing the use of force to oust Saddam Hussein. The Gang of Four -- Cuba, Malaysia, Yemen, and Colombia -- had threatened to hold up Resolution 678 by
Dec 21, 1990
Brief Analysis
Saddam's Strategy:
Turning the U.S. Hedgehog into a Fox?
All observers agree that the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait caught the United States by surprise. By the same token, the U.S. reaction to the invasion was equally, if not more, unexpected by Saddam Hussein. Given the policy of appeasement the Bush Administration pursued toward Iraq prior to August 2, Saddam
Dec 18, 1990
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-Iraq Talks:
Dealing with Saddam
The upcoming U.S.-Iraq talks on the Gulf crisis pose a real challenge to President Bush and Secretary of State James Baker. Paradoxically, the more eager the United States appears for a peaceful solution to the crisis, the less chance there is of achieving the objective of Iraq's withdrawal from Kuwait
Dec 13, 1990
◆
  • Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
The Palestinians and the Gulf Crisis
With the UN Security Council debating a resolution on the Palestinian issue and Saddam Hussein demanding that the Gulf crisis be linked to the Arab-Israeli conflict, the Middle East peace process is again floating to the top of the international community's agenda. Despite the rhetoric in New York and Baghdad
Dec 10, 1990
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
The Bush-Shamir Meeting
Israeli Prime Minister Shamir meets with President Bush next week for their first discussions since well before the Gulf crisis. This meeting offers a critical opportunity to repair their personal relations, coordinate approaches to the Gulf crisis and the peace process, and address Israeli security and economic concerns. If Bush
Dec 7, 1990
Brief Analysis
The Impact of Sanctions on Iraq
Economic sanctions are making Iraq poorer day by day. The Iraqi economy is being hollowed out. The diet of the Iraqi people has already suffered markedly, with a drop of at least 25 percent in calories consumed. Yet despite all this, it would be wrong to jump to the conclusion
Dec 5, 1990
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Allies Nervous Over U.S.-Iraq Talks
Much of the Middle East is reacting with anxiety and confusion to President Bush's proposal for top level talks between the United States and Iraq. Whatever rationales Washington has for taking this step, many in the region perceive it as the beginning of U.S. concessions to Saddam Hussein. As soon
Dec 4, 1990
◆
  • Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
Iraq's Nuclear Program:
The Key Questions
President Bush and other senior administration officials have focused attention on the threat posed by a nuclear Iraq to America's interests in the Middle East. It is generally agreed that Iraq can develop a sizeable nuclear military capability within the next decade. But the significance of this program in both
Nov 29, 1990
Brief Analysis
Congress and the UN Vote:
Sending a Mixed Signal to Saddam
Thursday's UN Security Council vote authorizing the use of force to effect Iraq's withdrawal from Kuwait constitutes a major step toward war in the Gulf. The effect of the resolution is to deliver an ultimatum to Saddam Hussein: "leave Kuwait by January 15 or else you will soon be forced
Nov 28, 1990
Brief Analysis
Jordan:
Extended Crisis, Heightened Threat
The threat to Jordan's stability is the hidden crisis within the current Gulf conflict. King Hussein's regime is likely to survive, but its fall would bring dire consequences to the region. Jordan's role as a buffer amid powerful, quarreling neighbors has made it a keystone of regional stability. But the
Nov 26, 1990
◆
  • Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
The Post-Thanksgiving Agenda:
U.S. and Soviet Policy
U.S. Policy President Bush has made important strides in tackling the Gulf crisis during the past two weeks, consolidating his coalition and preparing the groundwork for Security Council approval of the use of force. He has begun to create an offensive option that will support coercive diplomacy or ensure military
Nov 21, 1990
◆
  • John Hannah
Brief Analysis
Shamir to Saddam:
"Read My Lips"
If it comes to war in the Gulf, Israel may well be dragged in. Saddam Hussein has repeatedly threatened that his first missiles would be aimed at Israel. By involving Israel in this way, Saddam Hussein might hope to unite the Arab coalition behind him. Unlike all other forces confronting
Nov 20, 1990
◆
  • Zeev Schiff
Brief Analysis
Scaring Saddam:
The Message Must Be Consistent
President Bush's decision to double U.S. force deployments in the Persian Gulf was designed to scare Saddam Hussein. Instead, it has frightened the American people and threatened his coercive diplomacy strategy. The President faces a difficult dilemma. He cannot persuade Saddam Hussein of American resolve without a credible threat of
Nov 16, 1990
Brief Analysis
War Goals for the West
With war in the Gulf increasingly probable the time has come to consider war goals with a long-term focus. Realization of such near-term objectives as military victory, decapitation of Iraq's military, restoration of Kuwaiti sovereignty and creation of a new security structure may actually accelerate radical processes in the Middle
Nov 15, 1990
Brief Analysis
Iraq's Endgame Strategy
How to respond to the growing threat of war emanating from the United States presents Saddam Hussein with one of the major decisions of his career. It seems logical, but not inevitable, that he will now try to stall for time by offering to negotiate about a possible Iraqi withdrawal
Nov 13, 1990
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  • Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
The Gulf War Clock Is Ticking:
U.S. and Soviet Policy
U.S. Policy The United States will either go to war or will have to begin withdrawing ground forces from the Gulf by next spring. This is the most likely conclusion available from an analysis of the U.S. decision to double ground force deployments in the Persian Gulf. President Bush's decision
Nov 9, 1990
◆
  • John Hannah
Brief Analysis
Turkey:
Supporting United States but not Ready to Fight
Secretary of State James Baker visited Turkey today, the last stop on his regional tour, to thank that country for its "steadfast" support and warn that the United States "cannot rule out the possible use of force." Turkish officials said there had been no talk about Turkey's opening a second
Nov 7, 1990
◆
  • Barry Rubin

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Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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