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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Brief Analysis
The Regional Impact of Additional Iranian Money
A post-sanctions windfall would give Tehran ample capacity to rescue the Syrian regime, reshape Iraq's political environment, expand its terrorist proxy activities in various theaters, and otherwise amplify the effects of its destabilizing regional posture.
Jul 28, 2015
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Simon Henderson
  • Michael Knights
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
What Turkey Could Lose and Gain From a Military Operation in Syria
Despite its potential short-term political benefits for the AKP, a ground incursion into northern Syria could pose numerous longer-term threats to Turkey, including renewed Kurdish separatism, economic retaliation by Russia, and armed reprisals by the Assad regime, the PYD, and ISIS.
Jul 2, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Aligning Means and Ends, Policies and Strategy in the War on ISIL
The means-ends mismatch in Washington's approach to ISIL is a function of several problems, including inadequate commitment of resources, the jihadist group's resilience, the weakness of America's regional partners, and the incoherence of current U.S. strategy.
Jun 24, 2015
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Findings from the State Department's Annual Terrorism Report (Part 2):
The Rise of ISIL
The group's establishment of a territorial "caliphate," the emergence of an unprecedented foreign fighter phenomenon, and the rise of violent extremist social media and lone offender attacks have fundamentally transformed the global terrorist threat.
Jun 19, 2015
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Ryan Youkilis
Brief Analysis
Syria's Druze Under Threat
Recent attacks on the Syrian Druze community threaten to further roil sectarian tensions, radicalize Druze elements, and potentially draw Israel into the civil war.
Jun 17, 2015
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  • Noam Raydan
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The War Against ISIL: In Search of a Viable Strategy
Washington has several options beyond a major ground commitment, including more drones and special forces in Iraq, a true effort to arm and organize the Syrian opposition, and a willingness to recognize longer-term regional threats posed by al-Qaeda affiliates and Iran.
Jun 15, 2015
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Shiite Foreign Fighters on the Rise Again in Syria
As regime and Hezbollah forces experience manpower and projection problems in Syria, Iran-backed Iraqi Shiite militias may be reassuming a greater combat role.
May 29, 2015
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  • Phillip Smyth
Brief Analysis
The Crisis of the Assad Regime
Damascus faces a long decline unless major factors change relating to regime strategy, additional resources from allies, or a collapse in rebel unity of effort.
May 28, 2015
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  • Jeffrey White
Protesters hold Syrian and Hezbollah flags
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Victory in Qalamoun: Winning the Battle, Losing the War
The group will no doubt continue helping the Assad regime hang on, but the war's heavy attrition, Syria's demographic realities, and rebel gains elsewhere in the country all point to a seemingly inevitable fall.
May 20, 2015
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  • David Schenker
  • Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
The Cult of the Offensive: The Islamic State on Defense
There is nothing mystical about ISIS as a defensive force: where it has succeeded, it has done so almost entirely due to the absence of effective opposition, not because of its inherent strength.
Apr 30, 2015
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Growing Rebel Capabilities Press the Syrian Regime
Given the major setbacks the regime has suffered over the past week, now is a good time to apply maximum pressure on Assad, whether to force genuine diplomatic negotiations or accelerate a full military defeat.
Apr 27, 2015
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  • Jeffrey White
  • Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Lebanon Continues to Muddle Through
Washington's efforts to increase security assistance are helpful, but Lebanon will remain a priority target for ISIS and other Sunni terrorist groups so long as Hezbollah continues fighting for the Assad regime in Syria.
Apr 13, 2015
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The ISIS Battle for Yarmouk Camp: Troubling Implications
Whether ISIS holds on in Yarmouk or not, its southward expansion is a further sign that fighting the group in Iraq and eastern Syria will not be enough.
Apr 10, 2015
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  • Jeffrey White
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Regional Dimensions of the Syria Train-and-Equip Program
Augmenting the planned force could help address intensifying threats posed by ISIS, along with Iran-backed militias and the Assad regime.
Apr 10, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Video
Brief Analysis
Making Sense of Chaos in the Middle East
Multiple Wars, Multiple Alliances
Volcanic changes in the region are under way, with the outbreak of Sunni-Shiite wars in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen, unprecedented tension between Washington and Israel, and U.S.-Iranian nuclear talks that appear on the verge of breakthrough. Watch an expert discussion of these challenges and the future of U.S. policy in the region.
Apr 6, 2015
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
From the Boston Marathon to the Islamic State: Countering Violent Extremism
Read a collection of Counterterrorism Lectures from November 2013-May 2014.
Apr 1, 2015
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  • Matthew Levitt
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
The Battle for Idlib: Military Implications
Although not the catastrophe it could have been, the defeat holds major implications for the regime's strategy in Idlib province, its willingness to hold precarious positions elsewhere in Syria, and its dependence on foreign forces.
Mar 30, 2015
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  • Jeffrey White
Video
Brief Analysis
Outrage but No Action:
The Obama Administration's Response to Syria's 'Caesar Photos'
On March 19, journalists Adam Entous, Michael Isikoff, and Josh Rogin addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute moderated by Cameron Hudson of the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum. The panel was introduced by Andrew Tabler, a senior fellow in the Institute's Program on Arab Politics. The following is
Mar 26, 2015
◆
  • Adam Entous
  • Michael Isikoff
  • Josh Rogin
  • Cameron Hudson
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Backdoor Banking
Governments and financial institutions have taken laudable steps to curtail ISIS financing, but the group is still netting many millions from banks and informal money remitters in areas under its control or just nearby.
Mar 24, 2015
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Assad Plays America the Fool...Again
Although the regime does not publicly boast about its crimes, it is just as vicious as ISIS.
Mar 23, 2015
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Oula A. Alrifai

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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