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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Brief Analysis
Establishing and Securing Safe Zones in Syria: Historical Lessons
Experience in Iraq, Bosnia, and Libya shows that safe-zone operations require unambiguous legal authorities, clear political and military guidance, robust air and ground forces, and a viable plan for displaced persons and refugees.
Mar 17, 2016
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  • Lt Col John R. Barnett
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Russia's Withdrawal Is Another Facade
In addition to Moscow's purposeful ambiguity about the true scope of its withdrawal from Syria, the announcement's timing reflects Putin's intention to force favorable terms in the latest peace talks.
Mar 15, 2016
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iranian Casualties in Syria and the Strategic Logic of Intervention
Iran's battlefield losses have continued even after the drawdown of forces it surged into Syria late last year and the subsequent 'cessation of hostilities,' raising questions about Tehran's strategy and tactics in the war.
Mar 11, 2016
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  • Ali Alfoneh
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Genocide or Not, Civilians Need Protection from ISIS
Whatever the outcome of the State Department's latest deliberations, protecting civilians through safe zones or other initiatives must have a more prominent place in the coalition's strategy.
Mar 11, 2016
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • A. J. Beloff
Brief Analysis
The Israeli Perspective on Safe Zones in Syria
Despite the potential benefits of a safe zone along the Jordan-Syria border, Russia's presence in the war would probably limit Israel's ability to openly support or contribute to such an initiative.
Mar 10, 2016
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  • Nadav Pollak
Salafism: Ideas, Recent History, Politics
Download this presentation (PDF)
Mar 9, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
A Safe Zone in Southern Syria
As the Assad coalition and the Islamic State turn their attention southward, Jordan and the thousands of displaced Syrians waiting outside its border face an increasingly perilous security situation.
Mar 8, 2016
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  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Protesters hold Syrian and Hezbollah flags
Brief Analysis
How Iran Is Building Its Syrian Hezbollah
Syrian Shiite fighters increasingly show loyalty to Tehran, over even the Assad regime, marking an important shift in the wartime dynamic.
Mar 8, 2016
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  • Phillip Smyth
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hezbollah Labeled Terrorist by GCC States – But What Do Their People Think?
March 8, 2016 In a remarkable if little-noticed development last week, all six GCC states – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain – formally designated the Lebanese movement Hezbollah as a terrorist organization. This week, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu called this step “important and even amazing,” but
Mar 8, 2016
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  • David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How to Prevent al-Qaeda from Seizing a Safe Zone in Northwestern Syria
Strong ground support for moderate rebels would be needed to keep any buffer zone in the northwest from falling under the control of al-Qaeda's Syrian affiliate.
Mar 7, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Filtering the Islamic State's Meta-Narratives: From Global to Local
The following is an excerpt from Aaron Zelin's contribution to the Carter Center report Countering Daesh Propaganda: Action-Oriented Research for Practical Policy Outcomes . To read his full chapter, download the PDF. The Islamic State provides an unprecedented amount of documentation on its own nature and the messages it hopes
Feb 27, 2016
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
In-Depth Reports
Russia in the Middle East
Motives, Consequences, Prospects
Since becoming president in 2000, Vladimir Putin has reinvigorated Russia's Middle East ties, a trend underscored by his bold military intervention in the Syria crisis. Through these and other regional moves, he has sought to gain ground at the West's expense while bolstering the Kremlin's legitimacy against domestic pressures --
Feb 26, 2016
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Kerry Neither Rules Out nor Supports Safe Zone Concept
The assertion that such an effort would require up to 30,000 U.S. troops, and that it could risk a direct confrontation with Russia, requires a much closer look.
Feb 26, 2016
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  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Realpolitik and the Syrian Conflict
Beyond wishful thinking, the current choices for Syria seem limited to either continuing a give-and-take war or having Assad rule Syria much as Saddam ruled Iraq in the 1990s -- under international isolation and with an iron fist.
Feb 26, 2016
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  • Azzam Alkassir
Articles & Testimony
Beyond Nationalism: Kurdistan as a Catalyst for a New Middle East
Caught at the geographic convergence of four key states and their various political and military conflicts, Kurdistan may gradually spread a new paradigm focused on sharing the space instead of attempting to carve untenable dominions out of it.
Feb 25, 2016
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  • Hassan Mneimneh
"Arab Spring" protest in 2011
Articles & Testimony
Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East
The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while
Feb 25, 2016
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  • Maurizio Geri
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Two Potential Safe Zones in Northern Syria
Both Idlib province and eastern Aleppo province have been relatively spared from the fighting, and their rural communities remain strong.
Feb 24, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Defeating the Islamic State: The Economic Campaign
Can the Islamic State be beaten in the banks as well as on the battlefield? Watch three Institute experts discuss government and private-sector efforts to cut off its funding.
Feb 24, 2016
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
  • Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ceasefire and Elections in Syria: Putin Still a Step Ahead
If Moscow and Damascus have their way, the latest ceasefire will further divide the rebels, isolate Turkey, and facilitate their ongoing military and political strategy for preserving Assad's rule.
Feb 23, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Fatalities in the Syrian War
Analysis of funeral reports and other open-source data offers potentially revealing insights into the militia's combat losses in Syria, its shifting role in the war next door, and the security of its position back home in Lebanon.
Feb 22, 2016
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  • Ali Alfoneh

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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